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FSV Mainz UCL Chances 2027 — 19.6%

Bundesliga 26/27 · Round 6 of 34 · Rank #9 · 5 MP

FSV Mainz Bundesliga 26/27 — Key Insights
3.8%
Win
3.3%
Releg
#9
Position
DWLWL
Last 5 matches
FSV Mainz are an outside contender for UCL at 19.6%, currently ranked 9th — updated after every match.

Updated at

FSV Mainz are 9th in the Bundesliga 26/27 2027 season after 5 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 19.6% chance of ucl — with 28 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.

In their last 5 Bundesliga 26/27 matches, FSV Mainz have recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.

Alongside their ucl probability, FSV Mainz's win chance currently stands at 3.8%.

Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining Bundesliga 26/27 fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how FSV Mainz's 2027 season has evolved round by round.

Current Probabilities:

  • Win: 3.8%
  • UCL: 19.6%
  • UEL: 6.0%
  • ECL: 6.2%
  • Releg: 3.3%

More analysis

← View all Bundesliga 26/27 standings and odds

See also:

Next matches

Times in Coordinated Universal Time

Schalke 04#14Win: 1.8%UCL: 11.8%UEL: 4.4%ECL: 4.8%Releg: 6.7%1:30 PMFSV Mainz#9Win: 3.8%UCL: 19.6%UEL: 6.0%ECL: 6.2%Releg: 3.3%
51%
26%
FSV Mainz#9Win: 3.8%UCL: 19.6%UEL: 6.0%ECL: 6.2%Releg: 3.3%5:00 PMWerder Bremen#7Win: 4.7%UCL: 23.6%UEL: 6.7%ECL: 6.7%Releg: 2.5%
46%
31%
Elversberg#10Win: 3.6%UCL: 19.1%UEL: 5.9%ECL: 6.2%Releg: 3.4%5:00 PMFSV Mainz#9Win: 3.8%UCL: 19.6%UEL: 6.0%ECL: 6.2%Releg: 3.3%
47%
32%
FSV Mainz#9Win: 3.8%UCL: 19.6%UEL: 6.0%ECL: 6.2%Releg: 3.3%5:00 PMBayern München#3Win: 12.9%UCL: 42.6%UEL: 7.9%ECL: 7.1%Releg: 0.8%
24%
53%
FC Augsburg#6Win: 4.9%UCL: 24.1%UEL: 6.8%ECL: 6.8%Releg: 2.4%5:00 PMFSV Mainz#9Win: 3.8%UCL: 19.6%UEL: 6.0%ECL: 6.2%Releg: 3.3%
65%
18%

Latest News

Results so far

DateHomeScoreAway
2026-10-10FSV Mainz#9Win: 3.8%UCL: 19.6%UEL: 6.0%ECL: 6.2%Releg: 3.3%3 - 4Leverkusen
2026-09-19Gladbach3 - 4FSV Mainz#9Win: 3.8%UCL: 19.6%UEL: 6.0%ECL: 6.2%Releg: 3.3%
2026-09-12FSV Mainz#9Win: 3.8%UCL: 19.6%UEL: 6.0%ECL: 6.2%Releg: 3.3%1 - 3Frankfurt
2026-09-06Hamburger SV#13Win: 2.4%UCL: 14.2%UEL: 4.9%ECL: 5.2%Releg: 5.5%0 - 5FSV Mainz#9Win: 3.8%UCL: 19.6%UEL: 6.0%ECL: 6.2%Releg: 3.3%
2026-08-29FSV Mainz#9Win: 3.8%UCL: 19.6%UEL: 6.0%ECL: 6.2%Releg: 3.3%0 - 0Paderborn#15Win: 1.3%UCL: 9.0%UEL: 3.6%ECL: 4.0%Releg: 9.4%