Premier League 26/27
Preview edition
Probability of winning the championship
| # | Team | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal#1Win: 5.0%UCL: 20.0%UEL: 5.0%Releg: 15.0% | 5.0% |
| 2 |  Aston Villa#2Win: 5.0%UCL: 20.0%UEL: 5.0%Releg: 15.0% | 5.0% |
| 3 |  Bournemouth#3Win: 5.0%UCL: 20.0%UEL: 5.0%Releg: 15.0% | 5.0% |
| 4 |  Brentford#4Win: 5.0%UCL: 20.0%UEL: 5.0%Releg: 15.0% | 5.0% |
| 5 |  Brighton#5Win: 5.0%UCL: 20.0%UEL: 5.0%Releg: 15.0% | 5.0% |
| 6 |  Chelsea#6Win: 5.0%UCL: 20.0%UEL: 5.0%Releg: 15.0% | 5.0% |
| 7 |  Coventry City#7Win: 5.0%UCL: 20.0%UEL: 5.0%Releg: 15.0% | 5.0% |
| 8 |  Crystal Palace#8Win: 5.0%UCL: 20.0%UEL: 5.0%Releg: 15.0% | 5.0% |
| 9 |  Everton#9Win: 5.0%UCL: 20.0%UEL: 5.0%Releg: 15.0% | 5.0% |
| 10 |  Fulham#10Win: 5.0%UCL: 20.0%UEL: 5.0%Releg: 15.0% | 5.0% |
| 11 |  Hull City#11Win: 5.0%UCL: 20.0%UEL: 5.0%Releg: 15.0% | 5.0% |
| 12 |  Ipswich Town#12Win: 5.0%UCL: 20.0%UEL: 5.0%Releg: 15.0% | 5.0% |
| 13 |  Leeds United#13Win: 5.0%UCL: 20.0%UEL: 5.0%Releg: 15.0% | 5.0% |
| 14 |  Liverpool#14Win: 5.0%UCL: 20.0%UEL: 5.0%Releg: 15.0% | 5.0% |
| 15 |  Man City#15Win: 5.0%UCL: 20.0%UEL: 5.0%Releg: 15.0% | 5.0% |
| 16 |  Man United#16Win: 5.0%UCL: 20.0%UEL: 5.0%Releg: 15.0% | 5.0% |
| 17 |  Newcastle#17Win: 5.0%UCL: 20.0%UEL: 5.0%Releg: 15.0% | 5.0% |
| 18 |  Forest#18Win: 5.0%UCL: 20.0%UEL: 5.0%Releg: 15.0% | 5.0% |
| 19 |  Sunderland#19Win: 5.0%UCL: 20.0%UEL: 5.0%Releg: 15.0% | 5.0% |
| 20 |  Tottenham#20Win: 5.0%UCL: 20.0%UEL: 5.0%Releg: 15.0% | 5.0% |
Probability of qualifying for the Champions League
| # | Team | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal#1Win: 5.0%UCL: 20.0%UEL: 5.0%Releg: 15.0% | 20.0% |
| 2 | Aston Villa#2Win: 5.0%UCL: 20.0%UEL: 5.0%Releg: 15.0% | 20.0% |
| 3 | Bournemouth#3Win: 5.0%UCL: 20.0%UEL: 5.0%Releg: 15.0% | 20.0% |
| 4 | Brentford#4Win: 5.0%UCL: 20.0%UEL: 5.0%Releg: 15.0% | 20.0% |
| 5 | Brighton#5Win: 5.0%UCL: 20.0%UEL: 5.0%Releg: 15.0% | 20.0% |
| 6 | Chelsea#6Win: 5.0%UCL: 20.0%UEL: 5.0%Releg: 15.0% | 20.0% |
| 7 | Coventry City#7Win: 5.0%UCL: 20.0%UEL: 5.0%Releg: 15.0% | 20.0% |
| 8 | Crystal Palace#8Win: 5.0%UCL: 20.0%UEL: 5.0%Releg: 15.0% | 20.0% |
| 9 | Everton#9Win: 5.0%UCL: 20.0%UEL: 5.0%Releg: 15.0% | 20.0% |
| 10 | Fulham#10Win: 5.0%UCL: 20.0%UEL: 5.0%Releg: 15.0% | 20.0% |
| 11 | Hull City#11Win: 5.0%UCL: 20.0%UEL: 5.0%Releg: 15.0% | 20.0% |
| 12 | Ipswich Town#12Win: 5.0%UCL: 20.0%UEL: 5.0%Releg: 15.0% | 20.0% |
| 13 | Leeds United#13Win: 5.0%UCL: 20.0%UEL: 5.0%Releg: 15.0% | 20.0% |
| 14 | Liverpool#14Win: 5.0%UCL: 20.0%UEL: 5.0%Releg: 15.0% | 20.0% |
| 15 | Man City#15Win: 5.0%UCL: 20.0%UEL: 5.0%Releg: 15.0% | 20.0% |
| 16 | Man United#16Win: 5.0%UCL: 20.0%UEL: 5.0%Releg: 15.0% | 20.0% |
| 17 | Newcastle#17Win: 5.0%UCL: 20.0%UEL: 5.0%Releg: 15.0% | 20.0% |
| 18 | Forest#18Win: 5.0%UCL: 20.0%UEL: 5.0%Releg: 15.0% | 20.0% |
| 19 | Sunderland#19Win: 5.0%UCL: 20.0%UEL: 5.0%Releg: 15.0% | 20.0% |
| 20 | Tottenham#20Win: 5.0%UCL: 20.0%UEL: 5.0%Releg: 15.0% | 20.0% |
Probability of qualifying for the Europa League
| # | Team | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal#1Win: 5.0%UCL: 20.0%UEL: 5.0%Releg: 15.0% | 5.0% |
| 2 | Aston Villa#2Win: 5.0%UCL: 20.0%UEL: 5.0%Releg: 15.0% | 5.0% |
| 3 | Bournemouth#3Win: 5.0%UCL: 20.0%UEL: 5.0%Releg: 15.0% | 5.0% |
| 4 | Brentford#4Win: 5.0%UCL: 20.0%UEL: 5.0%Releg: 15.0% | 5.0% |
| 5 | Brighton#5Win: 5.0%UCL: 20.0%UEL: 5.0%Releg: 15.0% | 5.0% |
| 6 | Chelsea#6Win: 5.0%UCL: 20.0%UEL: 5.0%Releg: 15.0% | 5.0% |
| 7 | Coventry City#7Win: 5.0%UCL: 20.0%UEL: 5.0%Releg: 15.0% | 5.0% |
| 8 | Crystal Palace#8Win: 5.0%UCL: 20.0%UEL: 5.0%Releg: 15.0% | 5.0% |
| 9 | Everton#9Win: 5.0%UCL: 20.0%UEL: 5.0%Releg: 15.0% | 5.0% |
| 10 | Fulham#10Win: 5.0%UCL: 20.0%UEL: 5.0%Releg: 15.0% | 5.0% |
| 11 | Hull City#11Win: 5.0%UCL: 20.0%UEL: 5.0%Releg: 15.0% | 5.0% |
| 12 | Ipswich Town#12Win: 5.0%UCL: 20.0%UEL: 5.0%Releg: 15.0% | 5.0% |
| 13 | Leeds United#13Win: 5.0%UCL: 20.0%UEL: 5.0%Releg: 15.0% | 5.0% |
| 14 | Liverpool#14Win: 5.0%UCL: 20.0%UEL: 5.0%Releg: 15.0% | 5.0% |
| 15 | Man City#15Win: 5.0%UCL: 20.0%UEL: 5.0%Releg: 15.0% | 5.0% |
| 16 | Man United#16Win: 5.0%UCL: 20.0%UEL: 5.0%Releg: 15.0% | 5.0% |
| 17 | Newcastle#17Win: 5.0%UCL: 20.0%UEL: 5.0%Releg: 15.0% | 5.0% |
| 18 | Forest#18Win: 5.0%UCL: 20.0%UEL: 5.0%Releg: 15.0% | 5.0% |
| 19 | Sunderland#19Win: 5.0%UCL: 20.0%UEL: 5.0%Releg: 15.0% | 5.0% |
| 20 | Tottenham#20Win: 5.0%UCL: 20.0%UEL: 5.0%Releg: 15.0% | 5.0% |
Probability of being relegated at the end of the championship
| # | Team | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal#1Win: 5.0%UCL: 20.0%UEL: 5.0%Releg: 15.0% | 15.0% |
| 2 | Aston Villa#2Win: 5.0%UCL: 20.0%UEL: 5.0%Releg: 15.0% | 15.0% |
| 3 | Bournemouth#3Win: 5.0%UCL: 20.0%UEL: 5.0%Releg: 15.0% | 15.0% |
| 4 | Brentford#4Win: 5.0%UCL: 20.0%UEL: 5.0%Releg: 15.0% | 15.0% |
| 5 | Brighton#5Win: 5.0%UCL: 20.0%UEL: 5.0%Releg: 15.0% | 15.0% |
| 6 | Chelsea#6Win: 5.0%UCL: 20.0%UEL: 5.0%Releg: 15.0% | 15.0% |
| 7 | Coventry City#7Win: 5.0%UCL: 20.0%UEL: 5.0%Releg: 15.0% | 15.0% |
| 8 | Crystal Palace#8Win: 5.0%UCL: 20.0%UEL: 5.0%Releg: 15.0% | 15.0% |
| 9 | Everton#9Win: 5.0%UCL: 20.0%UEL: 5.0%Releg: 15.0% | 15.0% |
| 10 | Fulham#10Win: 5.0%UCL: 20.0%UEL: 5.0%Releg: 15.0% | 15.0% |
| 11 | Hull City#11Win: 5.0%UCL: 20.0%UEL: 5.0%Releg: 15.0% | 15.0% |
| 12 | Ipswich Town#12Win: 5.0%UCL: 20.0%UEL: 5.0%Releg: 15.0% | 15.0% |
| 13 | Leeds United#13Win: 5.0%UCL: 20.0%UEL: 5.0%Releg: 15.0% | 15.0% |
| 14 | Liverpool#14Win: 5.0%UCL: 20.0%UEL: 5.0%Releg: 15.0% | 15.0% |
| 15 | Man City#15Win: 5.0%UCL: 20.0%UEL: 5.0%Releg: 15.0% | 15.0% |
| 16 | Man United#16Win: 5.0%UCL: 20.0%UEL: 5.0%Releg: 15.0% | 15.0% |
| 17 | Newcastle#17Win: 5.0%UCL: 20.0%UEL: 5.0%Releg: 15.0% | 15.0% |
| 18 | Forest#18Win: 5.0%UCL: 20.0%UEL: 5.0%Releg: 15.0% | 15.0% |
| 19 | Sunderland#19Win: 5.0%UCL: 20.0%UEL: 5.0%Releg: 15.0% | 15.0% |
| 20 | Tottenham#20Win: 5.0%UCL: 20.0%UEL: 5.0%Releg: 15.0% | 15.0% |
Round 0 of 38 — Table
| # | Team | MP | P | Title | UCL | UEL | Rel |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Arsenal#1Win: 5.0%UCL: 20.0%UEL: 5.0%Releg: 15.0% | 0 | 0 | 5% | 20% | 5% | 15% |
2 | Aston Villa#2Win: 5.0%UCL: 20.0%UEL: 5.0%Releg: 15.0% | 0 | 0 | 5% | 20% | 5% | 15% |
3 | Bournemouth#3Win: 5.0%UCL: 20.0%UEL: 5.0%Releg: 15.0% | 0 | 0 | 5% | 20% | 5% | 15% |
4 | Brentford#4Win: 5.0%UCL: 20.0%UEL: 5.0%Releg: 15.0% | 0 | 0 | 5% | 20% | 5% | 15% |
5 | Brighton#5Win: 5.0%UCL: 20.0%UEL: 5.0%Releg: 15.0% | 0 | 0 | 5% | 20% | 5% | 15% |
6 | Chelsea#6Win: 5.0%UCL: 20.0%UEL: 5.0%Releg: 15.0% | 0 | 0 | 5% | 20% | 5% | 15% |
7 | Coventry City#7Win: 5.0%UCL: 20.0%UEL: 5.0%Releg: 15.0% | 0 | 0 | 5% | 20% | 5% | 15% |
8 | Crystal Palace#8Win: 5.0%UCL: 20.0%UEL: 5.0%Releg: 15.0% | 0 | 0 | 5% | 20% | 5% | 15% |
9 | Everton#9Win: 5.0%UCL: 20.0%UEL: 5.0%Releg: 15.0% | 0 | 0 | 5% | 20% | 5% | 15% |
10 | Fulham#10Win: 5.0%UCL: 20.0%UEL: 5.0%Releg: 15.0% | 0 | 0 | 5% | 20% | 5% | 15% |
11 | Hull City#11Win: 5.0%UCL: 20.0%UEL: 5.0%Releg: 15.0% | 0 | 0 | 5% | 20% | 5% | 15% |
12 | Ipswich Town#12Win: 5.0%UCL: 20.0%UEL: 5.0%Releg: 15.0% | 0 | 0 | 5% | 20% | 5% | 15% |
13 | Leeds United#13Win: 5.0%UCL: 20.0%UEL: 5.0%Releg: 15.0% | 0 | 0 | 5% | 20% | 5% | 15% |
14 | Liverpool#14Win: 5.0%UCL: 20.0%UEL: 5.0%Releg: 15.0% | 0 | 0 | 5% | 20% | 5% | 15% |
15 | Manchester City#15Win: 5.0%UCL: 20.0%UEL: 5.0%Releg: 15.0% | 0 | 0 | 5% | 20% | 5% | 15% |
16 | Manchester United#16Win: 5.0%UCL: 20.0%UEL: 5.0%Releg: 15.0% | 0 | 0 | 5% | 20% | 5% | 15% |
17 | Newcastle#17Win: 5.0%UCL: 20.0%UEL: 5.0%Releg: 15.0% | 0 | 0 | 5% | 20% | 5% | 15% |
18 | Nottingham Forest#18Win: 5.0%UCL: 20.0%UEL: 5.0%Releg: 15.0% | 0 | 0 | 5% | 20% | 5% | 15% |
19 | Sunderland#19Win: 5.0%UCL: 20.0%UEL: 5.0%Releg: 15.0% | 0 | 0 | 5% | 20% | 5% | 15% |
20 | Tottenham#20Win: 5.0%UCL: 20.0%UEL: 5.0%Releg: 15.0% | 0 | 0 | 5% | 20% | 5% | 15% |
WinUCLUELReleg
Premier League 26/27 — Season Outlook
Win:
UCL:
UEL:
Premier League 26/27 — Frequently Asked Questions
- Who will win the Premier League 26/27?
- Based on our supercomputer's latest simulations, Arsenal currently have the highest title probability at 5%. With 38 rounds remaining the race is still live — CupChances re-runs up to millions of simulations every 10 minutes during every match.
- Which teams are most at risk of relegation from the Premier League 26/27?
- Arsenal currently faces the highest relegation risk at 15%, followed by Aston Villa at 15%. These figures update every 10 minutes during every match as the season unfolds.
- How does CupChances calculate Premier League 26/27 probabilities?
- Our supercomputer runs up to millions of Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining season, using each team's current points, goal difference and remaining fixture list. Every simulated season produces a complete final table, and the probabilities represent how often each outcome occurs across all those simulations.
- How often are the Premier League 26/27 predictions updated?
- Probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match — as long as the game is live, the numbers keep updating. Enable push notifications on this page to receive live probability shifts directly on your device.
Past editions