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Chelsea UCL Chances 2027 — 24.5%

Premier League 26/27 · Round 6 of 38 · Rank #6 · 6 MP

Chelsea Premier League 26/27 — Key Insights
4.7%
Win
6.5%
Releg
#6
Position
WLDLW
Last 5 matches
Chelsea are in realistic contention for UCL at 24.5%, currently ranked 6th — updated after every match.

Updated at

Chelsea are 6th in the Premier League 26/27 2027 season after 6 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 24.5% chance of ucl — with 32 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.

In their last 5 Premier League 26/27 matches, Chelsea have recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.

Alongside their ucl probability, Chelsea's win chance currently stands at 4.7%.

Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining Premier League 26/27 fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Chelsea's 2027 season has evolved round by round.

Current Probabilities:

  • Win: 4.7%
  • UCL: 24.5%
  • UEL: 6.8%
  • Releg: 6.5%

More analysis

Win →UCL →UEL →Releg →Recent form →Upcoming Fixtures →

← View all Premier League 26/27 standings and odds

See also:

Manchester City Win ChancesArsenal UCL ChancesBrighton UCL ChancesBrentford UCL ChancesEverton UEL ChancesLeeds United 2027 Season OddsHull City 2027 Season OddsLiverpool 2027 Season OddsIpswich Town 2027 Season OddsNewcastle 2027 Season Odds

Next matches

Times in Coordinated Universal Time

Everton#5Win: 4.9%UCL: 24.9%UEL: 6.9%Releg: 6.3%11:30 AMChelsea#6Win: 4.7%UCL: 24.5%UEL: 6.8%Releg: 6.5%
49%
25%
Chelsea#6Win: 4.7%UCL: 24.5%UEL: 6.8%Releg: 6.5%4:30 PMTottenham#19Win: 0.5%UCL: 4.3%UEL: 2.0%Releg: 34.5%
61%
17%
Chelsea#6Win: 4.7%UCL: 24.5%UEL: 6.8%Releg: 6.5%12:30 PMMan United#13Win: 1.4%UCL: 10.5%UEL: 4.1%Releg: 17.4%
44%
32%
Sunderland#17Win: 0.7%UCL: 5.8%UEL: 2.6%Releg: 28.6%3:00 PMChelsea#6Win: 4.7%UCL: 24.5%UEL: 6.8%Releg: 6.5%
31%
41%
Chelsea#6Win: 4.7%UCL: 24.5%UEL: 6.8%Releg: 6.5%3:00 PMLeeds United#7Win: 3.7%UCL: 20.7%UEL: 6.3%Releg: 8.3%
48%
27%

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Results so far

DateHomeScoreAway
2026-10-10Chelsea#6Win: 4.7%UCL: 24.5%UEL: 6.8%Releg: 6.5%5 - 1Bournemouth#18Win: 0.5%UCL: 4.4%UEL: 2.1%Releg: 33.2%
2026-09-18Brentford#4Win: 5.2%UCL: 25.8%UEL: 6.8%Releg: 6.2%3 - 0Chelsea#6Win: 4.7%UCL: 24.5%UEL: 6.8%Releg: 6.5%
2026-09-12Chelsea#6Win: 4.7%UCL: 24.5%UEL: 6.8%Releg: 6.5%2 - 2Hull City#8Win: 3.6%UCL: 20.0%UEL: 6.2%Releg: 8.5%
2026-09-06Arsenal#2Win: 16.5%UCL: 52.0%UEL: 8.0%Releg: 1.2%2 - 1Chelsea#6Win: 4.7%UCL: 24.5%UEL: 6.8%Releg: 6.5%
2026-08-30Chelsea#6Win: 4.7%UCL: 24.5%UEL: 6.8%Releg: 6.5%4 - 3Brighton#3Win: 11.7%UCL: 42.0%UEL: 7.9%Releg: 2.5%
2026-08-24Fulham#20Win: 0.3%UCL: 3.4%UEL: 1.7%Releg: 37.8%2 - 3Chelsea#6Win: 4.7%UCL: 24.5%UEL: 6.8%Releg: 6.5%