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Arsenal UCL Chances 2027 — 51.6%

Premier League 26/27 · Round 7 of 38 · Rank #2 · 6 MP

Premier LeagueChampions League 2026/27
Arsenal Premier League 26/27 — Key Insights
15.1%
Win
1.2%
Releg
#2
Position
WWWLW
Last 5 matches
Arsenal are strong contenders for UCL at 51.6%, currently ranked 2nd — updated after every match.

Updated at

Arsenal are 2nd in the Premier League 26/27 2027 season after 6 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 51.6% chance of ucl — with 31 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.

In their last 5 Premier League 26/27 matches, Arsenal have recorded 4 wins, 1 defeat. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.

Alongside their ucl probability, Arsenal's win chance currently stands at 15.1%.

Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining Premier League 26/27 fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Arsenal's 2027 season has evolved round by round.

Current Probabilities:

  • Win: 15.1%
  • UCL: 51.6%
  • UEL: 8.2%
  • Releg: 1.2%

More analysis

Win →UCL →UEL →Releg →Recent form →Upcoming Fixtures →

← View all Premier League 26/27 standings and odds

See also:

Manchester City Win ChancesBrighton UCL ChancesChelsea UCL ChancesLiverpool UEL ChancesBrentford 2027 Season OddsEverton 2027 Season Odds

Next matches

Times in Coordinated Universal Time

Forest#17Win: 0.9%UCL: 7.9%UEL: 3.3%Releg: 22.7%3:30 PMArsenal#2Win: 15.1%UCL: 51.6%UEL: 8.2%Releg: 1.2%
23%
48%
Arsenal#2Win: 15.1%UCL: 51.6%UEL: 8.2%Releg: 1.2%2:00 PMEverton#7Win: 2.9%UCL: 18.3%UEL: 6.0%Releg: 9.3%
57%
18%
Liverpool#5Win: 4.9%UCL: 27.2%UEL: 7.4%Releg: 5.2%4:30 PMArsenal#2Win: 15.1%UCL: 51.6%UEL: 8.2%Releg: 1.2%
28%
44%
Arsenal#2Win: 15.1%UCL: 51.6%UEL: 8.2%Releg: 1.2%3:00 PMHull City#9Win: 2.1%UCL: 14.8%UEL: 5.2%Releg: 11.7%
61%
16%
Newcastle#11Win: 1.5%UCL: 11.0%UEL: 4.3%Releg: 16.4%3:00 PMArsenal#2Win: 15.1%UCL: 51.6%UEL: 8.2%Releg: 1.2%
29%
44%

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Results so far

DateHomeScoreAway
2026-10-13Arsenal#2Win: 15.1%UCL: 51.6%UEL: 8.2%Releg: 1.2%3 - 0Lille
2026-10-10English Premier LeagueArsenal#2Win: 15.1%UCL: 51.6%UEL: 8.2%Releg: 1.2%2 - 1Leeds United#8Win: 3.3%UCL: 20.2%UEL: 6.4%Releg: 8.7%
2026-09-19English Premier LeagueBrighton#3Win: 10.6%UCL: 41.5%UEL: 8.2%Releg: 2.6%3 - 0Arsenal#2Win: 15.1%UCL: 51.6%UEL: 8.2%Releg: 1.2%
2026-09-12English Premier LeagueSunderland#18Win: 0.6%UCL: 5.8%UEL: 2.6%Releg: 29.0%0 - 2Arsenal#2Win: 15.1%UCL: 51.6%UEL: 8.2%Releg: 1.2%
2026-09-09Napoli0 - 1Arsenal#2Win: 15.1%UCL: 51.6%UEL: 8.2%Releg: 1.2%
2026-09-06English Premier LeagueArsenal#2Win: 15.1%UCL: 51.6%UEL: 8.2%Releg: 1.2%2 - 1Chelsea#4Win: 6.5%UCL: 32.5%UEL: 7.8%Releg: 3.9%
2026-08-31English Premier LeagueAston Villa#12Win: 1.4%UCL: 10.9%UEL: 4.2%Releg: 16.7%0 - 1Arsenal#2Win: 15.1%UCL: 51.6%UEL: 8.2%Releg: 1.2%
2026-08-21English Premier LeagueArsenal#2Win: 15.1%UCL: 51.6%UEL: 8.2%Releg: 1.2%3 - 0Coventry City#15Win: 1.2%UCL: 9.5%UEL: 3.8%Releg: 20.7%