La Liga 2 26/27 — Round 3 of 42
Updated at
Probability of winning the championship
| # | Team | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Eibar#1Win: 13.7%Promo: 24.1%Playoff: 29.0%Releg: 4.7% | 13.7% |
| 2 |  Castellon#2Win: 8.3%Promo: 15.8%Playoff: 25.8%Releg: 8.2% | 8.3% |
| 3 |  Sabadell#3Win: 8.1%Promo: 15.4%Playoff: 25.3%Releg: 8.4% | 8.1% |
| 4 |  CD Leganés#4Win: 8.0%Promo: 15.4%Playoff: 25.4%Releg: 8.2% | 8.0% |
| 5 |  Girona#5Win: 6.9%Promo: 13.2%Playoff: 23.6%Releg: 10.1% | 6.9% |
| 6 |  Celta Vigo B#6Win: 6.8%Promo: 13.3%Playoff: 23.1%Releg: 10.3% | 6.8% |
| 7 |  Granada#7Win: 6.3%Promo: 12.4%Playoff: 22.9%Releg: 10.6% | 6.3% |
| 8 |  Sporting Gijon#8Win: 5.8%Promo: 11.8%Playoff: 22.7%Releg: 10.7% | 5.8% |
| 9 |  Real Sociedad B#9Win: 4.9%Promo: 9.9%Playoff: 20.8%Releg: 13.2% | 4.9% |
| 10 |  Mallorca#10Win: 3.7%Promo: 7.8%Playoff: 18.0%Releg: 16.6% | 3.7% |
| 11 |  Valladolid#11Win: 3.5%Promo: 7.4%Playoff: 17.9%Releg: 17.0% | 3.5% |
| 12 |  Tenerife#12Win: 3.4%Promo: 7.4%Playoff: 17.8%Releg: 17.2% | 3.4% |
| 13 |  Real Oviedo#13Win: 3.4%Promo: 7.2%Playoff: 17.4%Releg: 17.3% | 3.4% |
| 14 |  Las Palmas#14Win: 3.4%Promo: 7.3%Playoff: 17.2%Releg: 17.4% | 3.4% |
| 15 |  Almeria#15Win: 2.6%Promo: 5.7%Playoff: 14.8%Releg: 21.5% | 2.6% |
| 16 |  Cordoba#16Win: 2.5%Promo: 5.6%Playoff: 14.6%Releg: 21.9% | 2.5% |
| 17 |  CD Eldense#18Win: 2.0%Promo: 4.4%Playoff: 12.6%Releg: 25.7% | 2.0% |
| 18 |  Cadiz CF#17Win: 1.9%Promo: 4.4%Playoff: 13.0%Releg: 24.9% | 1.9% |
| 19 |  Burgos CF#19Win: 1.9%Promo: 4.3%Playoff: 12.7%Releg: 26.1% | 1.9% |
| 20 |  Andorra CF#20Win: 1.0%Promo: 2.4%Playoff: 8.6%Releg: 36.2% | 1.0% |
| 21 |  Albacete#21Win: 1.0%Promo: 2.4%Playoff: 8.5%Releg: 36.7% | 1.0% |
| 22 |  AD Ceuta FC#22Win: 1.0%Promo: 2.4%Playoff: 8.3%Releg: 37.0% | 1.0% |
Probability of being promoted to the first division
| # | Team | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eibar#1Win: 13.7%Promo: 24.1%Playoff: 29.0%Releg: 4.7% | 24.1% |
| 2 | Castellon#2Win: 8.3%Promo: 15.8%Playoff: 25.8%Releg: 8.2% | 15.8% |
| 3 | Sabadell#3Win: 8.1%Promo: 15.4%Playoff: 25.3%Releg: 8.4% | 15.4% |
| 4 | CD Leganés#4Win: 8.0%Promo: 15.4%Playoff: 25.4%Releg: 8.2% | 15.4% |
| 5 | Celta Vigo B#6Win: 6.8%Promo: 13.3%Playoff: 23.1%Releg: 10.3% | 13.3% |
| 6 | Girona#5Win: 6.9%Promo: 13.2%Playoff: 23.6%Releg: 10.1% | 13.2% |
| 7 | Granada#7Win: 6.3%Promo: 12.4%Playoff: 22.9%Releg: 10.6% | 12.4% |
| 8 | Sporting Gijon#8Win: 5.8%Promo: 11.8%Playoff: 22.7%Releg: 10.7% | 11.8% |
| 9 | Real Sociedad B#9Win: 4.9%Promo: 9.9%Playoff: 20.8%Releg: 13.2% | 9.9% |
| 10 | Mallorca#10Win: 3.7%Promo: 7.8%Playoff: 18.0%Releg: 16.6% | 7.8% |
| 11 | Valladolid#11Win: 3.5%Promo: 7.4%Playoff: 17.9%Releg: 17.0% | 7.4% |
| 12 | Tenerife#12Win: 3.4%Promo: 7.4%Playoff: 17.8%Releg: 17.2% | 7.4% |
| 13 | Las Palmas#14Win: 3.4%Promo: 7.3%Playoff: 17.2%Releg: 17.4% | 7.3% |
| 14 | Real Oviedo#13Win: 3.4%Promo: 7.2%Playoff: 17.4%Releg: 17.3% | 7.2% |
| 15 | Almeria#15Win: 2.6%Promo: 5.7%Playoff: 14.8%Releg: 21.5% | 5.7% |
| 16 | Cordoba#16Win: 2.5%Promo: 5.6%Playoff: 14.6%Releg: 21.9% | 5.6% |
| 17 | Cadiz CF#17Win: 1.9%Promo: 4.4%Playoff: 13.0%Releg: 24.9% | 4.4% |
| 18 | CD Eldense#18Win: 2.0%Promo: 4.4%Playoff: 12.6%Releg: 25.7% | 4.4% |
| 19 | Burgos CF#19Win: 1.9%Promo: 4.3%Playoff: 12.7%Releg: 26.1% | 4.3% |
| 20 | Andorra CF#20Win: 1.0%Promo: 2.4%Playoff: 8.6%Releg: 36.2% | 2.4% |
| 21 | Albacete#21Win: 1.0%Promo: 2.4%Playoff: 8.5%Releg: 36.7% | 2.4% |
| 22 | AD Ceuta FC#22Win: 1.0%Promo: 2.4%Playoff: 8.3%Releg: 37.0% | 2.4% |
Chances of participation in the playoff phase
| # | Team | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eibar#1Win: 13.7%Promo: 24.1%Playoff: 29.0%Releg: 4.7% | 29.0% |
| 2 | Castellon#2Win: 8.3%Promo: 15.8%Playoff: 25.8%Releg: 8.2% | 25.8% |
| 3 | CD Leganés#4Win: 8.0%Promo: 15.4%Playoff: 25.4%Releg: 8.2% | 25.4% |
| 4 | Sabadell#3Win: 8.1%Promo: 15.4%Playoff: 25.3%Releg: 8.4% | 25.3% |
| 5 | Girona#5Win: 6.9%Promo: 13.2%Playoff: 23.6%Releg: 10.1% | 23.6% |
| 6 | Celta Vigo B#6Win: 6.8%Promo: 13.3%Playoff: 23.1%Releg: 10.3% | 23.1% |
| 7 | Granada#7Win: 6.3%Promo: 12.4%Playoff: 22.9%Releg: 10.6% | 22.9% |
| 8 | Sporting Gijon#8Win: 5.8%Promo: 11.8%Playoff: 22.7%Releg: 10.7% | 22.7% |
| 9 | Real Sociedad B#9Win: 4.9%Promo: 9.9%Playoff: 20.8%Releg: 13.2% | 20.8% |
| 10 | Mallorca#10Win: 3.7%Promo: 7.8%Playoff: 18.0%Releg: 16.6% | 18.0% |
| 11 | Valladolid#11Win: 3.5%Promo: 7.4%Playoff: 17.9%Releg: 17.0% | 17.9% |
| 12 | Tenerife#12Win: 3.4%Promo: 7.4%Playoff: 17.8%Releg: 17.2% | 17.8% |
| 13 | Real Oviedo#13Win: 3.4%Promo: 7.2%Playoff: 17.4%Releg: 17.3% | 17.4% |
| 14 | Las Palmas#14Win: 3.4%Promo: 7.3%Playoff: 17.2%Releg: 17.4% | 17.2% |
| 15 | Almeria#15Win: 2.6%Promo: 5.7%Playoff: 14.8%Releg: 21.5% | 14.8% |
| 16 | Cordoba#16Win: 2.5%Promo: 5.6%Playoff: 14.6%Releg: 21.9% | 14.6% |
| 17 | Cadiz CF#17Win: 1.9%Promo: 4.4%Playoff: 13.0%Releg: 24.9% | 13.0% |
| 18 | Burgos CF#19Win: 1.9%Promo: 4.3%Playoff: 12.7%Releg: 26.1% | 12.7% |
| 19 | CD Eldense#18Win: 2.0%Promo: 4.4%Playoff: 12.6%Releg: 25.7% | 12.6% |
| 20 | Andorra CF#20Win: 1.0%Promo: 2.4%Playoff: 8.6%Releg: 36.2% | 8.6% |
| 21 | Albacete#21Win: 1.0%Promo: 2.4%Playoff: 8.5%Releg: 36.7% | 8.5% |
| 22 | AD Ceuta FC#22Win: 1.0%Promo: 2.4%Playoff: 8.3%Releg: 37.0% | 8.3% |
Probability of being relegated at the end of the championship
| # | Team | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | AD Ceuta FC#22Win: 1.0%Promo: 2.4%Playoff: 8.3%Releg: 37.0% | 37.0% |
| 2 | Albacete#21Win: 1.0%Promo: 2.4%Playoff: 8.5%Releg: 36.7% | 36.7% |
| 3 | Andorra CF#20Win: 1.0%Promo: 2.4%Playoff: 8.6%Releg: 36.2% | 36.2% |
| 4 | Burgos CF#19Win: 1.9%Promo: 4.3%Playoff: 12.7%Releg: 26.1% | 26.1% |
| 5 | CD Eldense#18Win: 2.0%Promo: 4.4%Playoff: 12.6%Releg: 25.7% | 25.7% |
| 6 | Cadiz CF#17Win: 1.9%Promo: 4.4%Playoff: 13.0%Releg: 24.9% | 24.9% |
| 7 | Cordoba#16Win: 2.5%Promo: 5.6%Playoff: 14.6%Releg: 21.9% | 21.9% |
| 8 | Almeria#15Win: 2.6%Promo: 5.7%Playoff: 14.8%Releg: 21.5% | 21.5% |
| 9 | Las Palmas#14Win: 3.4%Promo: 7.3%Playoff: 17.2%Releg: 17.4% | 17.4% |
| 10 | Real Oviedo#13Win: 3.4%Promo: 7.2%Playoff: 17.4%Releg: 17.3% | 17.3% |
| 11 | Tenerife#12Win: 3.4%Promo: 7.4%Playoff: 17.8%Releg: 17.2% | 17.2% |
| 12 | Valladolid#11Win: 3.5%Promo: 7.4%Playoff: 17.9%Releg: 17.0% | 17.0% |
| 13 | Mallorca#10Win: 3.7%Promo: 7.8%Playoff: 18.0%Releg: 16.6% | 16.6% |
| 14 | Real Sociedad B#9Win: 4.9%Promo: 9.9%Playoff: 20.8%Releg: 13.2% | 13.2% |
| 15 | Sporting Gijon#8Win: 5.8%Promo: 11.8%Playoff: 22.7%Releg: 10.7% | 10.7% |
| 16 | Granada#7Win: 6.3%Promo: 12.4%Playoff: 22.9%Releg: 10.6% | 10.6% |
| 17 | Celta Vigo B#6Win: 6.8%Promo: 13.3%Playoff: 23.1%Releg: 10.3% | 10.3% |
| 18 | Girona#5Win: 6.9%Promo: 13.2%Playoff: 23.6%Releg: 10.1% | 10.1% |
| 19 | Sabadell#3Win: 8.1%Promo: 15.4%Playoff: 25.3%Releg: 8.4% | 8.4% |
| 20 | Castellon#2Win: 8.3%Promo: 15.8%Playoff: 25.8%Releg: 8.2% | 8.2% |
| 21 | CD Leganés#4Win: 8.0%Promo: 15.4%Playoff: 25.4%Releg: 8.2% | 8.2% |
| 22 | Eibar#1Win: 13.7%Promo: 24.1%Playoff: 29.0%Releg: 4.7% | 4.7% |
Round 3 of 42
Table
| # | Team | MP | P | Title | Promo | PO | Rel |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1↑1 | Eibar#1Win: 13.7%Promo: 24.1%Playoff: 29.0%Releg: 4.7% | 3 | 9 | 14% | 24% | 29% | 5% |
2↑3 | Castellon#2Win: 8.3%Promo: 15.8%Playoff: 25.8%Releg: 8.2% | 3 | 7 | 8% | 16% | 26% | 8% |
3↑3 | Sabadell#3Win: 8.1%Promo: 15.4%Playoff: 25.3%Releg: 8.4% | 3 | 7 | 8% | 15% | 25% | 8% |
4↓1 | CD Leganés#4Win: 8.0%Promo: 15.4%Playoff: 25.4%Releg: 8.2% | 3 | 7 | 8% | 15% | 25% | 8% |
5↑4 | Girona#5Win: 6.9%Promo: 13.2%Playoff: 23.6%Releg: 10.1% | 3 | 6 | 7% | 13% | 24% | 10% |
6↑4 | Celta Vigo B#6Win: 6.8%Promo: 13.3%Playoff: 23.1%Releg: 10.3% | 3 | 6 | 7% | 13% | 23% | 10% |
7↓6 | Granada#7Win: 6.3%Promo: 12.4%Playoff: 22.9%Releg: 10.6% | 3 | 6 | 6% | 12% | 23% | 11% |
8↓4 | Sporting Gijon#8Win: 5.8%Promo: 11.8%Playoff: 22.7%Releg: 10.7% | 3 | 6 | 6% | 12% | 23% | 11% |
9↓2 | Real Sociedad B#9Win: 4.9%Promo: 9.9%Playoff: 20.8%Releg: 13.2% | 3 | 5 | 5% | 10% | 21% | 13% |
10↑1 | Mallorca#10Win: 3.7%Promo: 7.8%Playoff: 18.0%Releg: 16.6% | 3 | 4 | 4% | 8% | 18% | 17% |
11↑7 | Real Valladolid#11Win: 3.5%Promo: 7.4%Playoff: 17.9%Releg: 17.0% | 3 | 4 | 4% | 7% | 18% | 17% |
12↑1 | Tenerife#12Win: 3.4%Promo: 7.4%Playoff: 17.8%Releg: 17.2% | 3 | 4 | 3% | 7% | 18% | 17% |
13↓1 | Real Oviedo#13Win: 3.4%Promo: 7.2%Playoff: 17.4%Releg: 17.3% | 3 | 4 | 3% | 7% | 17% | 17% |
14 | Las Palmas#14Win: 3.4%Promo: 7.3%Playoff: 17.2%Releg: 17.4% | 3 | 4 | 3% | 7% | 17% | 17% |
15↑5 | Almeria#15Win: 2.6%Promo: 5.7%Playoff: 14.8%Releg: 21.5% | 3 | 3 | 3% | 6% | 15% | 22% |
16↓8 | Cordoba#16Win: 2.5%Promo: 5.6%Playoff: 14.6%Releg: 21.9% | 3 | 3 | 3% | 6% | 15% | 22% |
17↓2 | Cadiz CF#17Win: 1.9%Promo: 4.4%Playoff: 13.0%Releg: 24.9% | 3 | 2 | 2% | 4% | 13% | 25% |
18↓1 | CD Eldense#18Win: 2.0%Promo: 4.4%Playoff: 12.6%Releg: 25.7% | 3 | 2 | 2% | 4% | 13% | 26% |
19↓3 | Burgos CF#19Win: 1.9%Promo: 4.3%Playoff: 12.7%Releg: 26.1% | 3 | 2 | 2% | 4% | 13% | 26% |
20↑1 | Andorra CF#20Win: 1.0%Promo: 2.4%Playoff: 8.6%Releg: 36.2% | 3 | 0 | 1% | 2% | 9% | 36% |
21↓2 | Albacete#21Win: 1.0%Promo: 2.4%Playoff: 8.5%Releg: 36.7% | 3 | 0 | 1% | 2% | 9% | 37% |
22 | AD Ceuta FC#22Win: 1.0%Promo: 2.4%Playoff: 8.3%Releg: 37.0% | 3 | 0 | 1% | 2% | 8% | 37% |
WinPromoPlayoffReleg
Next matches
Times in Coordinated Universal Time
Burgos CF#19Winner: 1.9%Promotion: 4.3%Playoff: 12.7%Relegation: 26.1%6:30 PMAD Ceuta FC#22Winner: 1.0%Promotion: 2.4%Playoff: 8.3%Relegation: 37.0%
6:30 PMAD Ceuta FC#22Winner: 1.0%Promotion: 2.4%Playoff: 8.3%Relegation: 37.0%35%
33%
Andorra CF#20Winner: 1.0%Promotion: 2.4%Playoff: 8.6%Relegation: 36.2%12:00 PMReal Sociedad B#9Winner: 4.9%Promotion: 9.9%Playoff: 20.8%Relegation: 13.2%
12:00 PMReal Sociedad B#9Winner: 4.9%Promotion: 9.9%Playoff: 20.8%Relegation: 13.2%3%
86%
Cadiz CF#17Winner: 1.9%Promotion: 4.4%Playoff: 13.0%Relegation: 24.9%2:15 PMLas Palmas#14Winner: 3.4%Promotion: 7.3%Playoff: 17.2%Relegation: 17.4%
2:15 PMLas Palmas#14Winner: 3.4%Promotion: 7.3%Playoff: 17.2%Relegation: 17.4%24%
44%
Girona#5Winner: 6.9%Promotion: 13.2%Playoff: 23.6%Relegation: 10.1%4:30 PMCastellon#2Winner: 8.3%Promotion: 15.8%Playoff: 25.8%Relegation: 8.2%
4:30 PMCastellon#2Winner: 8.3%Promotion: 15.8%Playoff: 25.8%Relegation: 8.2%61%
15%
Sporting Gijon#8Winner: 5.8%Promotion: 11.8%Playoff: 22.7%Relegation: 10.7%12:00 PMCD Eldense#18Winner: 2.0%Promotion: 4.4%Playoff: 12.6%Relegation: 25.7%
12:00 PMCD Eldense#18Winner: 2.0%Promotion: 4.4%Playoff: 12.6%Relegation: 25.7%66%
12%
Valladolid#11Winner: 3.5%Promotion: 7.4%Playoff: 17.9%Relegation: 17.0%2:15 PMReal Oviedo#13Winner: 3.4%Promotion: 7.2%Playoff: 17.4%Relegation: 17.3%
2:15 PMReal Oviedo#13Winner: 3.4%Promotion: 7.2%Playoff: 17.4%Relegation: 17.3%25%
42%
Mallorca#10Winner: 3.7%Promotion: 7.8%Playoff: 18.0%Relegation: 16.6%4:30 PMSabadell#3Winner: 8.1%Promotion: 15.4%Playoff: 25.3%Relegation: 8.4%
4:30 PMSabadell#3Winner: 8.1%Promotion: 15.4%Playoff: 25.3%Relegation: 8.4%99%
0%
Tenerife#12Winner: 3.4%Promotion: 7.4%Playoff: 17.8%Relegation: 17.2%7:00 PMCD Leganés#4Winner: 8.0%Promotion: 15.4%Playoff: 25.4%Relegation: 8.2%
7:00 PMCD Leganés#4Winner: 8.0%Promotion: 15.4%Playoff: 25.4%Relegation: 8.2%3%
87%
After Round 3: Who Improved Their Chances the Most?
- ↓AD Ceuta FC's Releg probability dropped from 57.2% to 37% (-20.2%).
- ↓Albacete's Releg probability dropped from 52.4% to 36.7% (-15.7%).
- ↓Girona's Promo probability dropped from 23.8% to 13.2% (-10.6%).
- ↓CD Leganés's Promo probability dropped from 24.3% to 15.4% (-8.9%).
- ↓Sporting Gijon's Releg probability dropped from 19.6% to 10.7% (-8.9%).
Updated after every round · Monte Carlo simulation
La Liga 2 26/27 — Season Outlook
Win:
Promo:
Playoff:
La Liga 2 26/27 — Frequently Asked Questions
- Who will win the La Liga 2 26/27?
- Based on our supercomputer's latest simulations, Eibar currently have the highest title probability at 14%. With 39 rounds remaining the race is still live — CupChances re-runs up to millions of simulations every 10 minutes during every match.
- Which teams are most at risk of relegation from the La Liga 2 26/27?
- AD Ceuta FC currently faces the highest relegation risk at 37%, followed by Albacete at 37%. These figures update every 10 minutes during every match as the season unfolds.
- How does CupChances calculate La Liga 2 26/27 probabilities?
- Our supercomputer runs up to millions of Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining season, using each team's current points, goal difference and remaining fixture list. Every simulated season produces a complete final table, and the probabilities represent how often each outcome occurs across all those simulations.
- How often are the La Liga 2 26/27 predictions updated?
- Probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match — as long as the game is live, the numbers keep updating. Enable push notifications on this page to receive live probability shifts directly on your device.
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