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Athletic Club Promotion Chances 202624.1%

Brasileiro 2026, Serie B · Round 6 of 38 · Rank #11 · 5 MP

Athletic Club Brasileiro 2026, Serie B — Key Insights
6.3%
Winner
14.2%
Relegation
#11
Position
WDDWL
Last 5 matches
Explore detailed analysis below ↓

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Athletic Club are 11th in the Brasileiro 2026, Serie B 2026 season after 5 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 24.1% chance of promotion — with 32 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.

In their last 5 Brasileiro 2026, Serie B matches, Athletic Club have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.

Alongside their promotion probability, Athletic Club's winner chance currently stands at 6.3%.

Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining Brasileiro 2026, Serie B fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Athletic Club's 2026 season has evolved round by round.

Current Probabilities:

  • Winner: 6.3%
  • Promotion: 24.1%
  • Relegation: 14.2%

Next matches

Times in Coordinated Universal Time

Athletic Club#11Winner: 6.3%Promotion: 24.1%Relegation: 14.2%10:00 PMNáutico#17Winner: 3.7%Promotion: 16.8%Relegation: 21.1%
41%
32%
Vila Nova#1Winner: 11.5%Promotion: 36.6%Relegation: 7.2%3:00 PMAthletic Club#11Winner: 6.3%Promotion: 24.1%Relegation: 14.2%
43%
30%
Athletic Club#11Winner: 6.3%Promotion: 24.1%Relegation: 14.2%3:00 PMCuiabá#16Winner: 3.0%Promotion: 14.4%Relegation: 23.3%
41%
32%
Athletic Club#11Winner: 6.3%Promotion: 24.1%Relegation: 14.2%3:00 PMJuventude#5Winner: 7.3%Promotion: 27.1%Relegation: 11.6%
41%
32%
Botafogo-SP#10Winner: 4.4%Promotion: 19.1%Relegation: 18.0%3:00 PMAthletic Club#11Winner: 6.3%Promotion: 24.1%Relegation: 14.2%
55%
23%

Results so far

DateHomeScoreAway
2026-04-19Novorizontino#9Winner: 4.3%Promotion: 18.7%Relegation: 18.3%2 - 1Athletic Club#11Winner: 6.3%Promotion: 24.1%Relegation: 14.2%
2026-04-12CRB#19Winner: 0.6%Promotion: 4.5%Relegation: 48.5%2 - 3Athletic Club#11Winner: 6.3%Promotion: 24.1%Relegation: 14.2%
2026-04-05Athletic Club#11Winner: 6.3%Promotion: 24.1%Relegation: 14.2%1 - 1América-MG#20Winner: 0.7%Promotion: 4.5%Relegation: 48.7%
2026-04-01Criciúma#4Winner: 7.4%Promotion: 27.5%Relegation: 11.4%1 - 1Athletic Club#11Winner: 6.3%Promotion: 24.1%Relegation: 14.2%
2026-03-22Athletic Club#11Winner: 6.3%Promotion: 24.1%Relegation: 14.2%2 - 1Ponte Preta#14Winner: 3.2%Promotion: 15.2%Relegation: 22.3%