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Athletic Club Promotion Chances 2026 — 9.1%

Brasileiro 2026, Serie B · Round 20 of 38 · Rank #11 · 20 MP

Athletic Club Brasileiro 2026, Serie B — Key Insights
0.8%
Winner
6.4%
Relegation
#11
Position
LDDWD
Last 5 matches
Athletic Club are an outside contender for Promotion at 9.1%, currently ranked 11th — updated after every match.

Live — Updated at

Athletic Club are 11th in the Brasileiro 2026, Serie B 2026 season after 20 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 9.1% chance of promotion — with 18 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.

In their last 5 Brasileiro 2026, Serie B matches, Athletic Club have recorded 1 win, 3 draws, 1 defeat. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.

Alongside their promotion probability, Athletic Club's winner chance currently stands at 0.8%.

Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining Brasileiro 2026, Serie B fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Athletic Club's 2026 season has evolved round by round.

Current Probabilities:

  • Winner: 0.8%
  • Promotion: 9.1%
  • Relegation: 6.4%

Brasileiro 2026, Serie B — Competition Races:

Promotion Race →

← View all Brasileiro 2026, Serie B standings and odds

See also:

Novorizontino 2026 Season OddsAtlético-GO 2026 Season OddsCRB 2026 Season OddsGoiás 2026 Season OddsSport 2026 Season OddsSão Bernardo 2026 Season OddsNáutico 2026 Season OddsCuiabá 2026 Season OddsBotafogo-SP 2026 Season OddsCeará 2026 Season Odds

Next matches

Times in Coordinated Universal Time

Athletic Club#11Winner: 0.8%Promotion: 9.1%Relegation: 6.4%2:00 PMCriciúma#1Winner: 41.1%Promotion: 82.5%
45%
27%
América-MG#19Relegation: 94.1%9:30 PMAthletic Club#11Winner: 0.8%Promotion: 9.1%Relegation: 6.4%
17%
61%
Athletic Club#11Winner: 0.8%Promotion: 9.1%Relegation: 6.4%10:30 PMCRB#8Winner: 1.5%Promotion: 13.8%Relegation: 3.7%
45%
27%
Athletic Club#11Winner: 0.8%Promotion: 9.1%Relegation: 6.4%10:30 PMNovorizontino#6Winner: 6.8%Promotion: 36.5%Relegation: 0.5%
45%
27%
Náutico#13Winner: 0.2%Promotion: 4.0%Relegation: 14.3%3:00 PMAthletic Club#11Winner: 0.8%Promotion: 9.1%Relegation: 6.4%
47%
24%

Results so far

DateHomeScoreAway
2026-07-28Ponte Preta#20Relegation: 96.9%1 - 1Athletic Club#11Winner: 0.8%Promotion: 9.1%Relegation: 6.4%
2026-07-23Athletic Club#11Winner: 0.8%Promotion: 9.1%Relegation: 6.4%2 - 1São Bernardo#12Winner: 0.7%Promotion: 7.7%Relegation: 7.8%
2026-07-18Atlético-GO#7Winner: 2.9%Promotion: 21.8%Relegation: 1.7%0 - 0Athletic Club#11Winner: 0.8%Promotion: 9.1%Relegation: 6.4%
2026-07-13Ceará#16Winner: 0.1%Promotion: 1.0%Relegation: 34.1%0 - 0Athletic Club#11Winner: 0.8%Promotion: 9.1%Relegation: 6.4%
2026-07-07Athletic Club#11Winner: 0.8%Promotion: 9.1%Relegation: 6.4%0 - 1Operário-PR#2Winner: 12.0%Promotion: 51.0%Relegation: 0.1%
2026-06-28Athletic Club#11Winner: 0.8%Promotion: 9.1%Relegation: 6.4%1 - 0Avaí#18Promotion: 0.4%Relegation: 48.0%
2026-06-20Londrina#17Promotion: 0.4%Relegation: 46.8%2 - 0Athletic Club#11Winner: 0.8%Promotion: 9.1%Relegation: 6.4%
2026-06-14Athletic Club#11Winner: 0.8%Promotion: 9.1%Relegation: 6.4%1 - 1Goiás#9Winner: 1.5%Promotion: 13.6%Relegation: 3.8%
2026-06-10Sport#10Winner: 1.3%Promotion: 12.4%Relegation: 4.3%1 - 1Athletic Club#11Winner: 0.8%Promotion: 9.1%Relegation: 6.4%
2026-05-30Athletic Club#11Winner: 0.8%Promotion: 9.1%Relegation: 6.4%1 - 0Fortaleza#5Winner: 9.4%Promotion: 44.7%Relegation: 0.3%
2026-05-25Botafogo-SP#15Winner: 0.1%Promotion: 2.4%Relegation: 19.6%1 - 2Athletic Club#11Winner: 0.8%Promotion: 9.1%Relegation: 6.4%
2026-05-17Athletic Club#11Winner: 0.8%Promotion: 9.1%Relegation: 6.4%1 - 1Juventude#3Winner: 12.5%Promotion: 51.7%Relegation: 0.2%
2026-05-09Athletic Club#11Winner: 0.8%Promotion: 9.1%Relegation: 6.4%0 - 0Cuiabá#14Winner: 0.2%Promotion: 3.3%Relegation: 17.0%
2026-05-04Vila Nova#4Winner: 8.9%Promotion: 43.7%Relegation: 0.3%1 - 1Athletic Club#11Winner: 0.8%Promotion: 9.1%Relegation: 6.4%
2026-04-27Athletic Club#11Winner: 0.8%Promotion: 9.1%Relegation: 6.4%0 - 1Náutico#13Winner: 0.2%Promotion: 4.0%Relegation: 14.3%
2026-04-19Novorizontino#6Winner: 6.8%Promotion: 36.5%Relegation: 0.5%2 - 1Athletic Club#11Winner: 0.8%Promotion: 9.1%Relegation: 6.4%
2026-04-12CRB#8Winner: 1.5%Promotion: 13.8%Relegation: 3.7%2 - 3Athletic Club#11Winner: 0.8%Promotion: 9.1%Relegation: 6.4%
2026-04-05Athletic Club#11Winner: 0.8%Promotion: 9.1%Relegation: 6.4%1 - 1América-MG#19Relegation: 94.1%
2026-04-01Criciúma#1Winner: 41.1%Promotion: 82.5%1 - 1Athletic Club#11Winner: 0.8%Promotion: 9.1%Relegation: 6.4%
2026-03-22Athletic Club#11Winner: 0.8%Promotion: 9.1%Relegation: 6.4%2 - 1Ponte Preta#20Relegation: 96.9%