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Athletic Club Promo Chances 2026 — 21.5%

Brasileiro 2026, Serie B · Round 22 of 38 · Rank #8 · 22 MP

Athletic Club Brasileiro 2026, Serie B — Key Insights
2.5%
Win
1.4%
Releg
#8
Position
DWDWW
Last 5 matches
Athletic Club are in realistic contention for Promo at 21.5%, currently ranked 8th — updated after every match.

Live — Updated at

Athletic Club are 8th in the Brasileiro 2026, Serie B 2026 season after 22 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 21.5% chance of promo — with 16 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.

In their last 5 Brasileiro 2026, Serie B matches, Athletic Club have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.

Alongside their promo probability, Athletic Club's win chance currently stands at 2.5%.

Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining Brasileiro 2026, Serie B fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Athletic Club's 2026 season has evolved round by round.

Current Probabilities:

  • Win: 2.5%
  • Promo: 21.5%
  • Releg: 1.4%

Brasileiro 2026, Serie B — Competition Races:

Promotion Race →

More analysis

Win →Promo →Releg →Recent form →Upcoming Fixtures →

← View all Brasileiro 2026, Serie B standings and odds

See also:

Vila Nova Promo ChancesFortaleza Promo ChancesOperário-PR 2026 Season OddsSport 2026 Season OddsNovorizontino 2026 Season OddsCRB 2026 Season OddsGoiás 2026 Season OddsAtlético-GO 2026 Season OddsSão Bernardo 2026 Season OddsBotafogo-SP 2026 Season Odds

Next matches

Times in Coordinated Universal Time

Athletic Club#8Win: 2.5%Promo: 21.5%Releg: 1.4%10:30 PMCRB#9Win: 2.1%Promo: 17.8%Releg: 1.7%
46%
25%
Athletic Club#8Win: 2.5%Promo: 21.5%Releg: 1.4%10:30 PMNovorizontino#7Win: 3.3%Promo: 24.1%Releg: 1.1%
46%
25%
Náutico#15Win: 0.1%Promo: 2.2%Releg: 17.9%11:30 PMAthletic Club#8Win: 2.5%Promo: 21.5%Releg: 1.4%
45%
26%
Athletic Club#8Win: 2.5%Promo: 21.5%Releg: 1.4%11:30 PMVila Nova#3Win: 9.8%Promo: 46.7%Releg: 0.2%
46%
25%
Cuiabá#14Win: 0.3%Promo: 4.1%Releg: 10.9%11:30 PMAthletic Club#8Win: 2.5%Promo: 21.5%Releg: 1.4%
26%
44%

Results so far

DateHomeScoreAway
2026-08-16América-MG#19Releg: 98.5%1 - 3Athletic Club#8Win: 2.5%Promo: 21.5%Releg: 1.4%
2026-08-09Athletic Club#8Win: 2.5%Promo: 21.5%Releg: 1.4%2 - 0Criciúma#1Win: 45.6%Promo: 85.5%
2026-07-28Ponte Preta#20Releg: 99.1%1 - 1Athletic Club#8Win: 2.5%Promo: 21.5%Releg: 1.4%
2026-07-23Athletic Club#8Win: 2.5%Promo: 21.5%Releg: 1.4%2 - 1São Bernardo#12Win: 0.6%Promo: 7.5%Releg: 6.2%
2026-07-18Atlético-GO#11Win: 1.2%Promo: 12.4%Releg: 3.1%0 - 0Athletic Club#8Win: 2.5%Promo: 21.5%Releg: 1.4%
2026-07-13Ceará#16Promo: 0.8%Releg: 31.7%0 - 0Athletic Club#8Win: 2.5%Promo: 21.5%Releg: 1.4%
2026-07-07Athletic Club#8Win: 2.5%Promo: 21.5%Releg: 1.4%0 - 1Operário-PR#5Win: 4.7%Promo: 30.1%Releg: 0.5%
2026-06-28Athletic Club#8Win: 2.5%Promo: 21.5%Releg: 1.4%1 - 0Avaí#17Promo: 0.3%Releg: 47.3%
2026-06-20Londrina#18Promo: 0.1%Releg: 70.0%2 - 0Athletic Club#8Win: 2.5%Promo: 21.5%Releg: 1.4%
2026-06-14Athletic Club#8Win: 2.5%Promo: 21.5%Releg: 1.4%1 - 1Goiás#10Win: 1.4%Promo: 13.7%Releg: 2.8%
2026-06-10Sport#6Win: 3.9%Promo: 27.3%Releg: 0.8%1 - 1Athletic Club#8Win: 2.5%Promo: 21.5%Releg: 1.4%
2026-05-30Athletic Club#8Win: 2.5%Promo: 21.5%Releg: 1.4%1 - 0Fortaleza#4Win: 6.4%Promo: 36.9%Releg: 0.3%
2026-05-25Botafogo-SP#13Win: 0.6%Promo: 7.4%Releg: 6.4%1 - 2Athletic Club#8Win: 2.5%Promo: 21.5%Releg: 1.4%
2026-05-17Athletic Club#8Win: 2.5%Promo: 21.5%Releg: 1.4%1 - 1Juventude#2Win: 17.5%Promo: 61.6%
2026-05-09Athletic Club#8Win: 2.5%Promo: 21.5%Releg: 1.4%0 - 0Cuiabá#14Win: 0.3%Promo: 4.1%Releg: 10.9%
2026-05-04Vila Nova#3Win: 9.8%Promo: 46.7%Releg: 0.2%1 - 1Athletic Club#8Win: 2.5%Promo: 21.5%Releg: 1.4%
2026-04-27Athletic Club#8Win: 2.5%Promo: 21.5%Releg: 1.4%0 - 1Náutico#15Win: 0.1%Promo: 2.2%Releg: 17.9%
2026-04-19Novorizontino#7Win: 3.3%Promo: 24.1%Releg: 1.1%2 - 1Athletic Club#8Win: 2.5%Promo: 21.5%Releg: 1.4%
2026-04-12CRB#9Win: 2.1%Promo: 17.8%Releg: 1.7%2 - 3Athletic Club#8Win: 2.5%Promo: 21.5%Releg: 1.4%
2026-04-05Athletic Club#8Win: 2.5%Promo: 21.5%Releg: 1.4%1 - 1América-MG#19Releg: 98.5%
2026-04-01Criciúma#1Win: 45.6%Promo: 85.5%1 - 1Athletic Club#8Win: 2.5%Promo: 21.5%Releg: 1.4%
2026-03-22Athletic Club#8Win: 2.5%Promo: 21.5%Releg: 1.4%2 - 1Ponte Preta#20Releg: 99.1%