Vila Nova
Vila Nova Promo Chances 2026 — 90.9%
Brasileiro 2026, Serie B · Round 31 of 38 · Rank #1 · 31 MP
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Vila Nova are 1st in the Brasileiro 2026, Serie B 2026 season after 31 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 90.9% chance of promo — with 7 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.
In their last 5 Brasileiro 2026, Serie B matches, Vila Nova have recorded 4 wins, 1 draw. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.
Alongside their promo probability, Vila Nova's win chance currently stands at 43.2%.
Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining Brasileiro 2026, Serie B fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Vila Nova's 2026 season has evolved round by round.
Current Probabilities:
- Win: 43.2%
- Promo: 90.9%
- Releg: 0.0%Since 2026-08-19
Brasileiro 2026, Serie B — Competition Races:
More analysis
← View all Brasileiro 2026, Serie B standings and odds
See also:
Next matches
Times in Coordinated Universal Time
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Results so far
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-03 | Botafogo-SP#16Releg: 20.7% | 0 - 1 | Vila Nova#1Win: 43.2%Promo: 90.9% |
| 2026-09-25 | Vila Nova#1Win: 43.2%Promo: 90.9% | 2 - 0 |  Londrina#18Releg: 93.2% |
| 2026-09-18 | Vila Nova#1Win: 43.2%Promo: 90.9% | 1 - 0 |  América-MG#19Releg: 100.0% |
| 2026-09-14 | Avaí#17Releg: 82.9% | 1 - 1 | Vila Nova#1Win: 43.2%Promo: 90.9% |
| 2026-09-10 | Vila Nova#1Win: 43.2%Promo: 90.9% | 2 - 0 |  Goiás#12Promo: 0.1%Releg: 0.1% |
| 2026-09-04 | Athletic Club#14Promo: 0.1%Releg: 0.3% | 5 - 0 | Vila Nova#1Win: 43.2%Promo: 90.9% |
| 2026-08-30 | Vila Nova#1Win: 43.2%Promo: 90.9% | 2 - 0 |  Ceará#15Releg: 2.5% |
| 2026-08-23 | Operário-PR#8Win: 0.2%Promo: 6.7% | 0 - 0 | Vila Nova#1Win: 43.2%Promo: 90.9% |
| 2026-08-19 | Vila Nova#1Win: 43.2%Promo: 90.9% | 6 - 0 |  Ponte Preta#20Releg: 100.0% |
| 2026-08-15 | Atlético-GO#6Win: 3.3%Promo: 37.9% | 0 - 2 | Vila Nova#1Win: 43.2%Promo: 90.9% |
| 2026-08-08 | Vila Nova#1Win: 43.2%Promo: 90.9% | 0 - 1 |  Sport#9Win: 0.1%Promo: 4.2% |
| 2026-07-27 | CRB#7Win: 0.3%Promo: 9.1% | 2 - 0 | Vila Nova#1Win: 43.2%Promo: 90.9% |
| 2026-07-21 | Vila Nova#1Win: 43.2%Promo: 90.9% | 2 - 1 |  Fortaleza#5Win: 6.1%Promo: 46.7% |
| 2026-07-18 | Criciúma#4Win: 6.7%Promo: 51.1% | 2 - 0 | Vila Nova#1Win: 43.2%Promo: 90.9% |
| 2026-07-10 | Juventude#2Win: 27.7%Promo: 85.5% | 1 - 0 | Vila Nova#1Win: 43.2%Promo: 90.9% |
| 2026-07-06 | Vila Nova#1Win: 43.2%Promo: 90.9% | 2 - 1 |  São Bernardo#11Promo: 1.3% |
| 2026-06-26 | Novorizontino#3Win: 12.4%Promo: 64.7% | 2 - 1 | Vila Nova#1Win: 43.2%Promo: 90.9% |
| 2026-06-20 | Vila Nova#1Win: 43.2%Promo: 90.9% | 4 - 3 |  Náutico#13Promo: 0.1%Releg: 0.2% |
| 2026-06-14 | Cuiabá#10Promo: 1.7% | 1 - 0 | Vila Nova#1Win: 43.2%Promo: 90.9% |
| 2026-06-08 | Vila Nova#1Win: 43.2%Promo: 90.9% | 1 - 0 | Botafogo-SP#16Releg: 20.7% |
| 2026-05-31 | Londrina#18Releg: 93.2% | 0 - 1 | Vila Nova#1Win: 43.2%Promo: 90.9% |
| 2026-05-24 | América-MG#19Releg: 100.0% | 1 - 2 | Vila Nova#1Win: 43.2%Promo: 90.9% |
| 2026-05-17 | Vila Nova#1Win: 43.2%Promo: 90.9% | 2 - 0 | Avaí#17Releg: 82.9% |
| 2026-05-09 | Goiás#12Promo: 0.1%Releg: 0.1% | 1 - 0 | Vila Nova#1Win: 43.2%Promo: 90.9% |
| 2026-05-04 | Vila Nova#1Win: 43.2%Promo: 90.9% | 1 - 1 | Athletic Club#14Promo: 0.1%Releg: 0.3% |
| 2026-04-26 | Ceará#15Releg: 2.5% | 3 - 3 | Vila Nova#1Win: 43.2%Promo: 90.9% |
| 2026-04-18 | Vila Nova#1Win: 43.2%Promo: 90.9% | 2 - 1 | Operário-PR#8Win: 0.2%Promo: 6.7% |
| 2026-04-11 | Ponte Preta#20Releg: 100.0% | 0 - 1 | Vila Nova#1Win: 43.2%Promo: 90.9% |
| 2026-04-04 | Vila Nova#1Win: 43.2%Promo: 90.9% | 2 - 1 | Atlético-GO#6Win: 3.3%Promo: 37.9% |
| 2026-04-01 | Sport#9Win: 0.1%Promo: 4.2% | 1 - 1 | Vila Nova#1Win: 43.2%Promo: 90.9% |
| 2026-03-21 | Vila Nova#1Win: 43.2%Promo: 90.9% | 2 - 2 | CRB#7Win: 0.3%Promo: 9.1% |