Vila Nova
Vila Nova Promo Chances 2026 — 46.7%
Brasileiro 2026, Serie B · Round 22 of 38 · Rank #3 · 22 MP
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Vila Nova are 3rd in the Brasileiro 2026, Serie B 2026 season after 22 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 46.7% chance of promo — with 16 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.
In their last 5 Brasileiro 2026, Serie B matches, Vila Nova have recorded 2 wins, 3 defeats. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.
Alongside their promo probability, Vila Nova's win chance currently stands at 9.8%.
Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining Brasileiro 2026, Serie B fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Vila Nova's 2026 season has evolved round by round.
Current Probabilities:
- Win: 9.8%
- Promo: 46.7%
- Releg: 0.2%
Brasileiro 2026, Serie B — Competition Races:
More analysis
← View all Brasileiro 2026, Serie B standings and odds
See also:
Next matches
Times in Coordinated Universal Time
Results so far
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Atlético-GO#11Win: 1.2%Promo: 12.4%Releg: 3.1% | 0 - 2 | Vila Nova#3Win: 9.8%Promo: 46.7%Releg: 0.2% |
| 2026-08-08 | Vila Nova#3Win: 9.8%Promo: 46.7%Releg: 0.2% | 0 - 1 |  Sport#6Win: 3.9%Promo: 27.3%Releg: 0.8% |
| 2026-07-27 | CRB#9Win: 2.1%Promo: 17.8%Releg: 1.7% | 2 - 0 | Vila Nova#3Win: 9.8%Promo: 46.7%Releg: 0.2% |
| 2026-07-21 | Vila Nova#3Win: 9.8%Promo: 46.7%Releg: 0.2% | 2 - 1 |  Fortaleza#4Win: 6.4%Promo: 36.9%Releg: 0.3% |
| 2026-07-18 | Criciúma#1Win: 45.6%Promo: 85.5% | 2 - 0 | Vila Nova#3Win: 9.8%Promo: 46.7%Releg: 0.2% |
| 2026-07-10 | Juventude#2Win: 17.5%Promo: 61.6% | 1 - 0 | Vila Nova#3Win: 9.8%Promo: 46.7%Releg: 0.2% |
| 2026-07-06 | Vila Nova#3Win: 9.8%Promo: 46.7%Releg: 0.2% | 2 - 1 |  São Bernardo#12Win: 0.6%Promo: 7.5%Releg: 6.2% |
| 2026-06-26 | Novorizontino#7Win: 3.3%Promo: 24.1%Releg: 1.1% | 2 - 1 | Vila Nova#3Win: 9.8%Promo: 46.7%Releg: 0.2% |
| 2026-06-20 | Vila Nova#3Win: 9.8%Promo: 46.7%Releg: 0.2% | 4 - 3 |  Náutico#15Win: 0.1%Promo: 2.2%Releg: 17.9% |
| 2026-06-14 | Cuiabá#14Win: 0.3%Promo: 4.1%Releg: 10.9% | 1 - 0 | Vila Nova#3Win: 9.8%Promo: 46.7%Releg: 0.2% |
| 2026-06-08 | Vila Nova#3Win: 9.8%Promo: 46.7%Releg: 0.2% | 1 - 0 |  Botafogo-SP#13Win: 0.6%Promo: 7.4%Releg: 6.4% |
| 2026-05-31 | Londrina#18Promo: 0.1%Releg: 70.0% | 0 - 1 | Vila Nova#3Win: 9.8%Promo: 46.7%Releg: 0.2% |
| 2026-05-24 | América-MG#19Releg: 98.5% | 1 - 2 | Vila Nova#3Win: 9.8%Promo: 46.7%Releg: 0.2% |
| 2026-05-17 | Vila Nova#3Win: 9.8%Promo: 46.7%Releg: 0.2% | 2 - 0 |  Avaí#17Promo: 0.3%Releg: 47.3% |
| 2026-05-09 | Goiás#10Win: 1.4%Promo: 13.7%Releg: 2.8% | 1 - 0 | Vila Nova#3Win: 9.8%Promo: 46.7%Releg: 0.2% |
| 2026-05-04 | Vila Nova#3Win: 9.8%Promo: 46.7%Releg: 0.2% | 1 - 1 |  Athletic Club#8Win: 2.5%Promo: 21.5%Releg: 1.4% |
| 2026-04-26 | Ceará#16Promo: 0.8%Releg: 31.7% | 3 - 3 | Vila Nova#3Win: 9.8%Promo: 46.7%Releg: 0.2% |
| 2026-04-18 | Vila Nova#3Win: 9.8%Promo: 46.7%Releg: 0.2% | 2 - 1 |  Operário-PR#5Win: 4.7%Promo: 30.1%Releg: 0.5% |
| 2026-04-11 | Ponte Preta#20Releg: 99.1% | 0 - 1 | Vila Nova#3Win: 9.8%Promo: 46.7%Releg: 0.2% |
| 2026-04-04 | Vila Nova#3Win: 9.8%Promo: 46.7%Releg: 0.2% | 2 - 1 | Atlético-GO#11Win: 1.2%Promo: 12.4%Releg: 3.1% |
| 2026-04-01 | Sport#6Win: 3.9%Promo: 27.3%Releg: 0.8% | 1 - 1 | Vila Nova#3Win: 9.8%Promo: 46.7%Releg: 0.2% |
| 2026-03-21 | Vila Nova#3Win: 9.8%Promo: 46.7%Releg: 0.2% | 2 - 2 | CRB#9Win: 2.1%Promo: 17.8%Releg: 1.7% |