Ceará
Ceará Releg Chances 2026 — 4.5%
Brasileiro 2026, Serie B · Round 32 of 38 · Rank #15 · 31 MP
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Ceará are 15th in the Brasileiro 2026, Serie B 2026 season after 31 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 4.5% chance of releg — with 6 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.
In their last 5 Brasileiro 2026, Serie B matches, Ceará have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.
Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining Brasileiro 2026, Serie B fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Ceará's 2026 season has evolved round by round.
Current Probabilities:
- Win: 0.0%Since 2026-08-15
- Promo: 0.0%Since 2026-09-09
- Releg: 4.5%
Brasileiro 2026, Serie B — Competition Races:
More analysis
← View all Brasileiro 2026, Serie B standings and odds
See also:
Next matches
Times in Coordinated Universal Time
Latest News
Title: Key Clash Looms as Ceará Hosts Criciúma in Pivotal Matchup
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Vila Nova's Championship Prospects Surge
Round-upVila Nova's probability of winning the Serie B title jumped significantly from 30.4% to 43.2% following their 1-0 victory over Botafogo-SP. This result not only…
Atletico-GO Boosts Promotion Chances with Key Victory
Round-upAtlético-GO's promotion probability has surged from 20.8% to 34.6% following their 1-0 victory over Goiás. This pivotal win also improved their championship-win…
Vila Nova Soars to the Top While Novorizontino Stumbles
Round-upIn an exciting twist of events during Round 29 of the Brasileiro Serie B, Vila Nova's narrow 1-0 victory over América-MG has propelled them to first place in th…
Results so far
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-03 | Avaí#17Releg: 80.3% | 0 - 1 | Ceará#15Releg: 4.5% |
| 2026-09-26 | Operário-PR#9Promo: 1.9% | 2 - 2 | Ceará#15Releg: 4.5% |
| 2026-09-18 | Ceará#15Releg: 4.5% | 2 - 1 |  Novorizontino#4Win: 10.1%Promo: 60.9% |
| 2026-09-13 | Fortaleza#3Win: 9.4%Promo: 64.0% | 1 - 1 | Ceará#15Releg: 4.5% |
| 2026-09-09 | Atlético-GO#6Win: 0.7%Promo: 19.7% | 2 - 1 | Ceará#15Releg: 4.5% |
| 2026-09-05 | Ceará#15Releg: 4.5% | 2 - 1 |  Sport#8Win: 0.1%Promo: 7.6% |
| 2026-08-30 | Vila Nova#2Win: 30.7%Promo: 88.8% | 2 - 0 | Ceará#15Releg: 4.5% |
| 2026-08-22 | Ceará#15Releg: 4.5% | 2 - 1 |  Londrina#18Releg: 98.8% |
| 2026-08-18 | Náutico#13Promo: 0.1%Releg: 0.5% | 1 - 0 | Ceará#15Releg: 4.5% |
| 2026-08-15 | Ceará#15Releg: 4.5% | 1 - 3 |  Cuiabá#10Promo: 0.6% |
| 2026-08-07 | Ceará#15Releg: 4.5% | 2 - 0 |  Ponte Preta#20Releg: 100.0% |
| 2026-07-26 | São Bernardo#12Promo: 0.2% | 3 - 4 | Ceará#15Releg: 4.5% |
| 2026-07-22 | Ceará#15Releg: 4.5% | 0 - 1 |  CRB#7Win: 0.5%Promo: 14.6% |
| 2026-07-17 | América-MG#19Releg: 100.0% | 1 - 1 | Ceará#15Releg: 4.5% |
| 2026-07-13 | Ceará#15Releg: 4.5% | 0 - 0 |  Athletic Club#14Releg: 1.5% |
| 2026-07-04 | Goiás#11Promo: 0.2% | 2 - 0 | Ceará#15Releg: 4.5% |
| 2026-06-28 | Juventude#1Win: 43.4%Promo: 94.8% | 2 - 0 | Ceará#15Releg: 4.5% |
| 2026-06-20 | Ceará#15Releg: 4.5% | 0 - 1 |  Botafogo-SP#16Releg: 14.3% |
| 2026-06-15 | Criciúma#5Win: 5.0%Promo: 46.7% | 1 - 1 | Ceará#15Releg: 4.5% |
| 2026-06-10 | Ceará#15Releg: 4.5% | 2 - 1 | Avaí#17Releg: 80.3% |
| 2026-05-31 | Ceará#15Releg: 4.5% | 1 - 2 | Operário-PR#9Promo: 1.9% |
| 2026-05-23 | Novorizontino#4Win: 10.1%Promo: 60.9% | 2 - 1 | Ceará#15Releg: 4.5% |
| 2026-05-17 | Ceará#15Releg: 4.5% | 2 - 1 | Fortaleza#3Win: 9.4%Promo: 64.0% |
| 2026-05-09 | Ceará#15Releg: 4.5% | 0 - 1 | Atlético-GO#6Win: 0.7%Promo: 19.7% |
| 2026-05-03 | Sport#8Win: 0.1%Promo: 7.6% | 2 - 0 | Ceará#15Releg: 4.5% |
| 2026-04-26 | Ceará#15Releg: 4.5% | 3 - 3 | Vila Nova#2Win: 30.7%Promo: 88.8% |
| 2026-04-19 | Londrina#18Releg: 98.8% | 0 - 0 | Ceará#15Releg: 4.5% |
| 2026-04-11 | Ceará#15Releg: 4.5% | 1 - 0 | Náutico#13Promo: 0.1%Releg: 0.5% |
| 2026-04-04 | Cuiabá#10Promo: 0.6% | 0 - 2 | Ceará#15Releg: 4.5% |
| 2026-04-01 | Ponte Preta#20Releg: 100.0% | 1 - 1 | Ceará#15Releg: 4.5% |
| 2026-03-21 | Ceará#15Releg: 4.5% | 1 - 1 | São Bernardo#12Promo: 0.2% |