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Brasileiro 2026, Serie B·2026-08-28·Round 25

Novorizontino Surges, Athletic Club Stumbles

By Lorena Laís Mota · · Round-up

Novorizontino Surges, Athletic Club Stumbles

In a dynamic round 25 of Brazil's Serie B, Novorizontino has made a significant leap in their promotion quest, while Athletic Club faces a setback. Novorizontino's 2-1 victory over Sport has bolstered their promotion probability by a remarkable 14%, now sitting at 58.8%. This win also nudged their chances of winning the championship to 13.3%, a 5% increase. The result leaves Novorizontino just two points behind leaders Juventude, solidifying their ambitions for top-flight football next season.

Meanwhile, Athletic Club's unexpected 2-1 loss to Náutico has seen their promotion odds halved, dropping from 7.0% to a mere 3.5%. Adding to their woes, the team now faces an increased relegation threat, with probabilities rising from 4.9% to 7.8%. This drop in form has seen them slip in the standings, falling from 10th to 12th place. Náutico, on the other hand, climbed two spots to 13th place, with their relegation chances dropping to 6.1%, a 6.7% improvement.

Elsewhere, Goiás recorded a narrow 2-1 win against São Bernardo, a result that sees them improve their promotion chances to 9.5% and significantly reduce their relegation risk to just 2.5%. São Bernardo’s defeat has increased their relegation probability to 13.7%, making their path to safety a bit more precarious.

As the league enters its final stretch, the race for promotion intensifies with Novorizontino in a commanding position. However, with several teams still in the hunt, upcoming matches promise plenty of excitement and potential turning points. Keep an eye on the standings as each game could reshape the promotion and relegation landscape.

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