Copa Sul-Americana 2026 — Round 2 of 3
Updated at
Expected champion
Open the knockout detail page for the full elimination-stage outlook.
Atlético Mineiro42.6%→Probability of winning the championship
| # | Team | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atlético Mineiro#1Win: 42.6%Final: 94.6%SF: 100.0% | 42.6% |
| 2 |  Vasco#2Win: 30.3%Final: 52.3%SF: 100.0% | 30.3% |
| 3 |  Boca Juniors#3Win: 26.5%Final: 47.7%SF: 100.0% | 26.5% |
| 4 |  Montevideo City Torque#4Win: 0.6%Final: 5.4%SF: 100.0% | 0.6% |
| # | Team | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atlético Mineiro#1Win: 42.6%Final: 94.6%SF: 100.0% | 94.6% |
| 2 | Vasco#2Win: 30.3%Final: 52.3%SF: 100.0% | 52.3% |
| 3 | Boca Juniors#3Win: 26.5%Final: 47.7%SF: 100.0% | 47.7% |
| 4 | Montevideo City Torque#4Win: 0.6%Final: 5.4%SF: 100.0% | 5.4% |
| # | Team | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atlético Mineiro#1Win: 42.6%Final: 94.6%SF: 100.0% | 100.0% |
| 2 | Vasco#2Win: 30.3%Final: 52.3%SF: 100.0% | 100.0% |
| 3 | Boca Juniors#3Win: 26.5%Final: 47.7%SF: 100.0% | 100.0% |
| 4 | Montevideo City Torque#4Win: 0.6%Final: 5.4%SF: 100.0% | 100.0% |
Round 2 of 3
Table
| # | Team | MP | P | Title | F | SF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1↑2 | Atlético Mineiro#1Win: 42.6%Final: 94.6%SF: 100.0% | 0 | 0 | 43% | 95% | 100% |
2↓1 | Vasco#2Win: 30.3%Final: 52.3%SF: 100.0% | 0 | 0 | 30% | 52% | 100% |
3↓1 | Boca Juniors#3Win: 26.5%Final: 47.7%SF: 100.0% | 0 | 0 | 27% | 48% | 100% |
4↑1 | Montevideo City Torque#4Win: 0.6%Final: 5.4%SF: 100.0% | 0 | 0 | 1% | 5% | 100% |
5↓1 |  Cienciano#5 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — |
6 |  Independiente Santa Fe#6 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — |
7 |  Santos#7 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — |
8 |  São Paulo#8 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — |
Win
Next matches
Boca Juniors#3Winner: 26.5%Reaches Final: 47.7%Reaches Semifinals: 100.0%21:30Vasco#2Winner: 30.3%Reaches Final: 52.3%Reaches Semifinals: 100.0%
21:30Vasco#2Winner: 30.3%Reaches Final: 52.3%Reaches Semifinals: 100.0%Atlético Mineiro#1Winner: 42.6%Reaches Final: 94.6%Reaches Semifinals: 100.0%19:00Montevideo City Torque#4Winner: 0.6%Reaches Final: 5.4%Reaches Semifinals: 100.0%
19:00Montevideo City Torque#4Winner: 0.6%Reaches Final: 5.4%Reaches Semifinals: 100.0%Vasco#2Winner: 30.3%Reaches Final: 52.3%Reaches Semifinals: 100.0%21:30Boca Juniors#3Winner: 26.5%Reaches Final: 47.7%Reaches Semifinals: 100.0%
21:30Boca Juniors#3Winner: 26.5%Reaches Final: 47.7%Reaches Semifinals: 100.0%Montevideo City Torque#4Winner: 0.6%Reaches Final: 5.4%Reaches Semifinals: 100.0%19:00Atlético Mineiro#1Winner: 42.6%Reaches Final: 94.6%Reaches Semifinals: 100.0%
19:00Atlético Mineiro#1Winner: 42.6%Reaches Final: 94.6%Reaches Semifinals: 100.0%Copa Sul-Americana 2026 — Season Outlook
Win:
Final:
Copa Sul-Americana 2026 — Frequently Asked Questions
- Who will win the Copa Sul-Americana 2026?
- Based on our supercomputer's latest simulations, Atlético Mineiro currently have the highest title probability at 43%. With 1 rounds remaining the race is still live — CupChances re-runs up to millions of simulations every 10 minutes during every match.
- How does CupChances calculate Copa Sul-Americana 2026 probabilities?
- Our supercomputer runs up to millions of Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining season, using each team's current points, goal difference and remaining fixture list. Every simulated season produces a complete final table, and the probabilities represent how often each outcome occurs across all those simulations.
- How often are the Copa Sul-Americana 2026 predictions updated?
- Probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match — as long as the game is live, the numbers keep updating. Enable push notifications on this page to receive live probability shifts directly on your device.