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Serie B 26/27 — Round 5 of 38

Updated at

Probability of winning the championship
#Team%
1Palermo logoPalermo#1Win: 17.9%Promo: 30.8%Playoff: 43.1%Playout: 2.9%Releg: 2.0%
17.9%
2Sudtirol logoSudtirol#2Win: 12.4%Promo: 22.5%Playoff: 42.3%Playout: 4.5%Releg: 4.0%
12.4%
3Mantova logoMantova#3Win: 12.0%Promo: 22.0%Playoff: 42.3%Playout: 4.5%Releg: 3.9%
12.0%
4Modena logoModena#4Win: 8.9%Promo: 17.3%Playoff: 41.2%Playout: 5.7%Releg: 5.2%
8.9%
5Ascoli logoAscoli#5Win: 8.7%Promo: 17.1%Playoff: 40.9%Playout: 5.7%Releg: 5.3%
8.7%
6Hellas Verona logoHellas Verona#8Win: 4.2%Promo: 9.0%Playoff: 32.6%Playout: 9.3%Releg: 11.7%
4.2%
7Avellino logoAvellino#9Win: 3.9%Promo: 8.5%Playoff: 32.1%Playout: 9.7%Releg: 11.9%
3.9%
8Cesena logoCesena#10Win: 3.9%Promo: 8.5%Playoff: 32.2%Playout: 9.6%Releg: 11.9%
3.9%
9Pisa logoPisa#11Win: 3.9%Promo: 8.4%Playoff: 31.1%Playout: 10.1%Releg: 12.2%
3.9%
10Benevento logoBenevento#7Win: 3.8%Promo: 8.3%Playoff: 31.8%Playout: 9.8%Releg: 12.3%
3.8%
11Padova logoPadova#6Win: 3.7%Promo: 8.2%Playoff: 31.2%Playout: 10.0%Releg: 12.6%
3.7%
12Arezzo logoArezzo#12Win: 2.7%Promo: 6.0%Playoff: 26.4%Playout: 11.8%Releg: 17.7%
2.7%
13Empoli logoEmpoli#13Win: 2.7%Promo: 6.2%Playoff: 27.6%Playout: 11.5%Releg: 15.9%
2.7%
14Virtus Entella logoVirtus Entella#14Win: 2.3%Promo: 5.2%Playoff: 25.2%Playout: 12.1%Releg: 18.7%
2.3%
15Cremonese logoCremonese#16Win: 2.2%Promo: 5.0%Playoff: 24.0%Playout: 12.7%Releg: 19.3%
2.2%
16Vicenza logoVicenza#15Win: 2.0%Promo: 4.7%Playoff: 23.8%Playout: 13.0%Releg: 20.0%
2.0%
17Juve Stabia logoJuve Stabia#17Win: 2.0%Promo: 4.8%Playoff: 23.8%Playout: 12.8%Releg: 20.1%
2.0%
18Sampdoria logoSampdoria#18Win: 1.4%Promo: 3.5%Playoff: 20.1%Playout: 14.2%Releg: 24.7%
1.4%
19Catanzaro logoCatanzaro#19Win: 1.1%Promo: 2.6%Playoff: 17.0%Playout: 14.9%Releg: 29.8%
1.1%
20Carrarese logoCarrarese#20Win: 0.5%Promo: 1.4%Playoff: 11.5%Playout: 15.2%Releg: 40.9%
0.5%

Next matches

Times in Coordinated Universal Time

Avellino#9Winner: 3.9%Promotion: 8.5%Playoff: 32.1%Playout: 9.7%Relegation: 11.9%6:30 PMSampdoria#18Winner: 1.4%Promotion: 3.5%Playoff: 20.1%Playout: 14.2%Relegation: 24.7%
7%
77%
Empoli#13Winner: 2.7%Promotion: 6.2%Playoff: 27.6%Playout: 11.5%Relegation: 15.9%1:00 PMPalermo#1Winner: 17.9%Promotion: 30.8%Playoff: 43.1%Playout: 2.9%Relegation: 2.0%
64%
13%
Sudtirol#2Winner: 12.4%Promotion: 22.5%Playoff: 42.3%Playout: 4.5%Relegation: 4.0%1:00 PMAscoli#5Winner: 8.7%Promotion: 17.1%Playoff: 40.9%Playout: 5.7%Relegation: 5.3%
43%
28%
Benevento#7Winner: 3.8%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 31.8%Playout: 9.8%Relegation: 12.3%1:00 PMCesena#10Winner: 3.9%Promotion: 8.5%Playoff: 32.2%Playout: 9.6%Relegation: 11.9%
5%
83%
Virtus Entella#14Winner: 2.3%Promotion: 5.2%Playoff: 25.2%Playout: 12.1%Relegation: 18.7%1:00 PMJuve Stabia#17Winner: 2.0%Promotion: 4.8%Playoff: 23.8%Playout: 12.8%Relegation: 20.1%
8%
77%
Vicenza#15Winner: 2.0%Promotion: 4.7%Playoff: 23.8%Playout: 13.0%Relegation: 20.0%3:15 PMPisa#11Winner: 3.9%Promotion: 8.4%Playoff: 31.1%Playout: 10.1%Relegation: 12.2%
2%
92%
Arezzo#12Winner: 2.7%Promotion: 6.0%Playoff: 26.4%Playout: 11.8%Relegation: 17.7%5:30 PMCremonese#16Winner: 2.2%Promotion: 5.0%Playoff: 24.0%Playout: 12.7%Relegation: 19.3%
40%
32%
Catanzaro#19Winner: 1.1%Promotion: 2.6%Playoff: 17.0%Playout: 14.9%Relegation: 29.8%1:00 PMMantova#3Winner: 12.0%Promotion: 22.0%Playoff: 42.3%Playout: 4.5%Relegation: 3.9%
43%
29%
Padova#6Winner: 3.7%Promotion: 8.2%Playoff: 31.2%Playout: 10.0%Relegation: 12.6%3:15 PMCarrarese#20Winner: 0.5%Promotion: 1.4%Playoff: 11.5%Playout: 15.2%Relegation: 40.9%
2%
90%
Modena#4Winner: 8.9%Promotion: 17.3%Playoff: 41.2%Playout: 5.7%Relegation: 5.2%5:30 PMHellas Verona#8Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 9.0%Playoff: 32.6%Playout: 9.3%Relegation: 11.7%
60%
16%

After Round 5: Who Improved Their Chances the Most?

  • ↓Carrarese's Releg probability dropped from 58% to 40.9% (-17.1%).
  • ↓Hellas Verona's Promo probability dropped from 24.9% to 9% (-15.9%).
  • ↓Juve Stabia's Releg probability dropped from 33.7% to 20.1% (-13.6%).
  • ↑Vicenza's Releg probability climbed from 8.9% to 20% (+11.1%).
  • ↑Virtus Entella's Releg probability climbed from 9.4% to 18.7% (+9.3%).

Updated after every round · Monte Carlo simulation

Serie B 26/27 — Season Outlook

Serie B 26/27 — Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win the Serie B 26/27?
Based on our supercomputer's latest simulations, Palermo currently have the highest title probability at 18%. With 33 rounds remaining the race is still live — CupChances re-runs up to millions of simulations every 10 minutes during every match.
Which teams are most at risk of relegation from the Serie B 26/27?
Carrarese currently faces the highest relegation risk at 41%, followed by Catanzaro at 30%. These figures update every 10 minutes during every match as the season unfolds.
How does CupChances calculate Serie B 26/27 probabilities?
Our supercomputer runs up to millions of Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining season, using each team's current points, goal difference and remaining fixture list. Every simulated season produces a complete final table, and the probabilities represent how often each outcome occurs across all those simulations.
How often are the Serie B 26/27 predictions updated?
Probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match — as long as the game is live, the numbers keep updating. Enable push notifications on this page to receive live probability shifts directly on your device.