Serie B 26/27 — Round 5 of 38
Updated at
Probability of winning the championship
| # | Team | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17.9% | |
| 2 | 12.4% | |
| 3 | 12.0% | |
| 4 | 8.9% | |
| 5 | 8.7% | |
| 6 | 4.2% | |
| 7 | 3.9% | |
| 8 | 3.9% | |
| 9 | 3.9% | |
| 10 | 3.8% | |
| 11 | 3.7% | |
| 12 | 2.7% | |
| 13 | 2.7% | |
| 14 | 2.3% | |
| 15 | 2.2% | |
| 16 | 2.0% | |
| 17 | 2.0% | |
| 18 | 1.4% | |
| 19 | 1.1% | |
| 20 | 0.5% |
Probability of being promoted to the first division
| # | Team | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30.8% | |
| 2 | 22.5% | |
| 3 | 22.0% | |
| 4 | 17.3% | |
| 5 | 17.1% | |
| 6 | 9.0% | |
| 7 | 8.5% | |
| 8 | 8.5% | |
| 9 | 8.4% | |
| 10 | 8.3% | |
| 11 | 8.2% | |
| 12 | 6.2% | |
| 13 | 6.0% | |
| 14 | 5.2% | |
| 15 | 5.0% | |
| 16 | 4.8% | |
| 17 | 4.7% | |
| 18 | 3.5% | |
| 19 | 2.6% | |
| 20 | 1.4% |
Chances of participation in the playoff phase
| # | Team | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 43.1% | |
| 2 | 42.3% | |
| 3 | 42.3% | |
| 4 | 41.2% | |
| 5 | 40.9% | |
| 6 | 32.6% | |
| 7 | 32.2% | |
| 8 | 32.1% | |
| 9 | 31.8% | |
| 10 | 31.2% | |
| 11 | 31.1% | |
| 12 | 27.6% | |
| 13 | 26.4% | |
| 14 | 25.2% | |
| 15 | 24.0% | |
| 16 | 23.8% | |
| 17 | 23.8% | |
| 18 | 20.1% | |
| 19 | 17.0% | |
| 20 | 11.5% |
Chances of participation in the playout phase
| # | Team | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15.2% | |
| 2 | 14.9% | |
| 3 | 14.2% | |
| 4 | 13.0% | |
| 5 | 12.8% | |
| 6 | 12.7% | |
| 7 | 12.1% | |
| 8 | 11.8% | |
| 9 | 11.5% | |
| 10 | 10.1% | |
| 11 | 10.0% | |
| 12 | 9.8% | |
| 13 | 9.7% | |
| 14 | 9.6% | |
| 15 | 9.3% | |
| 16 | 5.7% | |
| 17 | 5.7% | |
| 18 | 4.5% | |
| 19 | 4.5% | |
| 20 | 2.9% |
Probability of being relegated at the end of the championship
| # | Team | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 40.9% | |
| 2 | 29.8% | |
| 3 | 24.7% | |
| 4 | 20.1% | |
| 5 | 20.0% | |
| 6 | 19.3% | |
| 7 | 18.7% | |
| 8 | 17.7% | |
| 9 | 15.9% | |
| 10 | 12.6% | |
| 11 | 12.3% | |
| 12 | 12.2% | |
| 13 | 11.9% | |
| 14 | 11.9% | |
| 15 | 11.7% | |
| 16 | 5.3% | |
| 17 | 5.2% | |
| 18 | 4.0% | |
| 19 | 3.9% | |
| 20 | 2.0% |
Round 5 of 38
Table
| # | Team | MP | P | Title | Promo | PO | Out | Rel |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1↑1 | 5 | 13 | 18% | 31% | 43% | 3% | 2% | |
2↑1 | 5 | 11 | 12% | 23% | 42% | 5% | 4% | |
3↓2 | 5 | 11 | 12% | 22% | 42% | 5% | 4% | |
4↑2 | 5 | 10 | 9% | 17% | 41% | 6% | 5% | |
5↑2 | 5 | 10 | 9% | 17% | 41% | 6% | 5% | |
6↓1 | 5 | 7 | 4% | 8% | 31% | 10% | 13% | |
7↑6 | 5 | 7 | 4% | 8% | 32% | 10% | 12% | |
8↑6 | 5 | 7 | 4% | 9% | 33% | 9% | 12% | |
9↓5 | 5 | 7 | 4% | 9% | 32% | 10% | 12% | |
10↓1 | 5 | 7 | 4% | 9% | 32% | 10% | 12% | |
11↓1 | 5 | 7 | 4% | 8% | 31% | 10% | 12% | |
12↓4 | 5 | 6 | 3% | 6% | 26% | 12% | 18% | |
13↓2 | 5 | 6 | 3% | 6% | 28% | 12% | 16% | |
14↑1 | 5 | 5 | 2% | 5% | 25% | 12% | 19% | |
15↓3 | 5 | 5 | 2% | 5% | 24% | 13% | 20% | |
16 | 5 | 5 | 2% | 5% | 24% | 13% | 19% | |
17 | 5 | 5 | 2% | 5% | 24% | 13% | 20% | |
18↑2 | 5 | 4 | 1% | 4% | 20% | 14% | 25% | |
19↓1 | 5 | 3 | 1% | 3% | 17% | 15% | 30% | |
20↓1 | 5 | 1 | 1% | 1% | 12% | 15% | 41% |
WinPromoPlayoffPlayoutReleg
Next matches
Times in Coordinated Universal Time
Empoli#13Winner: 2.7%Promotion: 6.2%Playoff: 27.6%Playout: 11.5%Relegation: 15.9%
1:00 PM
Palermo#1Winner: 17.9%Promotion: 30.8%Playoff: 43.1%Playout: 2.9%Relegation: 2.0%
64%
13%
Sudtirol#2Winner: 12.4%Promotion: 22.5%Playoff: 42.3%Playout: 4.5%Relegation: 4.0%
1:00 PM
Ascoli#5Winner: 8.7%Promotion: 17.1%Playoff: 40.9%Playout: 5.7%Relegation: 5.3%
43%
28%
Benevento#7Winner: 3.8%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 31.8%Playout: 9.8%Relegation: 12.3%
1:00 PM
Cesena#10Winner: 3.9%Promotion: 8.5%Playoff: 32.2%Playout: 9.6%Relegation: 11.9%
5%
83%
Virtus Entella#14Winner: 2.3%Promotion: 5.2%Playoff: 25.2%Playout: 12.1%Relegation: 18.7%
1:00 PM
Juve Stabia#17Winner: 2.0%Promotion: 4.8%Playoff: 23.8%Playout: 12.8%Relegation: 20.1%
8%
77%
Catanzaro#19Winner: 1.1%Promotion: 2.6%Playoff: 17.0%Playout: 14.9%Relegation: 29.8%
1:00 PM
Mantova#3Winner: 12.0%Promotion: 22.0%Playoff: 42.3%Playout: 4.5%Relegation: 3.9%
43%
29%
Padova#6Winner: 3.7%Promotion: 8.2%Playoff: 31.2%Playout: 10.0%Relegation: 12.6%
3:15 PM
Carrarese#20Winner: 0.5%Promotion: 1.4%Playoff: 11.5%Playout: 15.2%Relegation: 40.9%
2%
90%
Modena#4Winner: 8.9%Promotion: 17.3%Playoff: 41.2%Playout: 5.7%Relegation: 5.2%
5:30 PM
Hellas Verona#8Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 9.0%Playoff: 32.6%Playout: 9.3%Relegation: 11.7%
60%
16%
After Round 5: Who Improved Their Chances the Most?
- ↓Carrarese's Releg probability dropped from 58% to 40.9% (-17.1%).
- ↓Hellas Verona's Promo probability dropped from 24.9% to 9% (-15.9%).
- ↓Juve Stabia's Releg probability dropped from 33.7% to 20.1% (-13.6%).
- ↑Vicenza's Releg probability climbed from 8.9% to 20% (+11.1%).
- ↑Virtus Entella's Releg probability climbed from 9.4% to 18.7% (+9.3%).
Updated after every round · Monte Carlo simulation
Serie B 26/27 — Season Outlook
Win:
Promo:
Playoff:
Playout:
Serie B 26/27 — Frequently Asked Questions
- Who will win the Serie B 26/27?
- Based on our supercomputer's latest simulations, Palermo currently have the highest title probability at 18%. With 33 rounds remaining the race is still live — CupChances re-runs up to millions of simulations every 10 minutes during every match.
- Which teams are most at risk of relegation from the Serie B 26/27?
- Carrarese currently faces the highest relegation risk at 41%, followed by Catanzaro at 30%. These figures update every 10 minutes during every match as the season unfolds.
- How does CupChances calculate Serie B 26/27 probabilities?
- Our supercomputer runs up to millions of Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining season, using each team's current points, goal difference and remaining fixture list. Every simulated season produces a complete final table, and the probabilities represent how often each outcome occurs across all those simulations.
- How often are the Serie B 26/27 predictions updated?
- Probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match — as long as the game is live, the numbers keep updating. Enable push notifications on this page to receive live probability shifts directly on your device.
Past editions