Serie B 26/27 — Round 3 of 38
Updated at
Probability of winning the championship
| # | Team | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14.6% | |
| 2 | 9.0% | |
| 3 | 8.5% | |
| 4 | 8.1% | |
| 5 | 7.1% | |
| 6 | 7.0% | |
| 7 | 7.0% | |
| 8 | 6.2% | |
| 9 | 5.0% | |
| 10 | 4.5% | |
| 11 | 3.8% | |
| 12 | 3.8% | |
| 13 | 2.8% | |
| 14 | 2.7% | |
| 15 | 2.7% | |
| 16 | 1.6% | |
| 17 | 1.5% | |
| 18 | 1.5% | |
| 19 | 1.5% | |
| 20 | 1.1% |
Probability of being promoted to the first division
| # | Team | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25.5% | |
| 2 | 17.3% | |
| 3 | 16.2% | |
| 4 | 16.0% | |
| 5 | 13.9% | |
| 6 | 13.7% | |
| 7 | 13.6% | |
| 8 | 12.9% | |
| 9 | 10.4% | |
| 10 | 9.4% | |
| 11 | 8.0% | |
| 12 | 8.0% | |
| 13 | 6.1% | |
| 14 | 6.0% | |
| 15 | 5.8% | |
| 16 | 3.7% | |
| 17 | 3.6% | |
| 18 | 3.5% | |
| 19 | 3.5% | |
| 20 | 2.6% |
Chances of participation in the playoff phase
| # | Team | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 41.6% | |
| 2 | 39.1% | |
| 3 | 38.8% | |
| 4 | 38.7% | |
| 5 | 36.8% | |
| 6 | 36.8% | |
| 7 | 36.6% | |
| 8 | 36.0% | |
| 9 | 33.3% | |
| 10 | 31.2% | |
| 11 | 29.8% | |
| 12 | 29.6% | |
| 13 | 26.3% | |
| 14 | 25.5% | |
| 15 | 25.1% | |
| 16 | 20.0% | |
| 17 | 19.7% | |
| 18 | 19.5% | |
| 19 | 19.2% | |
| 20 | 16.4% |
Chances of participation in the playout phase
| # | Team | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14.4% | |
| 2 | 14.2% | |
| 3 | 14.1% | |
| 4 | 14.0% | |
| 5 | 13.7% | |
| 6 | 12.1% | |
| 7 | 12.0% | |
| 8 | 11.9% | |
| 9 | 10.6% | |
| 10 | 10.5% | |
| 11 | 9.9% | |
| 12 | 9.0% | |
| 13 | 7.9% | |
| 14 | 7.6% | |
| 15 | 7.6% | |
| 16 | 7.4% | |
| 17 | 6.5% | |
| 18 | 6.4% | |
| 19 | 6.3% | |
| 20 | 4.1% |
Probability of being relegated at the end of the championship
| # | Team | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 32.1% | |
| 2 | 26.8% | |
| 3 | 26.5% | |
| 4 | 26.0% | |
| 5 | 25.3% | |
| 6 | 19.4% | |
| 7 | 18.9% | |
| 8 | 17.5% | |
| 9 | 13.9% | |
| 10 | 13.9% | |
| 11 | 12.9% | |
| 12 | 10.9% | |
| 13 | 8.5% | |
| 14 | 8.2% | |
| 15 | 8.2% | |
| 16 | 8.1% | |
| 17 | 6.6% | |
| 18 | 6.5% | |
| 19 | 6.3% | |
| 20 | 3.5% |
Round 3 of 38
Table
| # | Team | MP | P | Title | Promo | PO | Out | Rel |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1↑2 | 3 | 9 | 15% | 26% | 42% | 4% | 4% | |
2 | 3 | 7 | 9% | 17% | 39% | 6% | 6% | |
3↑4 | 3 | 7 | 9% | 16% | 39% | 7% | 7% | |
4 | 3 | 7 | 8% | 16% | 39% | 6% | 7% | |
5↑4 | 3 | 6 | 7% | 14% | 37% | 8% | 8% | |
6↓5 | 3 | 6 | 7% | 14% | 37% | 7% | 8% | |
7↑4 | 3 | 6 | 7% | 14% | 37% | 8% | 8% | |
8↑4 | 3 | 6 | 6% | 13% | 36% | 8% | 9% | |
9↓4 | 3 | 5 | 5% | 10% | 33% | 9% | 11% | |
10↑7 | 3 | 4 | 5% | 9% | 31% | 10% | 13% | |
11↓5 | 3 | 4 | 4% | 8% | 30% | 11% | 14% | |
12↑1 | 3 | 4 | 4% | 8% | 30% | 11% | 14% | |
13↑7 | 3 | 3 | 3% | 6% | 26% | 12% | 18% | |
14↓4 | 3 | 3 | 3% | 6% | 26% | 12% | 19% | |
15↓7 | 3 | 3 | 3% | 6% | 25% | 12% | 19% | |
16↑3 | 3 | 1 | 2% | 4% | 20% | 14% | 25% | |
17↓3 | 3 | 1 | 2% | 4% | 20% | 14% | 27% | |
18↓3 | 3 | 1 | 2% | 4% | 20% | 14% | 26% | |
19↓3 | 3 | 1 | 2% | 4% | 19% | 14% | 27% | |
20↓2 | 3 | 0 | 1% | 3% | 16% | 14% | 32% |
WinPromoPlayoffPlayoutReleg
Next matches
Times in Coordinated Universal Time
Empoli#8Winner: 6.2%Promotion: 12.9%Playoff: 36.0%Playout: 7.9%Relegation: 8.5%
5:00 PM
Arezzo#15Winner: 2.7%Promotion: 5.8%Playoff: 25.1%Playout: 12.1%Relegation: 19.4%
75%
7%
Pisa#7Winner: 7.0%Promotion: 13.6%Playoff: 36.6%Playout: 7.6%Relegation: 8.2%
7:00 PM
Virtus Entella#16Winner: 1.6%Promotion: 3.7%Playoff: 20.0%Playout: 14.2%Relegation: 25.3%
99%
0%
Benevento#17Winner: 1.5%Promotion: 3.5%Playoff: 19.5%Playout: 13.7%Relegation: 26.5%
7:00 PM
Hellas Verona#10Winner: 4.5%Promotion: 9.4%Playoff: 31.2%Playout: 9.9%Relegation: 12.9%
0%
98%
Sudtirol#3Winner: 8.5%Promotion: 16.2%Playoff: 38.8%Playout: 6.5%Relegation: 6.5%
1:00 PM
Modena#6Winner: 7.1%Promotion: 13.7%Playoff: 36.8%Playout: 7.4%Relegation: 8.2%
35%
35%
Padova#11Winner: 3.8%Promotion: 8.0%Playoff: 29.8%Playout: 10.5%Relegation: 13.9%
1:00 PM
Ascoli#4Winner: 8.1%Promotion: 16.0%Playoff: 38.7%Playout: 6.4%Relegation: 6.6%
0%
98%
Vicenza#12Winner: 3.8%Promotion: 8.0%Playoff: 29.6%Playout: 10.6%Relegation: 13.9%
1:00 PM
Juve Stabia#14Winner: 2.7%Promotion: 6.0%Playoff: 25.5%Playout: 12.0%Relegation: 18.9%
0%
99%
After Round 3: Who Improved Their Chances the Most?
- ↓Juve Stabia's Releg probability dropped from 32% to 18.9% (-13.1%).
- ↓Benevento's Releg probability dropped from 39.6% to 26.5% (-13.1%).
- ↓Hellas Verona's Playoff probability dropped from 42.9% to 31.2% (-11.7%).
- ↓Ascoli's Promo probability dropped from 27% to 16% (-11%).
- ↑Virtus Entella's Releg probability climbed from 14.9% to 25.3% (+10.4%).
Updated after every round · Monte Carlo simulation
Serie B 26/27 — Season Outlook
Win:
Promo:
Playoff:
Playout:
Serie B 26/27 — Frequently Asked Questions
- Who will win the Serie B 26/27?
- Based on our supercomputer's latest simulations, Palermo currently have the highest title probability at 15%. With 35 rounds remaining the race is still live — CupChances re-runs up to millions of simulations every 10 minutes during every match.
- Which teams are most at risk of relegation from the Serie B 26/27?
- Catanzaro currently faces the highest relegation risk at 32%, followed by Sampdoria at 27%. These figures update every 10 minutes during every match as the season unfolds.
- How does CupChances calculate Serie B 26/27 probabilities?
- Our supercomputer runs up to millions of Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining season, using each team's current points, goal difference and remaining fixture list. Every simulated season produces a complete final table, and the probabilities represent how often each outcome occurs across all those simulations.
- How often are the Serie B 26/27 predictions updated?
- Probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match — as long as the game is live, the numbers keep updating. Enable push notifications on this page to receive live probability shifts directly on your device.
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