Skip to main content
Brasileiro 2026, Serie B·2026-09-13·Round 28

Atletico-GO's Promotion Hopes Surge After Dominant Victory

By Alberto Ibarra · · Round-up

Atletico-GO's Promotion Hopes Surge After Dominant Victory

Atletico-GO's probability of promotion increased significantly from 18.8% to 33.2% following their decisive 4-0 victory over Criciúma. This result not only propelled Atletico-GO closer to the promotion zone but also enhanced their standing in the league to sixth place, just one point behind Criciúma, who saw their own promotion chances drop from 55.0% to 43.2%.

Juventude's promotion probability took a hit, decreasing from 81.8% to 75.0% after their unexpected 0-2 loss to Athletic Club. This defeat also impacted their championship probability, which fell from 31.5% to 25.1%. Despite maintaining their second-place position, they now share the same points as leaders Novorizontino, who drew 1-1 with Cuiabá. Fortaleza also experienced a minor decline in their promotion chances, dropping from 55.7% to 53.1% after a 1-1 draw with Ceará.

Athletic Club not only secured a surprising victory over Juventude but also improved their league standing, moving up from 13th to 10th place. This win helped reduce their relegation probability from 2.9% to 0.9%, solidifying their position in the league. Meanwhile, Ceará's relegation concerns increased slightly, with their probability rising from 29.3% to 31.9%.

As the league progresses, the promotion and relegation races are intensifying. The next rounds will be crucial for teams like Atletico-GO, as they aim to sustain their upward momentum, while Juventude will look to rebound and strengthen their push for the top spot.

Live probability analysis

Go to the championship page to see the complete probability analysis with updated title, promotion and relegation chances.

Check full probability analysis