Vila Nova
Vila Nova Promotion Chances 2026 — 43.7%
Brasileiro 2026, Serie B · Round 20 of 38 · Rank #4 · 20 MP
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Vila Nova are 4th in the Brasileiro 2026, Serie B 2026 season after 20 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 43.7% chance of promotion — with 18 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.
In their last 5 Brasileiro 2026, Serie B matches, Vila Nova have recorded 2 wins, 3 defeats. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.
Alongside their promotion probability, Vila Nova's winner chance currently stands at 8.9%.
Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining Brasileiro 2026, Serie B fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Vila Nova's 2026 season has evolved round by round.
Current Probabilities:
- Winner: 8.9%
- Promotion: 43.7%
- Relegation: 0.3%
Brasileiro 2026, Serie B — Competition Races:
← View all Brasileiro 2026, Serie B standings and odds
See also:
Next matches
Times in Coordinated Universal Time
7:00 PMVila Nova#4Winner: 8.9%Promotion: 43.7%Relegation: 0.3%
9:00 PMVila Nova#4Winner: 8.9%Promotion: 43.7%Relegation: 0.3%Results so far
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | CRB#8Winner: 1.5%Promotion: 13.8%Relegation: 3.7% | 2 - 0 | Vila Nova#4Winner: 8.9%Promotion: 43.7%Relegation: 0.3% |
| 2026-07-21 | Vila Nova#4Winner: 8.9%Promotion: 43.7%Relegation: 0.3% | 2 - 1 |  Fortaleza#5Winner: 9.4%Promotion: 44.7%Relegation: 0.3% |
| 2026-07-18 | Criciúma#1Winner: 41.1%Promotion: 82.5% | 2 - 0 | Vila Nova#4Winner: 8.9%Promotion: 43.7%Relegation: 0.3% |
| 2026-07-10 | Juventude#3Winner: 12.5%Promotion: 51.7%Relegation: 0.2% | 1 - 0 | Vila Nova#4Winner: 8.9%Promotion: 43.7%Relegation: 0.3% |
| 2026-07-06 | Vila Nova#4Winner: 8.9%Promotion: 43.7%Relegation: 0.3% | 2 - 1 |  São Bernardo#12Winner: 0.7%Promotion: 7.7%Relegation: 7.8% |
| 2026-06-26 | Novorizontino#6Winner: 6.8%Promotion: 36.5%Relegation: 0.5% | 2 - 1 | Vila Nova#4Winner: 8.9%Promotion: 43.7%Relegation: 0.3% |
| 2026-06-20 | Vila Nova#4Winner: 8.9%Promotion: 43.7%Relegation: 0.3% | 4 - 3 |  Náutico#13Winner: 0.2%Promotion: 4.0%Relegation: 14.3% |
| 2026-06-14 | Cuiabá#14Winner: 0.2%Promotion: 3.3%Relegation: 17.0% | 1 - 0 | Vila Nova#4Winner: 8.9%Promotion: 43.7%Relegation: 0.3% |
| 2026-06-08 | Vila Nova#4Winner: 8.9%Promotion: 43.7%Relegation: 0.3% | 1 - 0 |  Botafogo-SP#15Winner: 0.1%Promotion: 2.4%Relegation: 19.6% |
| 2026-05-31 | Londrina#17Promotion: 0.4%Relegation: 46.8% | 0 - 1 | Vila Nova#4Winner: 8.9%Promotion: 43.7%Relegation: 0.3% |
| 2026-05-24 | América-MG#19Relegation: 94.1% | 1 - 2 | Vila Nova#4Winner: 8.9%Promotion: 43.7%Relegation: 0.3% |
| 2026-05-17 | Vila Nova#4Winner: 8.9%Promotion: 43.7%Relegation: 0.3% | 2 - 0 |  Avaí#18Promotion: 0.4%Relegation: 48.0% |
| 2026-05-09 | Goiás#9Winner: 1.5%Promotion: 13.6%Relegation: 3.8% | 1 - 0 | Vila Nova#4Winner: 8.9%Promotion: 43.7%Relegation: 0.3% |
| 2026-05-04 | Vila Nova#4Winner: 8.9%Promotion: 43.7%Relegation: 0.3% | 1 - 1 |  Athletic Club#11Winner: 0.8%Promotion: 9.1%Relegation: 6.4% |
| 2026-04-26 | Ceará#16Winner: 0.1%Promotion: 1.0%Relegation: 34.1% | 3 - 3 | Vila Nova#4Winner: 8.9%Promotion: 43.7%Relegation: 0.3% |
| 2026-04-18 | Vila Nova#4Winner: 8.9%Promotion: 43.7%Relegation: 0.3% | 2 - 1 | Operário-PR#2Winner: 12.0%Promotion: 51.0%Relegation: 0.1% |
| 2026-04-11 | Ponte Preta#20Relegation: 96.9% | 0 - 1 | Vila Nova#4Winner: 8.9%Promotion: 43.7%Relegation: 0.3% |
| 2026-04-04 | Vila Nova#4Winner: 8.9%Promotion: 43.7%Relegation: 0.3% | 2 - 1 | Atlético-GO#7Winner: 2.9%Promotion: 21.8%Relegation: 1.7% |
| 2026-04-01 | Sport#10Winner: 1.3%Promotion: 12.4%Relegation: 4.3% | 1 - 1 | Vila Nova#4Winner: 8.9%Promotion: 43.7%Relegation: 0.3% |
| 2026-03-21 | Vila Nova#4Winner: 8.9%Promotion: 43.7%Relegation: 0.3% | 2 - 2 | CRB#8Winner: 1.5%Promotion: 13.8%Relegation: 3.7% |