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Vila Nova Promotion Chances 2026 — 36.6%

Brasileiro 2026, Serie B · Round 6 of 38 · Rank #1 · 6 MP

Vila Nova Brasileiro 2026, Serie B — Key Insights
11.5%
Winner
7.2%
Relegation
#1
Position
DWWWD
Last 5 matches
Explore detailed analysis below ↓

Live — Updated at

Vila Nova are 1st in the Brasileiro 2026, Serie B 2026 season after 6 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 36.6% chance of promotion — with 32 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.

In their last 5 Brasileiro 2026, Serie B matches, Vila Nova have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.

Alongside their promotion probability, Vila Nova's winner chance currently stands at 11.5%.

Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining Brasileiro 2026, Serie B fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Vila Nova's 2026 season has evolved round by round.

Current Probabilities:

  • Winner: 11.5%
  • Promotion: 36.6%
  • Relegation: 7.2%

Next matches

Times in Coordinated Universal Time

Vila Nova#1Winner: 11.5%Promotion: 36.6%Relegation: 7.2%3:00 PMAthletic Club#11Winner: 6.3%Promotion: 24.1%Relegation: 14.2%
43%
30%
Goiás#15Winner: 3.2%Promotion: 15.2%Relegation: 22.4%3:00 PMVila Nova#1Winner: 11.5%Promotion: 36.6%Relegation: 7.2%
41%
33%
Vila Nova#1Winner: 11.5%Promotion: 36.6%Relegation: 7.2%3:00 PMAvaí#12Winner: 4.3%Promotion: 18.6%Relegation: 18.2%
43%
30%
América-MG#20Winner: 0.7%Promotion: 4.5%Relegation: 48.7%3:00 PMVila Nova#1Winner: 11.5%Promotion: 36.6%Relegation: 7.2%
18%
52%
Londrina#18Winner: 1.8%Promotion: 9.6%Relegation: 31.9%3:00 PMVila Nova#1Winner: 11.5%Promotion: 36.6%Relegation: 7.2%
33%
38%

Results so far

DateHomeScoreAway
2026-04-26Ceará#6Winner: 6.9%Promotion: 26.1%Relegation: 12.2%3 - 3Vila Nova#1Winner: 11.5%Promotion: 36.6%Relegation: 7.2%
2026-04-18Vila Nova#1Winner: 11.5%Promotion: 36.6%Relegation: 7.2%2 - 1Operário-PR#8Winner: 5.3%Promotion: 21.9%Relegation: 15.3%
2026-04-11Ponte Preta#14Winner: 3.2%Promotion: 15.2%Relegation: 22.3%0 - 1Vila Nova#1Winner: 11.5%Promotion: 36.6%Relegation: 7.2%
2026-04-04Vila Nova#1Winner: 11.5%Promotion: 36.6%Relegation: 7.2%2 - 1Atlético-GO#13Winner: 3.2%Promotion: 15.4%Relegation: 22.2%
2026-04-01Sport#7Winner: 6.9%Promotion: 26.1%Relegation: 12.2%1 - 1Vila Nova#1Winner: 11.5%Promotion: 36.6%Relegation: 7.2%
2026-03-21Vila Nova#1Winner: 11.5%Promotion: 36.6%Relegation: 7.2%2 - 2CRB#19Winner: 0.6%Promotion: 4.5%Relegation: 48.5%