Vila Nova
Vila Nova Promo Chances 2026 — 74.7%
Brasileiro 2026, Serie B · Round 29 of 38 · Rank #1 · 29 MP
Live — Updated at
Vila Nova are 1st in the Brasileiro 2026, Serie B 2026 season after 29 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 74.7% chance of promo — with 9 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.
In their last 5 Brasileiro 2026, Serie B matches, Vila Nova have recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.
Alongside their promo probability, Vila Nova's win chance currently stands at 27.2%.
Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining Brasileiro 2026, Serie B fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Vila Nova's 2026 season has evolved round by round.
Current Probabilities:
- Win: 27.2%
- Promo: 74.7%
- Releg: 0.0%Since 2026-08-19
Brasileiro 2026, Serie B — Competition Races:
More analysis
← View all Brasileiro 2026, Serie B standings and odds
See also:
Next matches
Times in Coordinated Universal Time
Latest News
Fortaleza's Promotion Odds Skyrocket
Round-upFortaleza's recent victory over Londrina, with a 2-1 scoreline, significantly increased their promotion odds, moving from 54.3% to an impressive 70.7%. This res…
Vila Nova Soars to the Top While Novorizontino Stumbles
Round-upIn an exciting twist of events during Round 29 of the Brasileiro Serie B, Vila Nova's narrow 1-0 victory over América-MG has propelled them to first place in th…
High Stakes in the Championship Battle: Avaí vs Vila Nova and Fortaleza vs Ceará
Match PreviewRound 28 of the championship is poised to be a thriller, with the matches between Avaí and Vila Nova, and Fortaleza and Ceará likely to have significant implica…
São Bernardo's Promotion Hopes Dashed as Vila Nova Surges Forward
Round-upSão Bernardo has been mathematically eliminated from the promotion race following their 1-2 defeat to Londrina. Their promotion probability has dropped from 1.8…
Results so far
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | Vila Nova#1Win: 27.2%Promo: 74.7% | 1 - 0 |  América-MG#19Releg: 100.0% |
| 2026-09-14 | Avaí#17Releg: 62.1% | 1 - 1 | Vila Nova#1Win: 27.2%Promo: 74.7% |
| 2026-09-10 | Vila Nova#1Win: 27.2%Promo: 74.7% | 2 - 0 |  Goiás#11Win: 0.2%Promo: 4.9%Releg: 0.1% |
| 2026-09-04 | Athletic Club#13Win: 0.1%Promo: 2.0%Releg: 0.5% | 5 - 0 | Vila Nova#1Win: 27.2%Promo: 74.7% |
| 2026-08-30 | Vila Nova#1Win: 27.2%Promo: 74.7% | 2 - 0 |  Ceará#15Releg: 15.1% |
| 2026-08-23 | Operário-PR#8Win: 2.0%Promo: 18.6% | 0 - 0 | Vila Nova#1Win: 27.2%Promo: 74.7% |
| 2026-08-19 | Vila Nova#1Win: 27.2%Promo: 74.7% | 6 - 0 |  Ponte Preta#20Releg: 100.0% |
| 2026-08-15 | Atlético-GO#6Win: 2.3%Promo: 21.5% | 0 - 2 | Vila Nova#1Win: 27.2%Promo: 74.7% |
| 2026-08-08 | Vila Nova#1Win: 27.2%Promo: 74.7% | 0 - 1 |  Sport#9Win: 0.7%Promo: 9.7% |
| 2026-07-27 | CRB#7Win: 1.6%Promo: 17.3% | 2 - 0 | Vila Nova#1Win: 27.2%Promo: 74.7% |
| 2026-07-21 | Vila Nova#1Win: 27.2%Promo: 74.7% | 2 - 1 |  Fortaleza#2Win: 21.9%Promo: 70.3% |
| 2026-07-18 | Criciúma#5Win: 8.3%Promo: 43.1% | 2 - 0 | Vila Nova#1Win: 27.2%Promo: 74.7% |
| 2026-07-10 | Juventude#3Win: 16.8%Promo: 64.3% | 1 - 0 | Vila Nova#1Win: 27.2%Promo: 74.7% |
| 2026-07-06 | Vila Nova#1Win: 27.2%Promo: 74.7% | 2 - 1 |  São Bernardo#12Win: 0.1%Promo: 2.9%Releg: 0.3% |
| 2026-06-26 | Novorizontino#4Win: 18.4%Promo: 64.6% | 2 - 1 | Vila Nova#1Win: 27.2%Promo: 74.7% |
| 2026-06-20 | Vila Nova#1Win: 27.2%Promo: 74.7% | 4 - 3 |  Náutico#14Promo: 0.4%Releg: 2.9% |
| 2026-06-14 | Cuiabá#10Win: 0.3%Promo: 5.6%Releg: 0.1% | 1 - 0 | Vila Nova#1Win: 27.2%Promo: 74.7% |
| 2026-06-08 | Vila Nova#1Win: 27.2%Promo: 74.7% | 1 - 0 |  Botafogo-SP#16Releg: 40.5% |
| 2026-05-31 | Londrina#18Releg: 78.3% | 0 - 1 | Vila Nova#1Win: 27.2%Promo: 74.7% |
| 2026-05-24 | América-MG#19Releg: 100.0% | 1 - 2 | Vila Nova#1Win: 27.2%Promo: 74.7% |
| 2026-05-17 | Vila Nova#1Win: 27.2%Promo: 74.7% | 2 - 0 | Avaí#17Releg: 62.1% |
| 2026-05-09 | Goiás#11Win: 0.2%Promo: 4.9%Releg: 0.1% | 1 - 0 | Vila Nova#1Win: 27.2%Promo: 74.7% |
| 2026-05-04 | Vila Nova#1Win: 27.2%Promo: 74.7% | 1 - 1 | Athletic Club#13Win: 0.1%Promo: 2.0%Releg: 0.5% |
| 2026-04-26 | Ceará#15Releg: 15.1% | 3 - 3 | Vila Nova#1Win: 27.2%Promo: 74.7% |
| 2026-04-18 | Vila Nova#1Win: 27.2%Promo: 74.7% | 2 - 1 | Operário-PR#8Win: 2.0%Promo: 18.6% |
| 2026-04-11 | Ponte Preta#20Releg: 100.0% | 0 - 1 | Vila Nova#1Win: 27.2%Promo: 74.7% |
| 2026-04-04 | Vila Nova#1Win: 27.2%Promo: 74.7% | 2 - 1 | Atlético-GO#6Win: 2.3%Promo: 21.5% |
| 2026-04-01 | Sport#9Win: 0.7%Promo: 9.7% | 1 - 1 | Vila Nova#1Win: 27.2%Promo: 74.7% |
| 2026-03-21 | Vila Nova#1Win: 27.2%Promo: 74.7% | 2 - 2 | CRB#7Win: 1.6%Promo: 17.3% |