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Fortaleza Promotion Chances 2026 — 44.7%

Brasileiro 2026, Serie B · Round 20 of 38 · Rank #5 · 20 MP

Fortaleza Brasileiro 2026, Serie B — Key Insights
9.4%
Winner
0.3%
Relegation
#5
Position
WLWLW
Last 5 matches
Fortaleza are in realistic contention for Promotion at 44.7%, currently ranked 5th — updated after every match.

Live — Updated at

Fortaleza are 5th in the Brasileiro 2026, Serie B 2026 season after 20 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 44.7% chance of promotion — with 18 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.

In their last 5 Brasileiro 2026, Serie B matches, Fortaleza have recorded 3 wins, 2 defeats. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.

Alongside their promotion probability, Fortaleza's winner chance currently stands at 9.4%.

Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining Brasileiro 2026, Serie B fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Fortaleza's 2026 season has evolved round by round.

Current Probabilities:

  • Winner: 9.4%
  • Promotion: 44.7%
  • Relegation: 0.3%

Brasileiro 2026, Serie B — Competition Races:

Promotion Race →

← View all Brasileiro 2026, Serie B standings and odds

See also:

Criciúma Winner ChancesOperário-PR Promotion ChancesJuventude Promotion ChancesVila Nova Promotion ChancesNovorizontino 2026 Season OddsAtlético-GO 2026 Season OddsCRB 2026 Season OddsGoiás 2026 Season OddsSport 2026 Season Odds

Next matches

Times in Coordinated Universal Time

Cuiabá#14Winner: 0.2%Promotion: 3.3%Relegation: 17.0%9:00 PMFortaleza#5Winner: 9.4%Promotion: 44.7%Relegation: 0.3%
28%
42%
Juventude#3Winner: 12.5%Promotion: 51.7%Relegation: 0.2%9:30 PMFortaleza#5Winner: 9.4%Promotion: 44.7%Relegation: 0.3%
61%
12%
Fortaleza#5Winner: 9.4%Promotion: 44.7%Relegation: 0.3%10:30 PMSão Bernardo#12Winner: 0.7%Promotion: 7.7%Relegation: 7.8%
61%
18%
Criciúma#1Winner: 41.1%Promotion: 82.5%9:30 PMFortaleza#5Winner: 9.4%Promotion: 44.7%Relegation: 0.3%
62%
12%
Fortaleza#5Winner: 9.4%Promotion: 44.7%Relegation: 0.3%3:00 PMOperário-PR#2Winner: 12.0%Promotion: 51.0%Relegation: 0.1%
61%
18%

Results so far

DateHomeScoreAway
2026-07-28Fortaleza#5Winner: 9.4%Promotion: 44.7%Relegation: 0.3%1 - 0Botafogo-SP#15Winner: 0.1%Promotion: 2.4%Relegation: 19.6%
2026-07-21Vila Nova#4Winner: 8.9%Promotion: 43.7%Relegation: 0.3%2 - 1Fortaleza#5Winner: 9.4%Promotion: 44.7%Relegation: 0.3%
2026-07-17Fortaleza#5Winner: 9.4%Promotion: 44.7%Relegation: 0.3%1 - 0Novorizontino#6Winner: 6.8%Promotion: 36.5%Relegation: 0.5%
2026-07-12Atlético-GO#7Winner: 2.9%Promotion: 21.8%Relegation: 1.7%1 - 0Fortaleza#5Winner: 9.4%Promotion: 44.7%Relegation: 0.3%
2026-07-02Fortaleza#5Winner: 9.4%Promotion: 44.7%Relegation: 0.3%2 - 0Ponte Preta#20Relegation: 96.9%
2026-06-28Fortaleza#5Winner: 9.4%Promotion: 44.7%Relegation: 0.3%2 - 1Sport#10Winner: 1.3%Promotion: 12.4%Relegation: 4.3%
2026-06-21CRB#8Winner: 1.5%Promotion: 13.8%Relegation: 3.7%1 - 1Fortaleza#5Winner: 9.4%Promotion: 44.7%Relegation: 0.3%
2026-06-16Fortaleza#5Winner: 9.4%Promotion: 44.7%Relegation: 0.3%0 - 3América-MG#19Relegation: 94.1%
2026-06-09Náutico#13Winner: 0.2%Promotion: 4.0%Relegation: 14.3%0 - 1Fortaleza#5Winner: 9.4%Promotion: 44.7%Relegation: 0.3%
2026-05-30Athletic Club#11Winner: 0.8%Promotion: 9.1%Relegation: 6.4%1 - 0Fortaleza#5Winner: 9.4%Promotion: 44.7%Relegation: 0.3%
2026-05-23Fortaleza#5Winner: 9.4%Promotion: 44.7%Relegation: 0.3%3 - 0Londrina#17Promotion: 0.4%Relegation: 46.8%
2026-05-17Ceará#16Winner: 0.1%Promotion: 1.0%Relegation: 34.1%2 - 1Fortaleza#5Winner: 9.4%Promotion: 44.7%Relegation: 0.3%
2026-05-10Avaí#18Promotion: 0.4%Relegation: 48.0%0 - 0Fortaleza#5Winner: 9.4%Promotion: 44.7%Relegation: 0.3%
2026-05-02Fortaleza#5Winner: 9.4%Promotion: 44.7%Relegation: 0.3%4 - 1Goiás#9Winner: 1.5%Promotion: 13.6%Relegation: 3.8%
2026-04-26Operário-PR#2Winner: 12.0%Promotion: 51.0%Relegation: 0.1%0 - 0Fortaleza#5Winner: 9.4%Promotion: 44.7%Relegation: 0.3%
2026-04-19Fortaleza#5Winner: 9.4%Promotion: 44.7%Relegation: 0.3%3 - 2Criciúma#1Winner: 41.1%Promotion: 82.5%
2026-04-12São Bernardo#12Winner: 0.7%Promotion: 7.7%Relegation: 7.8%0 - 1Fortaleza#5Winner: 9.4%Promotion: 44.7%Relegation: 0.3%
2026-04-04Fortaleza#5Winner: 9.4%Promotion: 44.7%Relegation: 0.3%2 - 1Juventude#3Winner: 12.5%Promotion: 51.7%Relegation: 0.2%
2026-03-31Fortaleza#5Winner: 9.4%Promotion: 44.7%Relegation: 0.3%0 - 0Cuiabá#14Winner: 0.2%Promotion: 3.3%Relegation: 17.0%
2026-03-21Botafogo-SP#15Winner: 0.1%Promotion: 2.4%Relegation: 19.6%4 - 0Fortaleza#5Winner: 9.4%Promotion: 44.7%Relegation: 0.3%