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Fortaleza Promotion Chances 2026 — 30.9%

Brasileiro 2026, Serie B · Round 6 of 38 · Rank #2 · 6 MP

Fortaleza Brasileiro 2026, Serie B — Key Insights
8.8%
Winner
9.6%
Relegation
#2
Position
DWWWD
Last 5 matches
Explore detailed analysis below ↓

Live — Updated at

Fortaleza are 2nd in the Brasileiro 2026, Serie B 2026 season after 6 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 30.9% chance of promotion — with 32 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.

In their last 5 Brasileiro 2026, Serie B matches, Fortaleza have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.

Alongside their promotion probability, Fortaleza's winner chance currently stands at 8.8%.

Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining Brasileiro 2026, Serie B fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Fortaleza's 2026 season has evolved round by round.

Current Probabilities:

  • Winner: 8.8%
  • Promotion: 30.9%
  • Relegation: 9.6%

Next matches

Times in Coordinated Universal Time

Fortaleza#2Winner: 8.8%Promotion: 30.9%Relegation: 9.6%3:00 PMGoiás#15Winner: 3.2%Promotion: 15.2%Relegation: 22.4%
36%
31%
Avaí#12Winner: 4.3%Promotion: 18.6%Relegation: 18.2%3:00 PMFortaleza#2Winner: 8.8%Promotion: 30.9%Relegation: 9.6%
39%
31%
Ceará#6Winner: 6.9%Promotion: 26.1%Relegation: 12.2%3:00 PMFortaleza#2Winner: 8.8%Promotion: 30.9%Relegation: 9.6%
29%
38%
Fortaleza#2Winner: 8.8%Promotion: 30.9%Relegation: 9.6%3:00 PMLondrina#18Winner: 1.8%Promotion: 9.6%Relegation: 31.9%
36%
31%
Athletic Club#11Winner: 6.3%Promotion: 24.1%Relegation: 14.2%3:00 PMFortaleza#2Winner: 8.8%Promotion: 30.9%Relegation: 9.6%
41%
32%

Results so far

DateHomeScoreAway
2026-04-26Operário-PR#8Winner: 5.3%Promotion: 21.9%Relegation: 15.3%0 - 0Fortaleza#2Winner: 8.8%Promotion: 30.9%Relegation: 9.6%
2026-04-19Fortaleza#2Winner: 8.8%Promotion: 30.9%Relegation: 9.6%3 - 2Criciúma#4Winner: 7.4%Promotion: 27.5%Relegation: 11.4%
2026-04-12São Bernardo#3Winner: 7.4%Promotion: 27.6%Relegation: 11.4%0 - 1Fortaleza#2Winner: 8.8%Promotion: 30.9%Relegation: 9.6%
2026-04-04Fortaleza#2Winner: 8.8%Promotion: 30.9%Relegation: 9.6%2 - 1Juventude#5Winner: 7.3%Promotion: 27.1%Relegation: 11.6%
2026-03-31Fortaleza#2Winner: 8.8%Promotion: 30.9%Relegation: 9.6%0 - 0Cuiabá#16Winner: 3.0%Promotion: 14.4%Relegation: 23.3%
2026-03-21Botafogo-SP#10Winner: 4.4%Promotion: 19.1%Relegation: 18.0%4 - 0Fortaleza#2Winner: 8.8%Promotion: 30.9%Relegation: 9.6%