Skip to main content
Sport

Sport Promotion Chances 2026

Brasileirão Série B 2026

12.4%
↑ +0.1% since last round
Automatic Promotion
4.3%
Relegation

Sport are an outside contender for automatic promotion to the Brasileirão, with a 12.4% probability, and their odds are rising after the latest results.

Live — updated every 10 minutes during every matchRound 20Last updated: 1 day ago

📊 Full Probability Breakdown

Automatic Promotion12.4%
Relegation4.3%

Sport are currently 10th in the Brasileirão Série B 2026 table with 20 matches played (6W 11D 3L, 29 pts).

🔍 What This Means

At 12.4%, Sport are currently a outside contender for automatic promotion to the Brasileirão. The model weighs Sport's current points, goal difference and remaining schedule against every other team in the promotion race.

How These Probabilities Are Calculated

CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Sport achieves automatic promotion to the Brasileirão across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.

📋 Brasileirão Série B 2026 — promotion odds for every team

Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Brasileirão Série B 2026 table →

View full Sport stats →

Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.