Sport Promotion Chances 2026

📊 Full Probability Breakdown

Sport are currently 9th in the Brasileirão Série B 2026 table with 29 matches played (11W 11D 7L, 44 pts).

Probability History

🔍 What This Means

At 9.8%, Sport are currently a outside contender for automatic promotion to the Brasileirão. The model weighs Sport's current points, goal difference and remaining schedule against every other team in the promotion race. Over the last round, Sport's probability of automatic promotion to the Brasileirão has dropped from 10.4% to 9.8%.

How These Probabilities Are Calculated

CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Sport achieves automatic promotion to the Brasileirão across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.

📋 Brasileirão Série B 2026 — promotion odds for every team

Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Brasileirão Série B 2026 table →