Ceará Relegation Chances

📊 Full Probability Breakdown

Ceará are currently 16th in the Brasileiro 2026, Serie B table with 27 matches played (8W 7D 12L, 31 pts).

Probability History

🔍 What This Means

At 27.8%, Ceará are currently a realistic contender for relegation. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Ceará's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last round, Ceará's probability of relegation has dropped from 40.1% to 27.8%.

How These Probabilities Are Calculated

CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Ceará achieves relegation across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.

📋 Brasileiro 2026, Serie B — Relegation odds for every team

Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Brasileiro 2026, Serie B table →