Who will win the Serie B 25/26?

Based on our supercomputer's latest simulations, Venezia currently have the highest title probability at 87%. With 2 rounds remaining the race is still live — CupChances re-runs up to millions of simulations every 10 minutes during every match.

Which teams are most at risk of relegation from the Serie B 25/26?

Spezia currently faces the highest relegation risk at 82%, followed by Bari at 78%. These figures update every 10 minutes during every match as the season unfolds.

How does CupChances calculate Serie B 25/26 probabilities?

Our supercomputer runs up to millions of Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining season, using each team's current points, goal difference and remaining fixture list. Every simulated season produces a complete final table, and the probabilities represent how often each outcome occurs across all those simulations.

How often are the Serie B 25/26 predictions updated?

Probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match — as long as the game is live, the numbers keep updating. Enable push notifications on this page to receive live probability shifts directly on your device.

Serie B 25/26 — Round 36 of 38

Updated at 4/27/26, 7:39 PM

Probability of winning the championship

#	Team	%
1	Venezia#1Winner: 86.9%Promotion: 98.3%Playoff: 1.7%	86.9%
2	Frosinone#3Winner: 7.2%Promotion: 59.5%Playoff: 40.5%	7.2%
3	Monza#2Winner: 5.9%Promotion: 42.2%Playoff: 57.8%	5.9%

Probability of being promoted to the first division

#	Team	%
1	Venezia#1Winner: 86.9%Promotion: 98.3%Playoff: 1.7%	98.3%
2	Frosinone#3Winner: 7.2%Promotion: 59.5%Playoff: 40.5%	59.5%
3	Monza#2Winner: 5.9%Promotion: 42.2%Playoff: 57.8%	42.2%

Chances of participation in the playoff phase

#	Team	%
1	Palermo#4Playoff: 99.9%	99.9%
2	Catanzaro#5Playoff: 99.9%	99.9%
3	Modena#6Playoff: 99.9%	99.9%
4	Juve Stabia#7Playoff: 99.9%	99.9%
5	Monza#2Winner: 5.9%Promotion: 42.2%Playoff: 57.8%	57.8%
6	Avellino#8Playoff: 48.0%	48.0%
7	Frosinone#3Winner: 7.2%Promotion: 59.5%Playoff: 40.5%	40.5%
8	Cesena#9Playoff: 32.0%	32.0%
9	Carrarese#10Playoff: 12.4%	12.4%
10	Mantova#11Playoff: 7.5%	7.5%
11	Venezia#1Winner: 86.9%Promotion: 98.3%Playoff: 1.7%	1.7%
12	Sampdoria#12Playoff: 0.1%Playout: 2.3%	0.1%

Chances of participation in the playout phase

#	Team	%
1	Empoli#16Playout: 55.6%Relegation: 5.0%	55.6%
2	Pescara#17Playout: 38.0%Relegation: 60.3%	38.0%
3	Virtus Entella#15Playout: 25.9%Relegation: 0.6%	25.9%
4	Reggiana#19Playout: 25.8%Relegation: 73.8%	25.8%
5	Bari#18Playout: 20.6%Relegation: 78.1%	20.6%
6	Spezia#20Playout: 17.7%Relegation: 82.3%	17.7%
7	Padova#14Playout: 7.5%	7.5%
8	Sudtirol#13Playout: 6.6%	6.6%
9	Sampdoria#12Playoff: 0.1%Playout: 2.3%	2.3%

Probability of being relegated at the end of the championship

#	Team	%
1	Spezia#20Playout: 17.7%Relegation: 82.3%	82.3%
2	Bari#18Playout: 20.6%Relegation: 78.1%	78.1%
3	Reggiana#19Playout: 25.8%Relegation: 73.8%	73.8%
4	Pescara#17Playout: 38.0%Relegation: 60.3%	60.3%
5	Empoli#16Playout: 55.6%Relegation: 5.0%	5.0%
6	Virtus Entella#15Playout: 25.9%Relegation: 0.6%	0.6%

Round 36 of 38

Standings

#	Team	MP	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD
1	Venezia#1Winner: 86.9%Promotion: 98.3%Playoff: 1.7%	36	78	23	9	4	73	29	44
2	Monza#2Winner: 5.9%Promotion: 42.2%Playoff: 57.8%	36	75	22	9	5	57	27	30
3	Frosinone#3Winner: 7.2%Promotion: 59.5%Playoff: 40.5%	36	75	21	12	3	70	34	36
4	Palermo#4Playoff: 99.9%	36	69	19	12	5	58	29	29
5	Catanzaro#5Playoff: 99.9%	36	59	15	14	7	58	45	13
6	Modena#6Playoff: 99.9%	36	52	14	10	12	47	34	13
7	Juve Stabia#7Playoff: 99.9%	36	50	11	17	8	43	43	0
8↑2	Avellino#8Playoff: 48.0%	36	46	12	10	14	42	54	-12
9↓1	Cesena#9Playoff: 32.0%	36	45	12	9	15	42	52	-10
10↓1	Carrarese#10Playoff: 12.4%	36	43	10	13	13	46	50	-4
11	Mantova#11Playoff: 7.5%	36	43	12	7	17	42	50	-8
12↑1	Sampdoria#12Playoff: 0.1%Playout: 2.3%	36	41	10	11	15	34	47	-13
13↓1	Sudtirol#13Playout: 6.6%	36	40	8	16	12	37	46	-9
14	Padova#14Playout: 7.5%	36	40	10	10	16	34	46	-12
15↑1	Virtus Entella#15Playout: 25.9%Relegation: 0.6%	36	39	9	12	15	34	48	-14
16↓1	Empoli#16Playout: 55.6%Relegation: 5.0%	36	37	8	13	15	44	52	-8
17↑1	Pescara#17Playout: 38.0%Relegation: 60.3%	36	34	7	13	16	50	64	-14
18↓1	Bari#18Playout: 20.6%Relegation: 78.1%	36	34	8	10	18	33	58	-25
19	Reggiana#19Playout: 25.8%Relegation: 73.8%	36	34	8	10	18	34	54	-20
20	Spezia#20Playout: 17.7%Relegation: 82.3%	36	33	8	9	19	40	56	-16

WinnerPromotionPlayoffPlayoutRelegation

Current Playoff Winner Prediction

Available after round 26.

#3 Frosinone→

Next matches

Times in Coordinated Universal Time

Apr 30

Spezia#20Playout: 17.7%Relegation: 82.3%

11:00 PM

Venezia#1Winner: 86.9%Promotion: 98.3%Playoff: 1.7%

17%

61%

Modena#6Playoff: 99.9%

11:00 PM

Reggiana#19Playout: 25.8%Relegation: 73.8%

59%

16%

Mantova#11Playoff: 7.5%

11:00 PM

Monza#2Winner: 5.9%Promotion: 42.2%Playoff: 57.8%

22%

54%

Carrarese#10Playoff: 12.4%

11:00 PM

Cesena#9Playoff: 32.0%

51%

22%

Empoli#16Playout: 55.6%Relegation: 5.0%

11:00 PM

Avellino#8Playoff: 48.0%

51%

24%

Juve Stabia#7Playoff: 99.9%

11:00 PM

Frosinone#3Winner: 7.2%Promotion: 59.5%Playoff: 40.5%

31%

41%

Padova#14Playout: 7.5%

11:00 PM

Pescara#17Playout: 38.0%Relegation: 60.3%

44%

32%

Palermo#4Playoff: 99.9%

11:00 PM

Catanzaro#5Playoff: 99.9%

59%

18%

Sampdoria#12Playoff: 0.1%Playout: 2.3%

11:00 PM

Sudtirol#13Playout: 6.6%

39%

33%

Bari#18Playout: 20.6%Relegation: 78.1%

11:00 PM

Virtus Entella#15Playout: 25.9%Relegation: 0.6%

52%

21%

Serie B 25/26 — Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win the Serie B 25/26?: Based on our supercomputer's latest simulations, Venezia currently have the highest title probability at 87%. With 2 rounds remaining the race is still live — CupChances re-runs up to millions of simulations every 10 minutes during every match.
Which teams are most at risk of relegation from the Serie B 25/26?: Spezia currently faces the highest relegation risk at 82%, followed by Bari at 78%. These figures update every 10 minutes during every match as the season unfolds.
How does CupChances calculate Serie B 25/26 probabilities?: Our supercomputer runs up to millions of Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining season, using each team's current points, goal difference and remaining fixture list. Every simulated season produces a complete final table, and the probabilities represent how often each outcome occurs across all those simulations.
How often are the Serie B 25/26 predictions updated?: Probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match — as long as the game is live, the numbers keep updating. Enable push notifications on this page to receive live probability shifts directly on your device.

Past editions