Skip to main content

Serie B 26/27 — Round 5 of 38

Updated at

Probability of winning the championship
#Team%
1Palermo logoPalermo#1Win: 18.0%Promo: 30.7%Playoff: 43.3%Playout: 2.8%Releg: 2.1%
18.0%
2Sudtirol logoSudtirol#2Win: 12.2%Promo: 22.3%Playoff: 42.2%Playout: 4.5%Releg: 3.9%
12.2%
3Mantova logoMantova#3Win: 11.7%Promo: 21.8%Playoff: 42.3%Playout: 4.7%Releg: 3.8%
11.7%
4Modena logoModena#4Win: 8.9%Promo: 17.3%Playoff: 41.0%Playout: 5.6%Releg: 5.2%
8.9%
5Ascoli logoAscoli#5Win: 8.7%Promo: 17.1%Playoff: 40.5%Playout: 5.9%Releg: 5.3%
8.7%
6Hellas Verona logoHellas Verona#8Win: 4.2%Promo: 8.9%Playoff: 32.6%Playout: 9.5%Releg: 11.4%
4.2%
7Cesena logoCesena#10Win: 4.0%Promo: 8.6%Playoff: 31.9%Playout: 9.7%Releg: 11.9%
4.0%
8Pisa logoPisa#11Win: 3.9%Promo: 8.5%Playoff: 31.3%Playout: 10.0%Releg: 12.4%
3.9%
9Benevento logoBenevento#7Win: 3.8%Promo: 8.4%Playoff: 31.6%Playout: 9.8%Releg: 12.2%
3.8%
10Avellino logoAvellino#9Win: 3.8%Promo: 8.5%Playoff: 32.1%Playout: 9.6%Releg: 12.0%
3.8%
11Padova logoPadova#6Win: 3.7%Promo: 8.2%Playoff: 31.3%Playout: 10.0%Releg: 12.6%
3.7%
12Empoli logoEmpoli#13Win: 2.8%Promo: 6.4%Playoff: 27.6%Playout: 11.5%Releg: 15.9%
2.8%
13Arezzo logoArezzo#12Win: 2.6%Promo: 5.9%Playoff: 26.4%Playout: 12.0%Releg: 17.4%
2.6%
14Virtus Entella logoVirtus Entella#14Win: 2.2%Promo: 5.2%Playoff: 25.2%Playout: 12.2%Releg: 18.5%
2.2%
15Vicenza logoVicenza#15Win: 2.2%Promo: 5.0%Playoff: 23.8%Playout: 12.9%Releg: 19.9%
2.2%
16Cremonese logoCremonese#16Win: 2.1%Promo: 4.9%Playoff: 24.4%Playout: 12.6%Releg: 19.4%
2.1%
17Juve Stabia logoJuve Stabia#17Win: 2.0%Promo: 4.6%Playoff: 23.7%Playout: 12.9%Releg: 20.5%
2.0%
18Sampdoria logoSampdoria#18Win: 1.5%Promo: 3.5%Playoff: 20.1%Playout: 13.9%Releg: 24.8%
1.5%
19Catanzaro logoCatanzaro#19Win: 1.1%Promo: 2.7%Playoff: 17.2%Playout: 14.7%Releg: 29.5%
1.1%
20Carrarese logoCarrarese#20Win: 0.5%Promo: 1.4%Playoff: 11.5%Playout: 15.3%Releg: 41.0%
0.5%

Next matches

Times in Coordinated Universal Time

Avellino#9Winner: 3.8%Promotion: 8.5%Playoff: 32.1%Playout: 9.6%Relegation: 12.0%5:00 PMSampdoria#18Winner: 1.5%Promotion: 3.5%Playoff: 20.1%Playout: 13.9%Relegation: 24.8%
7%
77%
Padova#6Winner: 3.7%Promotion: 8.2%Playoff: 31.3%Playout: 10.0%Relegation: 12.6%5:00 PMCarrarese#20Winner: 0.5%Promotion: 1.4%Playoff: 11.5%Playout: 15.3%Relegation: 41.0%
2%
90%
Virtus Entella#14Winner: 2.2%Promotion: 5.2%Playoff: 25.2%Playout: 12.2%Relegation: 18.5%5:00 PMJuve Stabia#17Winner: 2.0%Promotion: 4.6%Playoff: 23.7%Playout: 12.9%Relegation: 20.5%
8%
77%
Benevento#7Winner: 3.8%Promotion: 8.4%Playoff: 31.6%Playout: 9.8%Relegation: 12.2%5:00 PMCesena#10Winner: 4.0%Promotion: 8.6%Playoff: 31.9%Playout: 9.7%Relegation: 11.9%
5%
83%
Empoli#13Winner: 2.8%Promotion: 6.4%Playoff: 27.6%Playout: 11.5%Relegation: 15.9%5:00 PMPalermo#1Winner: 18.0%Promotion: 30.7%Playoff: 43.3%Playout: 2.8%Relegation: 2.1%
64%
13%
Catanzaro#19Winner: 1.1%Promotion: 2.7%Playoff: 17.2%Playout: 14.7%Relegation: 29.5%5:00 PMMantova#3Winner: 11.7%Promotion: 21.8%Playoff: 42.3%Playout: 4.7%Relegation: 3.8%
43%
29%
Modena#4Winner: 8.9%Promotion: 17.3%Playoff: 41.0%Playout: 5.6%Relegation: 5.2%5:00 PMHellas Verona#8Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.9%Playoff: 32.6%Playout: 9.5%Relegation: 11.4%
60%
16%
Sudtirol#2Winner: 12.2%Promotion: 22.3%Playoff: 42.2%Playout: 4.5%Relegation: 3.9%5:00 PMAscoli#5Winner: 8.7%Promotion: 17.1%Playoff: 40.5%Playout: 5.9%Relegation: 5.3%
43%
28%
Vicenza#15Winner: 2.2%Promotion: 5.0%Playoff: 23.8%Playout: 12.9%Relegation: 19.9%5:00 PMPisa#11Winner: 3.9%Promotion: 8.5%Playoff: 31.3%Playout: 10.0%Relegation: 12.4%
2%
92%
Arezzo#12Winner: 2.6%Promotion: 5.9%Playoff: 26.4%Playout: 12.0%Relegation: 17.4%5:00 PMCremonese#16Winner: 2.1%Promotion: 4.9%Playoff: 24.4%Playout: 12.6%Relegation: 19.4%
1%
95%

After Round 5: Who Improved Their Chances the Most?

  • Carrarese's Releg probability dropped from 58.2% to 41% (-17.2%).
  • Ascoli's Promo probability dropped from 32.1% to 17.1% (-15%).
  • Juve Stabia's Releg probability dropped from 34.9% to 20.5% (-14.4%).
  • Hellas Verona's Promo probability dropped from 22.9% to 8.9% (-14%).
  • Vicenza's Releg probability climbed from 9.4% to 19.9% (+10.5%).

Updated after every round · Monte Carlo simulation

Serie B 26/27 — Season Outlook

Serie B 26/27Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win the Serie B 26/27?
Based on our supercomputer's latest simulations, Palermo currently have the highest title probability at 18%. With 33 rounds remaining the race is still live — CupChances re-runs up to millions of simulations every 10 minutes during every match.
Which teams are most at risk of relegation from the Serie B 26/27?
Carrarese currently faces the highest relegation risk at 41%, followed by Catanzaro at 30%. These figures update every 10 minutes during every match as the season unfolds.
How does CupChances calculate Serie B 26/27 probabilities?
Our supercomputer runs up to millions of Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining season, using each team's current points, goal difference and remaining fixture list. Every simulated season produces a complete final table, and the probabilities represent how often each outcome occurs across all those simulations.
How often are the Serie B 26/27 predictions updated?
Probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match — as long as the game is live, the numbers keep updating. Enable push notifications on this page to receive live probability shifts directly on your device.