Athletic Bilbao
Athletic Bilbao Conference League Chances 2026 — 4.6%
La Liga 25/26 · Round 33 of 38 · Rank #10 · 33 MP
Athletic Bilbao La Liga 25/26 — Key Insights
0.0%
Winner
0.4%
Relegation
#10
Position
WLLWL
Last 5 matches
Explore detailed analysis below ↓
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Athletic Bilbao are 10th in the La Liga 25/26 2026 season after 33 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 4.6% chance of conference league — with 5 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.
In their last 5 La Liga 25/26 matches, Athletic Bilbao have recorded 2 wins, 3 defeats. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.
Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining La Liga 25/26 fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Athletic Bilbao's 2026 season has evolved round by round.
Current Probabilities:
- Winner: 0.0%Since 2025-12-02
- Champions League: 0.0%Since 2026-03-14
- Europa League: 0.4%
- Conference League: 4.6%
- Relegation: 0.4%
Next matches
Times in Coordinated Universal Time
Alavés#16Relegation: 21.2%
3:00 PMAthletic Bilbao#10Europa League: 0.4%Conference League: 4.6%Relegation: 0.4%
3:00 PMAthletic Bilbao#10Europa League: 0.4%Conference League: 4.6%Relegation: 0.4%22%
56%
Athletic Bilbao#10Europa League: 0.4%Conference League: 4.6%Relegation: 0.4%3:00 PM
Valencia#11Conference League: 1.2%Relegation: 2.8%
3:00 PMValencia#11Conference League: 1.2%Relegation: 2.8%30%
42%
Espanyol#13Conference League: 1.2%Relegation: 3.5%
3:00 PMAthletic Bilbao#10Europa League: 0.4%Conference League: 4.6%Relegation: 0.4%
3:00 PMAthletic Bilbao#10Europa League: 0.4%Conference League: 4.6%Relegation: 0.4%35%
39%
Athletic Bilbao#10Europa League: 0.4%Conference League: 4.6%Relegation: 0.4%3:00 PM
Celta#7Europa League: 4.2%Conference League: 30.6%
3:00 PMCelta#7Europa League: 4.2%Conference League: 30.6%30%
42%
Real Madrid#2Winner: 0.2%Champions League: 99.9%
3:00 PMAthletic Bilbao#10Europa League: 0.4%Conference League: 4.6%Relegation: 0.4%
3:00 PMAthletic Bilbao#10Europa League: 0.4%Conference League: 4.6%Relegation: 0.4%73%
10%
Results so far
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | Atlético de Madrid#4Champions League: 99.7%Europa League: 0.3% | 3 - 2 | Athletic Bilbao#10Europa League: 0.4%Conference League: 4.6%Relegation: 0.4% |
| 2026-04-21 | Athletic Bilbao#10Europa League: 0.4%Conference League: 4.6%Relegation: 0.4% | 1 - 0 |  Osasuna#9Europa League: 0.9%Conference League: 10.4% |
| 2026-04-12 | Athletic Bilbao#10Europa League: 0.4%Conference League: 4.6%Relegation: 0.4% | 1 - 2 |  Villarreal#3Champions League: 99.9% |
| 2026-04-05 | Getafe#6Europa League: 3.8%Conference League: 23.7% | 2 - 0 | Athletic Bilbao#10Europa League: 0.4%Conference League: 4.6%Relegation: 0.4% |
| 2026-03-22 | Athletic Bilbao#10Europa League: 0.4%Conference League: 4.6%Relegation: 0.4% | 2 - 1 |  Betis#5Champions League: 0.3%Europa League: 87.1%Conference League: 9.6% |
| 2026-03-14 | Girona#15Conference League: 0.4%Relegation: 8.9% | 3 - 0 | Athletic Bilbao#10Europa League: 0.4%Conference League: 4.6%Relegation: 0.4% |
| 2026-03-07 | Athletic Bilbao#10Europa League: 0.4%Conference League: 4.6%Relegation: 0.4% | 0 - 1 |  Barcelona#1Winner: 99.8%Champions League: 99.9% |
| 2026-02-28 | Rayo Vallecano#12Europa League: 0.1%Conference League: 1.2%Relegation: 2.5% | 1 - 1 | Athletic Bilbao#10Europa League: 0.4%Conference League: 4.6%Relegation: 0.4% |
| 2026-02-20 | Athletic Bilbao#10Europa League: 0.4%Conference League: 4.6%Relegation: 0.4% | 2 - 1 |  Elche#14Conference League: 0.8%Relegation: 5.1% |
| 2026-02-15 | Real Oviedo#20Relegation: 99.3% | 1 - 2 | Athletic Bilbao#10Europa League: 0.4%Conference League: 4.6%Relegation: 0.4% |
| 2026-02-08 | Athletic Bilbao#10Europa League: 0.4%Conference League: 4.6%Relegation: 0.4% | 4 - 2 |  Levante#19Relegation: 66.8% |
| 2026-02-01 | Athletic Bilbao#10Europa League: 0.4%Conference League: 4.6%Relegation: 0.4% | 1 - 1 |  Real Sociedad#8Europa League: 3.1%Conference League: 16.3% |
| 2026-01-24 | Sevilla#18Relegation: 57.5% | 2 - 1 | Athletic Bilbao#10Europa League: 0.4%Conference League: 4.6%Relegation: 0.4% |
| 2026-01-17 | Mallorca#17Relegation: 31.9% | 3 - 2 | Athletic Bilbao#10Europa League: 0.4%Conference League: 4.6%Relegation: 0.4% |
| 2026-01-03 | Osasuna#9Europa League: 0.9%Conference League: 10.4% | 1 - 1 | Athletic Bilbao#10Europa League: 0.4%Conference League: 4.6%Relegation: 0.4% |
| 2025-12-22 | Athletic Bilbao#10Europa League: 0.4%Conference League: 4.6%Relegation: 0.4% | 1 - 2 | Espanyol#13Conference League: 1.2%Relegation: 3.5% |
| 2025-12-14 | Celta#7Europa League: 4.2%Conference League: 30.6% | 2 - 0 | Athletic Bilbao#10Europa League: 0.4%Conference League: 4.6%Relegation: 0.4% |
| 2025-12-06 | Athletic Bilbao#10Europa League: 0.4%Conference League: 4.6%Relegation: 0.4% | 1 - 0 | Atlético de Madrid#4Champions League: 99.7%Europa League: 0.3% |
| 2025-12-03 | Athletic Bilbao#10Europa League: 0.4%Conference League: 4.6%Relegation: 0.4% | 0 - 3 | Real Madrid#2Winner: 0.2%Champions League: 99.9% |
| 2025-11-29 | Levante#19Relegation: 66.8% | 0 - 2 | Athletic Bilbao#10Europa League: 0.4%Conference League: 4.6%Relegation: 0.4% |
| 2025-11-22 | Barcelona#1Winner: 99.8%Champions League: 99.9% | 4 - 0 | Athletic Bilbao#10Europa League: 0.4%Conference League: 4.6%Relegation: 0.4% |
| 2025-11-09 | Athletic Bilbao#10Europa League: 0.4%Conference League: 4.6%Relegation: 0.4% | 1 - 0 | Real Oviedo#20Relegation: 99.3% |
| 2025-11-01 | Real Sociedad#8Europa League: 3.1%Conference League: 16.3% | 3 - 2 | Athletic Bilbao#10Europa League: 0.4%Conference League: 4.6%Relegation: 0.4% |
| 2025-10-25 | Athletic Bilbao#10Europa League: 0.4%Conference League: 4.6%Relegation: 0.4% | 0 - 1 | Getafe#6Europa League: 3.8%Conference League: 23.7% |
| 2025-10-19 | Elche#14Conference League: 0.8%Relegation: 5.1% | 0 - 0 | Athletic Bilbao#10Europa League: 0.4%Conference League: 4.6%Relegation: 0.4% |
| 2025-10-04 | Athletic Bilbao#10Europa League: 0.4%Conference League: 4.6%Relegation: 0.4% | 2 - 1 | Mallorca#17Relegation: 31.9% |
| 2025-09-27 | Villarreal#3Champions League: 99.9% | 1 - 0 | Athletic Bilbao#10Europa League: 0.4%Conference League: 4.6%Relegation: 0.4% |
| 2025-09-23 | Athletic Bilbao#10Europa League: 0.4%Conference League: 4.6%Relegation: 0.4% | 1 - 1 | Girona#15Conference League: 0.4%Relegation: 8.9% |
| 2025-09-20 | Valencia#11Conference League: 1.2%Relegation: 2.8% | 2 - 0 | Athletic Bilbao#10Europa League: 0.4%Conference League: 4.6%Relegation: 0.4% |
| 2025-09-13 | Athletic Bilbao#10Europa League: 0.4%Conference League: 4.6%Relegation: 0.4% | 0 - 1 | Alavés#16Relegation: 21.2% |
| 2025-08-31 | Betis#5Champions League: 0.3%Europa League: 87.1%Conference League: 9.6% | 1 - 2 | Athletic Bilbao#10Europa League: 0.4%Conference League: 4.6%Relegation: 0.4% |
| 2025-08-25 | Athletic Bilbao#10Europa League: 0.4%Conference League: 4.6%Relegation: 0.4% | 1 - 0 | Rayo Vallecano#12Europa League: 0.1%Conference League: 1.2%Relegation: 2.5% |
| 2025-08-17 | Athletic Bilbao#10Europa League: 0.4%Conference League: 4.6%Relegation: 0.4% | 3 - 2 | Sevilla#18Relegation: 57.5% |