Skip to main content
La Liga 26/27·2026-10-25·Round 10

El Clásico Drama: Real Madrid's Triumph and Barcelona's Setback

By Roberto Ottaviani · · Round-up

El Clásico Drama: Real Madrid's Triumph and Barcelona's Setback

In a heart-stopping El Clásico, Real Madrid shocked the football world by defeating Barcelona 2-1 at Camp Nou, propelling themselves into the title race with a thunderous leap. This victory not only clipped Barcelona's soaring wings—lowering their championship odds by a dramatic 8.8% to 38.7%—but also catapulted Los Blancos' chances of seizing the La Liga crown to a tantalizing 19.5%. Real Madrid's Champions League qualification probability surged to an impressive 69.7%, a testament to their resurgence under the spotlight.

Meanwhile, the Basque country witnessed a glorious display as Athletic Bilbao demolished Getafe 4-0, igniting their Europa League aspirations with a climb to 6.3%. This emphatic win also saw their relegation fears dwindle to a mere 8.0%. Getafe, on the other hand, staggered into deeper relegation danger, now facing a chilling 26.1% chance of dropping out of La Liga. The narrative of triumph and peril continues with Real Sociedad, whose slender 2-1 victory over Levante not only solidified their standing but also edged them into the championship conversation, now boasting a 5.0% chance of claiming the ultimate prize.

The stalemate between Celta and Betis left both sides in a state of limbo, with Celta slipping in the standings and Betis experiencing a slight dip in their Champions League hopes. As the league intensifies, all eyes will be on Atlético de Madrid, who silently crept closer to the summit, now just two points behind leaders Barcelona. The saga of La Liga is far from over, with every matchday promising fresh twists and turns in this captivating championship race.

Live probability analysis

Go to the championship page to see the complete probability analysis with updated title, promotion and relegation chances.

⚡Check full probability analysis