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Atlético de Madrid Champions League Chances 2026 — 99.7%

La Liga 25/26 · Round 33 of 38 · Rank #4 · 33 MP

Atlético de Madrid La Liga 25/26 — Key Insights
0.0%
Winner
0.0%
Relegation
#4
Position
LLLLW
Last 5 matches
Explore detailed analysis below ↓

Live — Updated at

Atlético de Madrid are 4th in the La Liga 25/26 2026 season after 33 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 99.7% chance of champions league — with 5 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.

In their last 5 La Liga 25/26 matches, Atlético de Madrid have recorded 1 win, 4 defeats. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.

Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining La Liga 25/26 fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Atlético de Madrid's 2026 season has evolved round by round.

Current Probabilities:

  • Winner: 0.0%Since 2026-03-22
  • Champions League: 99.7%
  • Europa League: 0.3%
  • Conference League: 0.0%Since 2026-04-12
  • Relegation: 0.0%Since 2025-11-01

Next matches

Times in Coordinated Universal Time

Valencia#11Conference League: 1.2%Relegation: 2.8%3:00 PMAtlético de Madrid#4Champions League: 99.7%Europa League: 0.3%
24%
54%
Atlético de Madrid#4Champions League: 99.7%Europa League: 0.3%3:00 PMCelta#7Europa League: 4.2%Conference League: 30.6%
64%
16%
Osasuna#9Europa League: 0.9%Conference League: 10.4%3:00 PMAtlético de Madrid#4Champions League: 99.7%Europa League: 0.3%
46%
29%
Atlético de Madrid#4Champions League: 99.7%Europa League: 0.3%3:00 PMGirona#15Conference League: 0.4%Relegation: 8.9%
64%
16%
Villarreal#3Champions League: 99.9%3:00 PMAtlético de Madrid#4Champions League: 99.7%Europa League: 0.3%
58%
19%

Results so far

DateHomeScoreAway
2026-04-25Atlético de Madrid#4Champions League: 99.7%Europa League: 0.3%3 - 2Athletic Bilbao#10Europa League: 0.4%Conference League: 4.6%Relegation: 0.4%
2026-04-22Elche#14Conference League: 0.8%Relegation: 5.1%3 - 2Atlético de Madrid#4Champions League: 99.7%Europa League: 0.3%
2026-04-11Sevilla#18Relegation: 57.5%2 - 1Atlético de Madrid#4Champions League: 99.7%Europa League: 0.3%
2026-04-04Atlético de Madrid#4Champions League: 99.7%Europa League: 0.3%1 - 2Barcelona#1Winner: 99.8%Champions League: 99.9%
2026-03-22Real Madrid#2Winner: 0.2%Champions League: 99.9%3 - 2Atlético de Madrid#4Champions League: 99.7%Europa League: 0.3%
2026-03-14Atlético de Madrid#4Champions League: 99.7%Europa League: 0.3%1 - 0Getafe#6Europa League: 3.8%Conference League: 23.7%
2026-03-07Atlético de Madrid#4Champions League: 99.7%Europa League: 0.3%3 - 2Real Sociedad#8Europa League: 3.1%Conference League: 16.3%
2026-02-28Real Oviedo#20Relegation: 99.3%0 - 1Atlético de Madrid#4Champions League: 99.7%Europa League: 0.3%
2026-02-21Atlético de Madrid#4Champions League: 99.7%Europa League: 0.3%4 - 2Espanyol#13Conference League: 1.2%Relegation: 3.5%
2026-02-15Rayo Vallecano#12Europa League: 0.1%Conference League: 1.2%Relegation: 2.5%3 - 0Atlético de Madrid#4Champions League: 99.7%Europa League: 0.3%
2026-02-08Atlético de Madrid#4Champions League: 99.7%Europa League: 0.3%0 - 1Betis#5Champions League: 0.3%Europa League: 87.1%Conference League: 9.6%
2026-01-31Levante#19Relegation: 66.8%0 - 0Atlético de Madrid#4Champions League: 99.7%Europa League: 0.3%
2026-01-25Atlético de Madrid#4Champions League: 99.7%Europa League: 0.3%3 - 0Mallorca#17Relegation: 31.9%
2026-01-18Atlético de Madrid#4Champions League: 99.7%Europa League: 0.3%1 - 0Alavés#16Relegation: 21.2%
2026-01-04Real Sociedad#8Europa League: 3.1%Conference League: 16.3%1 - 1Atlético de Madrid#4Champions League: 99.7%Europa League: 0.3%
2025-12-21Girona#15Conference League: 0.4%Relegation: 8.9%0 - 3Atlético de Madrid#4Champions League: 99.7%Europa League: 0.3%
2025-12-13Atlético de Madrid#4Champions League: 99.7%Europa League: 0.3%2 - 1Valencia#11Conference League: 1.2%Relegation: 2.8%
2025-12-06Athletic Bilbao#10Europa League: 0.4%Conference League: 4.6%Relegation: 0.4%1 - 0Atlético de Madrid#4Champions League: 99.7%Europa League: 0.3%
2025-12-02Barcelona#1Winner: 99.8%Champions League: 99.9%3 - 1Atlético de Madrid#4Champions League: 99.7%Europa League: 0.3%
2025-11-29Atlético de Madrid#4Champions League: 99.7%Europa League: 0.3%2 - 0Real Oviedo#20Relegation: 99.3%
2025-11-23Getafe#6Europa League: 3.8%Conference League: 23.7%0 - 1Atlético de Madrid#4Champions League: 99.7%Europa League: 0.3%
2025-11-08Atlético de Madrid#4Champions League: 99.7%Europa League: 0.3%3 - 1Levante#19Relegation: 66.8%
2025-11-01Atlético de Madrid#4Champions League: 99.7%Europa League: 0.3%3 - 0Sevilla#18Relegation: 57.5%
2025-10-27Betis#5Champions League: 0.3%Europa League: 87.1%Conference League: 9.6%0 - 2Atlético de Madrid#4Champions League: 99.7%Europa League: 0.3%
2025-10-18Atlético de Madrid#4Champions League: 99.7%Europa League: 0.3%1 - 0Osasuna#9Europa League: 0.9%Conference League: 10.4%
2025-10-05Celta#7Europa League: 4.2%Conference League: 30.6%1 - 1Atlético de Madrid#4Champions League: 99.7%Europa League: 0.3%
2025-09-27Atlético de Madrid#4Champions League: 99.7%Europa League: 0.3%5 - 2Real Madrid#2Winner: 0.2%Champions League: 99.9%
2025-09-24Atlético de Madrid#4Champions League: 99.7%Europa League: 0.3%3 - 2Rayo Vallecano#12Europa League: 0.1%Conference League: 1.2%Relegation: 2.5%
2025-09-21Mallorca#17Relegation: 31.9%1 - 1Atlético de Madrid#4Champions League: 99.7%Europa League: 0.3%
2025-09-13Atlético de Madrid#4Champions League: 99.7%Europa League: 0.3%2 - 0Villarreal#3Champions League: 99.9%
2025-08-30Alavés#16Relegation: 21.2%1 - 1Atlético de Madrid#4Champions League: 99.7%Europa League: 0.3%
2025-08-23Atlético de Madrid#4Champions League: 99.7%Europa League: 0.3%1 - 1Elche#14Conference League: 0.8%Relegation: 5.1%
2025-08-17Espanyol#13Conference League: 1.2%Relegation: 3.5%2 - 1Atlético de Madrid#4Champions League: 99.7%Europa League: 0.3%