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Atlético Madrid UCL Chances 2027 — 30.0%

La Liga 26/27 · Round 7 of 38 · Rank #4 · 5 MP

Atlético Madrid La Liga 26/27 — Key Insights
5.0%
Win
4.2%
Releg
#4
Position
WLWLD
Last 5 matches
Atlético Madrid are in realistic contention for UCL at 30.0%, currently ranked 4th — updated after every match.

Live Updated at

Atlético Madrid are 4th in the La Liga 26/27 2027 season after 5 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 30.0% chance of ucl — with 31 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.

In their last 5 La Liga 26/27 matches, Atlético Madrid have recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.

Alongside their ucl probability, Atlético Madrid's win chance currently stands at 5.0%.

Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining La Liga 26/27 fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Atlético Madrid's 2027 season has evolved round by round.

Current Probabilities:

  • Win: 5.0%
  • UCL: 30.0%
  • UEL: 8.3%
  • ECL: 7.5%
  • Releg: 4.2%

More analysis

← View all La Liga 26/27 standings and odds

See also:

Next matches

Times in Coordinated Universal Time

Atlético Madrid#4Win: 5.0%UCL: 30.0%UEL: 8.3%ECL: 7.5%Releg: 4.2%0-0Real Madrid#3Win: 16.7%UCL: 58.6%UEL: 8.3%ECL: 6.7%Releg: 0.7%
Alavés#6Win: 1.7%UCL: 14.9%UEL: 5.8%ECL: 6.1%Releg: 10.4%5:00 PMAtlético Madrid#4Win: 5.0%UCL: 30.0%UEL: 8.3%ECL: 7.5%Releg: 4.2%
68%
13%
Espanyol#17Win: 0.4%UCL: 5.1%UEL: 2.6%ECL: 3.1%Releg: 27.1%5:00 PMAtlético Madrid#4Win: 5.0%UCL: 30.0%UEL: 8.3%ECL: 7.5%Releg: 4.2%
42%
31%
Atlético Madrid#4Win: 5.0%UCL: 30.0%UEL: 8.3%ECL: 7.5%Releg: 4.2%5:00 PMDeportivo#20Win: 0.3%UCL: 3.3%UEL: 1.9%ECL: 2.3%Releg: 36.0%
50%
25%
Levante#14Win: 1.6%UCL: 14.2%UEL: 5.5%ECL: 5.7%Releg: 12.5%5:00 PMAtlético Madrid#4Win: 5.0%UCL: 30.0%UEL: 8.3%ECL: 7.5%Releg: 4.2%
53%
25%

Latest News

Results so far

DateHomeScoreAway
2026-09-20La LigaAtlético Madrid0 - 0Real Madrid#3Win: 16.7%UCL: 58.6%UEL: 8.3%ECL: 6.7%Releg: 0.7%
2026-09-16La LigaAtlético Madrid4 - 0Osasuna#9Win: 1.6%UCL: 13.2%UEL: 5.3%ECL: 5.6%Releg: 12.8%
2026-09-13La LigaReal Sociedad#11Win: 1.8%UCL: 14.6%UEL: 5.5%ECL: 5.8%Releg: 11.5%0 - 3Atlético Madrid
2026-09-09Liverpool2 - 1Atlético Madrid
2026-09-05La LigaAthletic Bilbao#8Win: 2.5%UCL: 19.4%UEL: 6.8%ECL: 6.8%Releg: 8.0%3 - 0Atlético Madrid
2026-08-29La LigaSevilla#5Win: 3.0%UCL: 21.7%UEL: 7.1%ECL: 7.1%Releg: 6.3%1 - 3Atlético Madrid
2026-08-23La LigaAtlético Madrid2 - 2Villarreal#16Win: 0.7%UCL: 7.6%UEL: 3.4%ECL: 4.0%Releg: 21.0%