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Atlético de Madrid Champions League Chances 2026 — 99.9%

La Liga 25/26 · Round 35 of 38 · Rank #4 · 34 MP

Atlético de Madrid La Liga 25/26 — Key Insights
0.0%
Winner
0.0%
Relegation
#4
Position
LLLWW
Last 5 matches
Atlético de Madrid are the clear favourites for Champions League at 99.9%, currently ranked 4th — updated after every match.

Live — Updated at

Atlético de Madrid are 4th in the La Liga 25/26 2026 season after 34 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 99.9% chance of champions league — with 3 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.

In their last 5 La Liga 25/26 matches, Atlético de Madrid have recorded 2 wins, 3 defeats. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.

Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining La Liga 25/26 fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Atlético de Madrid's 2026 season has evolved round by round.

Current Probabilities:

  • Winner: 0.0%Since 2026-03-22
  • Champions League: 99.9%
  • Europa League: 0.1%
  • Conference League: 0.0%Since 2026-04-12
  • Relegation: 0.0%Since 2025-11-01

La Liga 25/26 — Competition Races:

Title Race →Top 4 Race →Relegation Battle →

← View all La Liga 25/26 standings and odds

See also:

Barcelona Winner ChancesReal Madrid Champions League ChancesVillarreal Champions League ChancesBetis Europa League ChancesCelta Conference League ChancesGetafe 2026 Season OddsAthletic Bilbao 2026 Season OddsReal Sociedad 2026 Season Odds

Next matches

Times in Coordinated Universal Time

Osasuna#10Conference League: 0.8%Relegation: 0.2%7:30 PMAtlético de Madrid#4Champions League: 99.9%Europa League: 0.1%
51%
25%
Atlético de Madrid#4Champions League: 99.9%Europa League: 0.1%5:00 PMGirona#16Relegation: 19.1%
64%
16%
Villarreal#3Champions League: 100.0%5:00 PMAtlético de Madrid#4Champions League: 99.9%Europa League: 0.1%
58%
19%

Results so far

DateHomeScoreAway
2026-05-02Valencia#11Conference League: 0.5%Relegation: 0.2%0 - 2Atlético de Madrid#4Champions League: 99.9%Europa League: 0.1%
2026-04-25Atlético de Madrid#4Champions League: 99.9%Europa League: 0.1%3 - 2Athletic Bilbao#8Conference League: 5.1%
2026-04-22Elche#15Conference League: 0.1%Relegation: 13.5%3 - 2Atlético de Madrid#4Champions League: 99.9%Europa League: 0.1%
2026-04-11Sevilla#17Relegation: 28.5%2 - 1Atlético de Madrid#4Champions League: 99.9%Europa League: 0.1%
2026-04-04Atlético de Madrid#4Champions League: 99.9%Europa League: 0.1%1 - 2Barcelona#1Winner: 99.9%Champions League: 100.0%
2026-03-22Real Madrid#2Winner: 0.2%Champions League: 100.0%3 - 2Atlético de Madrid#4Champions League: 99.9%Europa League: 0.1%
2026-03-14Atlético de Madrid#4Champions League: 99.9%Europa League: 0.1%1 - 0Getafe#7Conference League: 8.3%
2026-03-07Atlético de Madrid#4Champions League: 99.9%Europa League: 0.1%3 - 2Real Sociedad#9Europa League: 0.1%Conference League: 7.6%
2026-02-28Real Oviedo#20Relegation: 100.0%0 - 1Atlético de Madrid#4Champions League: 99.9%Europa League: 0.1%
2026-02-21Atlético de Madrid#4Champions League: 99.9%Europa League: 0.1%4 - 2Espanyol#14Conference League: 0.2%Relegation: 9.1%
2026-02-15Rayo Vallecano#12Conference League: 3.6%Relegation: 0.1%3 - 0Atlético de Madrid#4Champions League: 99.9%Europa League: 0.1%
2026-02-08Atlético de Madrid#4Champions League: 99.9%Europa League: 0.1%0 - 1Betis#5Champions League: 0.1%Europa League: 96.5%Conference League: 3.3%
2026-01-31Levante#18Relegation: 73.7%0 - 0Atlético de Madrid#4Champions League: 99.9%Europa League: 0.1%
2026-01-25Atlético de Madrid#4Champions League: 99.9%Europa League: 0.1%3 - 0Mallorca#13Relegation: 14.1%
2026-01-18Atlético de Madrid#4Champions League: 99.9%Europa League: 0.1%1 - 0Alavés#19Relegation: 41.5%
2026-01-04Real Sociedad#9Europa League: 0.1%Conference League: 7.6%1 - 1Atlético de Madrid#4Champions League: 99.9%Europa League: 0.1%
2025-12-21Girona#16Relegation: 19.1%0 - 3Atlético de Madrid#4Champions League: 99.9%Europa League: 0.1%
2025-12-13Atlético de Madrid#4Champions League: 99.9%Europa League: 0.1%2 - 1Valencia#11Conference League: 0.5%Relegation: 0.2%
2025-12-06Athletic Bilbao#8Conference League: 5.1%1 - 0Atlético de Madrid#4Champions League: 99.9%Europa League: 0.1%
2025-12-02Barcelona#1Winner: 99.9%Champions League: 100.0%3 - 1Atlético de Madrid#4Champions League: 99.9%Europa League: 0.1%
2025-11-29Atlético de Madrid#4Champions League: 99.9%Europa League: 0.1%2 - 0Real Oviedo#20Relegation: 100.0%
2025-11-23Getafe#7Conference League: 8.3%0 - 1Atlético de Madrid#4Champions League: 99.9%Europa League: 0.1%
2025-11-08Atlético de Madrid#4Champions League: 99.9%Europa League: 0.1%3 - 1Levante#18Relegation: 73.7%
2025-11-01Atlético de Madrid#4Champions League: 99.9%Europa League: 0.1%3 - 0Sevilla#17Relegation: 28.5%
2025-10-27Betis#5Champions League: 0.1%Europa League: 96.5%Conference League: 3.3%0 - 2Atlético de Madrid#4Champions League: 99.9%Europa League: 0.1%
2025-10-18Atlético de Madrid#4Champions League: 99.9%Europa League: 0.1%1 - 0Osasuna#10Conference League: 0.8%Relegation: 0.2%
2025-10-05Celta#6Europa League: 3.2%Conference League: 70.5%1 - 1Atlético de Madrid#4Champions League: 99.9%Europa League: 0.1%
2025-09-27Atlético de Madrid#4Champions League: 99.9%Europa League: 0.1%5 - 2Real Madrid#2Winner: 0.2%Champions League: 100.0%
2025-09-24Atlético de Madrid#4Champions League: 99.9%Europa League: 0.1%3 - 2Rayo Vallecano#12Conference League: 3.6%Relegation: 0.1%
2025-09-21Mallorca#13Relegation: 14.1%1 - 1Atlético de Madrid#4Champions League: 99.9%Europa League: 0.1%
2025-09-13Atlético de Madrid#4Champions League: 99.9%Europa League: 0.1%2 - 0Villarreal#3Champions League: 100.0%
2025-08-30Alavés#19Relegation: 41.5%1 - 1Atlético de Madrid#4Champions League: 99.9%Europa League: 0.1%
2025-08-23Atlético de Madrid#4Champions League: 99.9%Europa League: 0.1%1 - 1Elche#15Conference League: 0.1%Relegation: 13.5%
2025-08-17Espanyol#14Conference League: 0.2%Relegation: 9.1%2 - 1Atlético de Madrid#4Champions League: 99.9%Europa League: 0.1%