Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad Conference League Chances 2026 — 16.3%
La Liga 25/26 · Round 33 of 38 · Rank #8 · 33 MP
Real Sociedad La Liga 25/26 — Key Insights
0.0%
Winner
0.0%
Relegation
#8
Position
LWDLD
Last 5 matches
Explore detailed analysis below ↓
Live — Updated at
Real Sociedad are 8th in the La Liga 25/26 2026 season after 33 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 16.3% chance of conference league — with 5 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.
In their last 5 La Liga 25/26 matches, Real Sociedad have recorded 1 win, 2 draws, 2 defeats. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.
Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining La Liga 25/26 fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Real Sociedad's 2026 season has evolved round by round.
Current Probabilities:
- Winner: 0.0%Since 2025-09-28
- Champions League: 0.0%Since 2026-03-22
- Europa League: 3.1%
- Conference League: 16.3%
- Relegation: 0.0%Since 2026-04-04
Next matches
Times in Coordinated Universal Time
19%
60%
Real Sociedad#8Europa League: 3.1%Conference League: 16.3%3:00 PM
Betis#5Champions League: 0.3%Europa League: 87.1%Conference League: 9.6%
3:00 PMBetis#5Champions League: 0.3%Europa League: 87.1%Conference League: 9.6%41%
36%
Girona#15Conference League: 0.4%Relegation: 8.9%
3:00 PMReal Sociedad#8Europa League: 3.1%Conference League: 16.3%
3:00 PMReal Sociedad#8Europa League: 3.1%Conference League: 16.3%43%
32%
Real Sociedad#8Europa League: 3.1%Conference League: 16.3%3:00 PM
Valencia#11Conference League: 1.2%Relegation: 2.8%
3:00 PMValencia#11Conference League: 1.2%Relegation: 2.8%41%
36%
Espanyol#13Conference League: 1.2%Relegation: 3.5%
3:00 PMReal Sociedad#8Europa League: 3.1%Conference League: 16.3%
3:00 PMReal Sociedad#8Europa League: 3.1%Conference League: 16.3%35%
39%
Results so far
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | Rayo Vallecano#12Europa League: 0.1%Conference League: 1.2%Relegation: 2.5% | 3 - 3 | Real Sociedad#8Europa League: 3.1%Conference League: 16.3% |
| 2026-04-22 | Real Sociedad#8Europa League: 3.1%Conference League: 16.3% | 0 - 1 |  Getafe#6Europa League: 3.8%Conference League: 23.7% |
| 2026-04-11 | Real Sociedad#8Europa League: 3.1%Conference League: 16.3% | 3 - 3 |  Alavés#16Relegation: 21.2% |
| 2026-04-04 | Real Sociedad#8Europa League: 3.1%Conference League: 16.3% | 2 - 0 |  Levante#19Relegation: 66.8% |
| 2026-03-20 | Villarreal#3Champions League: 99.9% | 3 - 1 | Real Sociedad#8Europa League: 3.1%Conference League: 16.3% |
| 2026-03-15 | Real Sociedad#8Europa League: 3.1%Conference League: 16.3% | 3 - 1 |  Osasuna#9Europa League: 0.9%Conference League: 10.4% |
| 2026-03-07 | Atlético de Madrid#4Champions League: 99.7%Europa League: 0.3% | 3 - 2 | Real Sociedad#8Europa League: 3.1%Conference League: 16.3% |
| 2026-02-28 | Mallorca#17Relegation: 31.9% | 0 - 1 | Real Sociedad#8Europa League: 3.1%Conference League: 16.3% |
| 2026-02-21 | Real Sociedad#8Europa League: 3.1%Conference League: 16.3% | 3 - 3 |  Real Oviedo#20Relegation: 99.3% |
| 2026-02-14 | Real Madrid#2Winner: 0.2%Champions League: 99.9% | 4 - 1 | Real Sociedad#8Europa League: 3.1%Conference League: 16.3% |
| 2026-02-07 | Real Sociedad#8Europa League: 3.1%Conference League: 16.3% | 3 - 1 |  Elche#14Conference League: 0.8%Relegation: 5.1% |
| 2026-02-01 | Athletic Bilbao#10Europa League: 0.4%Conference League: 4.6%Relegation: 0.4% | 1 - 1 | Real Sociedad#8Europa League: 3.1%Conference League: 16.3% |
| 2026-01-25 | Real Sociedad#8Europa League: 3.1%Conference League: 16.3% | 3 - 1 |  Celta#7Europa League: 4.2%Conference League: 30.6% |
| 2026-01-18 | Real Sociedad#8Europa League: 3.1%Conference League: 16.3% | 2 - 1 |  Barcelona#1Winner: 99.8%Champions League: 99.9% |
| 2026-01-09 | Getafe#6Europa League: 3.8%Conference League: 23.7% | 1 - 2 | Real Sociedad#8Europa League: 3.1%Conference League: 16.3% |
| 2026-01-04 | Real Sociedad#8Europa League: 3.1%Conference League: 16.3% | 1 - 1 | Atlético de Madrid#4Champions League: 99.7%Europa League: 0.3% |
| 2025-12-20 | Levante#19Relegation: 66.8% | 1 - 1 | Real Sociedad#8Europa League: 3.1%Conference League: 16.3% |
| 2025-12-12 | Real Sociedad#8Europa League: 3.1%Conference League: 16.3% | 1 - 2 | Girona#15Conference League: 0.4%Relegation: 8.9% |
| 2025-12-06 | Alavés#16Relegation: 21.2% | 1 - 0 | Real Sociedad#8Europa League: 3.1%Conference League: 16.3% |
| 2025-11-30 | Real Sociedad#8Europa League: 3.1%Conference League: 16.3% | 2 - 3 | Villarreal#3Champions League: 99.9% |
| 2025-11-22 | Osasuna#9Europa League: 0.9%Conference League: 10.4% | 1 - 3 | Real Sociedad#8Europa League: 3.1%Conference League: 16.3% |
| 2025-11-07 | Elche#14Conference League: 0.8%Relegation: 5.1% | 1 - 1 | Real Sociedad#8Europa League: 3.1%Conference League: 16.3% |
| 2025-11-01 | Real Sociedad#8Europa League: 3.1%Conference League: 16.3% | 3 - 2 | Athletic Bilbao#10Europa League: 0.4%Conference League: 4.6%Relegation: 0.4% |
| 2025-10-24 | Real Sociedad#8Europa League: 3.1%Conference League: 16.3% | 2 - 1 |  Sevilla#18Relegation: 57.5% |
| 2025-10-19 | Celta#7Europa League: 4.2%Conference League: 30.6% | 1 - 1 | Real Sociedad#8Europa League: 3.1%Conference League: 16.3% |
| 2025-10-05 | Real Sociedad#8Europa League: 3.1%Conference League: 16.3% | 0 - 1 | Rayo Vallecano#12Europa League: 0.1%Conference League: 1.2%Relegation: 2.5% |
| 2025-09-28 | Barcelona#1Winner: 99.8%Champions League: 99.9% | 2 - 1 | Real Sociedad#8Europa League: 3.1%Conference League: 16.3% |
| 2025-09-24 | Real Sociedad#8Europa League: 3.1%Conference League: 16.3% | 1 - 0 | Mallorca#17Relegation: 31.9% |
| 2025-09-19 | Betis#5Champions League: 0.3%Europa League: 87.1%Conference League: 9.6% | 3 - 1 | Real Sociedad#8Europa League: 3.1%Conference League: 16.3% |
| 2025-09-13 | Real Sociedad#8Europa League: 3.1%Conference League: 16.3% | 1 - 2 | Real Madrid#2Winner: 0.2%Champions League: 99.9% |
| 2025-08-30 | Real Oviedo#20Relegation: 99.3% | 1 - 0 | Real Sociedad#8Europa League: 3.1%Conference League: 16.3% |
| 2025-08-24 | Real Sociedad#8Europa League: 3.1%Conference League: 16.3% | 2 - 2 | Espanyol#13Conference League: 1.2%Relegation: 3.5% |
| 2025-08-16 | Valencia#11Conference League: 1.2%Relegation: 2.8% | 1 - 1 | Real Sociedad#8Europa League: 3.1%Conference League: 16.3% |