Atlético Madrid
Atlético Madrid UCL Chances 2027 — 38.0%
La Liga 26/27 · Round 7 of 38 · Rank #4 · 6 MP
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Atlético Madrid are 4th in the La Liga 26/27 2027 season after 6 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 38.0% chance of ucl — with 31 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.
In their last 5 La Liga 26/27 matches, Atlético Madrid have recorded 2 wins, 3 defeats. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.
Alongside their ucl probability, Atlético Madrid's win chance currently stands at 7.6%.
Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining La Liga 26/27 fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Atlético Madrid's 2027 season has evolved round by round.
Current Probabilities:
- Win: 7.6%
- UCL: 38.0%
- UEL: 8.7%
- ECL: 7.8%
- Releg: 2.4%
More analysis
← View all La Liga 26/27 standings and odds
See also:
Next matches
Times in Coordinated Universal Time
5:00 PMAtlético Madrid#4Win: 7.6%UCL: 38.0%UEL: 8.7%ECL: 7.8%Releg: 2.4%
5:00 PMAtlético Madrid#4Win: 7.6%UCL: 38.0%UEL: 8.7%ECL: 7.8%Releg: 2.4%5:00 PM
Deportivo#19Win: 0.2%UCL: 2.7%UEL: 1.5%ECL: 2.0%Releg: 37.8%
5:00 PMAtlético Madrid#4Win: 7.6%UCL: 38.0%UEL: 8.7%ECL: 7.8%Releg: 2.4%5:00 PM
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Results so far
| Date | Home | Score | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 |  | Atlético Madrid | 2 - 1 |  Real Madrid#3Win: 12.6%UCL: 50.3%UEL: 8.7%ECL: 7.4%Releg: 1.0% |
| 2026-09-16 | | Atlético Madrid | 4 - 0 |  Osasuna#8Win: 1.5%UCL: 12.8%UEL: 5.1%ECL: 5.4%Releg: 12.4% |
| 2026-09-13 | | Real Sociedad#6Win: 3.0%UCL: 20.3%UEL: 6.7%ECL: 6.7%Releg: 7.2% | 0 - 3 | Atlético Madrid |
| 2026-09-09 | Liverpool | 2 - 1 | Atlético Madrid | |
| 2026-09-05 | | Athletic Bilbao#10Win: 2.5%UCL: 19.0%UEL: 6.6%ECL: 6.5%Releg: 8.2% | 3 - 0 | Atlético Madrid |
| 2026-08-29 | | Sevilla#5Win: 3.0%UCL: 21.2%UEL: 6.9%ECL: 7.2%Releg: 6.5% | 1 - 3 | Atlético Madrid |
| 2026-08-23 | | Atlético Madrid | 2 - 2 |  Villarreal#12Win: 1.3%UCL: 11.8%UEL: 4.9%ECL: 5.3%Releg: 13.4% |