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Germany Knockout Chances 2026 — 96.0%

FIFA World Cup 2026 · Round 6 of 94 · Rank #4 · 0 MP

How far can Germany go at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? CupChances simulates millions of possible tournament outcomes to track Germany's live odds of advancing from the group stage, reaching the knockout rounds, and winning the title against a 48-team field.

Last updated: June 13, 2026

Germany FIFA World Cup 2026 — Key Insights
9.2%
Winner
4.0%
Group Stage Exit
#4
Position
Germany are the clear favourites for Knockout at 96.0%, currently ranked 4th — updated after every match.

Live — Updated at

Current Probabilities:

  • Winner: 9.2%
  • Final: 16.5%
  • Semifinals: 27.5%
  • Quarterfinals: 39.0%
  • Round of 16: 68.7%
  • Knockout: 96.0%
  • Group Stage Exit: 4.0%

← View all FIFA World Cup 2026 standings and odds

See also:

France Winner ChancesBelgium Final ChancesBrazil Semifinals ChancesArgentina Quarterfinals ChancesUnited States Quarterfinals ChancesNetherlands Quarterfinals ChancesEngland Quarterfinals ChancesMexico Round of 16 Chances

Next matches

Times in Coordinated Universal Time

Germany#4Winner: 9.2%Final: 16.5%Semifinals: 27.5%Quarterfinals: 39.0%Round of 16: 68.7%Knockout: 96.0%Group Stage Exit: 4.0%5:00 PMCuraçao#34Winner: 0.2%Final: 0.6%Semifinals: 1.7%Quarterfinals: 5.3%Round of 16: 20.5%Knockout: 68.6%Group Stage Exit: 31.4%
Germany#4Winner: 9.2%Final: 16.5%Semifinals: 27.5%Quarterfinals: 39.0%Round of 16: 68.7%Knockout: 96.0%Group Stage Exit: 4.0%8:00 PMIvory Coast#43Final: 0.1%Semifinals: 0.3%Quarterfinals: 1.0%Round of 16: 4.9%Knockout: 20.9%Group Stage Exit: 79.1%
Ecuador#17Winner: 1.4%Final: 3.9%Semifinals: 8.4%Quarterfinals: 16.2%Round of 16: 45.5%Knockout: 87.6%Group Stage Exit: 12.4%8:00 PMGermany#4Winner: 9.2%Final: 16.5%Semifinals: 27.5%Quarterfinals: 39.0%Round of 16: 68.7%Knockout: 96.0%Group Stage Exit: 4.0%

Results so far

DateHomeScoreAway