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Iran Group Stage Exit Chances 2026 — 81.1%

FIFA World Cup 2026 · Round 6 of 94 · Rank #46 · 0 MP

How far can Iran go at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? CupChances simulates millions of possible tournament outcomes to track Iran's live odds of advancing from the group stage, reaching the knockout rounds, and winning the title against a 48-team field.

Last updated: June 13, 2026

Iran FIFA World Cup 2026 — Key Insights
0.0%
Winner
81.1%
Group Stage Exit
#46
Position
Iran are the clear favourites for Group Stage Exit at 81.1%, currently ranked 46th — updated after every match.

Live — Updated at

Current Probabilities:

  • Winner: 0.0%Since 2026-04-30
  • Final: 0.0%Since 2026-06-13
  • Semifinals: 0.2%
  • Quarterfinals: 0.5%
  • Round of 16: 2.4%
  • Knockout: 18.9%
  • Group Stage Exit: 81.1%

← View all FIFA World Cup 2026 standings and odds

See also:

Ghana Group Stage Exit ChancesHaiti Group Stage Exit ChancesIvory Coast Group Stage Exit ChancesCape Verde Group Stage Exit ChancesNew Zealand Group Stage Exit ChancesJordan Group Stage Exit ChancesDR Congo Group Stage Exit Chances

Next matches

Times in Coordinated Universal Time

Iran#46Semifinals: 0.2%Quarterfinals: 0.5%Round of 16: 2.4%Knockout: 18.9%Group Stage Exit: 81.1%1:00 AMNew Zealand#45Final: 0.2%Semifinals: 1.2%Quarterfinals: 3.1%Round of 16: 12.8%Knockout: 66.2%Group Stage Exit: 33.8%
Belgium#2Winner: 11.4%Final: 16.1%Semifinals: 30.7%Quarterfinals: 40.0%Round of 16: 70.0%Knockout: 96.5%Group Stage Exit: 3.5%7:00 PMIran#46Semifinals: 0.2%Quarterfinals: 0.5%Round of 16: 2.4%Knockout: 18.9%Group Stage Exit: 81.1%
Egypt#27Winner: 0.4%Final: 1.1%Semifinals: 4.6%Quarterfinals: 9.3%Round of 16: 25.0%Knockout: 80.9%Group Stage Exit: 19.1%3:00 AMIran#46Semifinals: 0.2%Quarterfinals: 0.5%Round of 16: 2.4%Knockout: 18.9%Group Stage Exit: 81.1%

Results so far

DateHomeScoreAway