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Morocco Knockout Chances 2026 — 85.6%

FIFA World Cup 2026 · Round 6 of 94 · Rank #18 · 1 MP

How far can Morocco go at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? CupChances simulates millions of possible tournament outcomes to track Morocco's live odds of advancing from the group stage, reaching the knockout rounds, and winning the title against a 48-team field.

Last updated: June 13, 2026

Morocco FIFA World Cup 2026 — Key Insights
1.3%
Winner
14.4%
Group Stage Exit
#18
Position
D
Last 1 matches
Morocco are the clear favourites for Knockout at 85.6%, currently ranked 18th — updated after every match.

Live — Updated at

Morocco are 18th in the FIFA World Cup 2026 2026 season after 1 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 85.6% chance of knockout — with 88 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.

In their last 1 FIFA World Cup 2026 matches, Morocco have recorded 1 draw. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.

Alongside their knockout probability, Morocco's winner chance currently stands at 1.3%.

Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining FIFA World Cup 2026 fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Morocco's 2026 season has evolved round by round.

Current Probabilities:

  • Winner: 1.3%
  • Final: 3.2%
  • Semifinals: 9.1%
  • Quarterfinals: 22.0%
  • Round of 16: 49.9%
  • Knockout: 85.6%
  • Group Stage Exit: 14.4%

← View all FIFA World Cup 2026 standings and odds

See also:

Colombia Round of 16 ChancesCroatia Round of 16 ChancesSenegal Round of 16 ChancesUruguay Round of 16 ChancesEcuador Knockout ChancesSweden Knockout ChancesCzech Republic Knockout ChancesJapan Knockout ChancesTunisia Knockout ChancesTurkey Knockout Chances

Next matches

Times in Coordinated Universal Time

Scotland#30Winner: 0.3%Final: 0.9%Semifinals: 3.6%Quarterfinals: 11.9%Round of 16: 31.3%Knockout: 66.1%Group Stage Exit: 33.9%10:00 PMMorocco#18Winner: 1.3%Final: 3.2%Semifinals: 9.1%Quarterfinals: 22.0%Round of 16: 49.9%Knockout: 85.6%Group Stage Exit: 14.4%
Morocco#18Winner: 1.3%Final: 3.2%Semifinals: 9.1%Quarterfinals: 22.0%Round of 16: 49.9%Knockout: 85.6%Group Stage Exit: 14.4%10:00 PMHaiti#42Final: 0.1%Semifinals: 0.6%Quarterfinals: 2.3%Round of 16: 9.2%Knockout: 29.4%Group Stage Exit: 70.6%

Results so far

DateHomeScoreAway
2026-06-13Brazil#3Winner: 10.6%Final: 15.8%Semifinals: 28.7%Quarterfinals: 47.3%Round of 16: 71.3%Knockout: 91.1%Group Stage Exit: 8.9%1 - 1Morocco#18Winner: 1.3%Final: 3.2%Semifinals: 9.1%Quarterfinals: 22.0%Round of 16: 49.9%Knockout: 85.6%Group Stage Exit: 14.4%