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Netherlands Knockout Chances 2026 — 88.5%

FIFA World Cup 2026 · Round 6 of 94 · Rank #7 · 0 MP

How far can Netherlands go at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? CupChances simulates millions of possible tournament outcomes to track Netherlands's live odds of advancing from the group stage, reaching the knockout rounds, and winning the title against a 48-team field.

Last updated: June 13, 2026

Netherlands FIFA World Cup 2026 — Key Insights
5.3%
Winner
11.5%
Group Stage Exit
#7
Position
Netherlands are the clear favourites for Knockout at 88.5%, currently ranked 7th — updated after every match.

Live — Updated at

Current Probabilities:

  • Winner: 5.3%
  • Final: 9.8%
  • Semifinals: 15.9%
  • Quarterfinals: 32.5%
  • Round of 16: 56.3%
  • Knockout: 88.5%
  • Group Stage Exit: 11.5%

← View all FIFA World Cup 2026 standings and odds

See also:

Belgium Final ChancesBrazil Semifinals ChancesGermany Semifinals ChancesArgentina Quarterfinals ChancesUnited States Quarterfinals ChancesEngland Quarterfinals ChancesMexico Round of 16 ChancesPortugal Round of 16 ChancesSpain Round of 16 ChancesSwitzerland Round of 16 Chances

Next matches

Times in Coordinated Universal Time

Netherlands#7Winner: 5.3%Final: 9.8%Semifinals: 15.9%Quarterfinals: 32.5%Round of 16: 56.3%Knockout: 88.5%Group Stage Exit: 11.5%8:00 PMJapan#21Winner: 1.0%Final: 2.8%Semifinals: 5.4%Quarterfinals: 12.9%Round of 16: 24.5%Knockout: 60.9%Group Stage Exit: 39.1%
Netherlands#7Winner: 5.3%Final: 9.8%Semifinals: 15.9%Quarterfinals: 32.5%Round of 16: 56.3%Knockout: 88.5%Group Stage Exit: 11.5%5:00 PMSweden#19Winner: 1.2%Final: 3.2%Semifinals: 6.2%Quarterfinals: 14.4%Round of 16: 26.8%Knockout: 64.1%Group Stage Exit: 35.9%
Tunisia#22Winner: 0.7%Final: 2.2%Semifinals: 4.3%Quarterfinals: 11.6%Round of 16: 24.3%Knockout: 64.7%Group Stage Exit: 35.3%11:00 PMNetherlands#7Winner: 5.3%Final: 9.8%Semifinals: 15.9%Quarterfinals: 32.5%Round of 16: 56.3%Knockout: 88.5%Group Stage Exit: 11.5%

Results so far

DateHomeScoreAway