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New Zealand Knockout Chances 2026 — 66.2%

FIFA World Cup 2026 · Round 6 of 94 · Rank #45 · 0 MP

How far can New Zealand go at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? CupChances simulates millions of possible tournament outcomes to track New Zealand's live odds of advancing from the group stage, reaching the knockout rounds, and winning the title against a 48-team field.

Last updated: June 13, 2026

New Zealand FIFA World Cup 2026 — Key Insights
0.0%
Winner
33.8%
Group Stage Exit
#45
Position
New Zealand are strong contenders for Knockout at 66.2%, currently ranked 45th — updated after every match.

Live — Updated at

Current Probabilities:

  • Winner: 0.0%Since 2026-06-13
  • Final: 0.2%
  • Semifinals: 1.2%
  • Quarterfinals: 3.1%
  • Round of 16: 12.8%
  • Knockout: 66.2%
  • Group Stage Exit: 33.8%

← View all FIFA World Cup 2026 standings and odds

See also:

Panama Group Stage Exit ChancesGhana Group Stage Exit ChancesHaiti Group Stage Exit ChancesIvory Coast Group Stage Exit ChancesCape Verde Group Stage Exit ChancesIran Group Stage Exit ChancesJordan Group Stage Exit ChancesDR Congo Group Stage Exit Chances

Next matches

Times in Coordinated Universal Time

Iran#46Semifinals: 0.2%Quarterfinals: 0.5%Round of 16: 2.4%Knockout: 18.9%Group Stage Exit: 81.1%1:00 AMNew Zealand#45Final: 0.2%Semifinals: 1.2%Quarterfinals: 3.1%Round of 16: 12.8%Knockout: 66.2%Group Stage Exit: 33.8%
New Zealand#45Final: 0.2%Semifinals: 1.2%Quarterfinals: 3.1%Round of 16: 12.8%Knockout: 66.2%Group Stage Exit: 33.8%1:00 AMEgypt#27Winner: 0.4%Final: 1.1%Semifinals: 4.6%Quarterfinals: 9.3%Round of 16: 25.0%Knockout: 80.9%Group Stage Exit: 19.1%
New Zealand#45Final: 0.2%Semifinals: 1.2%Quarterfinals: 3.1%Round of 16: 12.8%Knockout: 66.2%Group Stage Exit: 33.8%3:00 AMBelgium#2Winner: 11.4%Final: 16.1%Semifinals: 30.7%Quarterfinals: 40.0%Round of 16: 70.0%Knockout: 96.5%Group Stage Exit: 3.5%

Results so far

DateHomeScoreAway