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Norway World Cup 2026 — 100.0% Quarterfinals

FIFA World Cup 2026 · Round 104 of 94 · Rank #35 · 3 MP

How far can Norway go at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? CupChances simulates millions of possible tournament outcomes to track Norway's live odds of advancing from the group stage, reaching the knockout rounds, and winning the title against a 48-team field.

Last updated: July 19, 2026

Norway FIFA World Cup 2026 — Key Insights
0.0%
Winner
0.0%
Group Stage Exit
#35
Position
WLWWL
Last 5 matches
Norway are the clear favourites for Quarterfinals at 100.0%, currently ranked 35th — updated after every match.

Live — Updated at

Norway are 35th in the FIFA World Cup 2026 2026 season after 3 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 100.0% chance of quarterfinals — with -10 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.

In their last 5 FIFA World Cup 2026 matches, Norway have recorded 3 wins, 2 defeats. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.

Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining FIFA World Cup 2026 fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Norway's 2026 season has evolved round by round.

Current Probabilities:

  • Winner: 0.0%Since 2026-07-11
  • Final: 0.0%Since 2026-07-11
  • Semifinals: 0.0%Since 2026-07-11
  • Quarterfinals: 100.0%Since 2026-07-05
  • Round of 16: 100.0%Since 2026-07-03
  • Knockout: 100.0%Since 2026-06-22
  • Group Stage Exit: 0.0%Since 2026-06-22

← View all FIFA World Cup 2026 standings and odds

See also:

Uruguay Knockout ChancesCape Verde Knockout ChancesSaudi Arabia Knockout ChancesIraq Group Stage Exit ChancesSenegal Group Stage Exit ChancesFrance Group Stage Exit ChancesAlgeria Group Stage Exit ChancesArgentina Group Stage Exit ChancesJordan Group Stage Exit ChancesAustria Group Stage Exit Chances

Results so far

DateHomeScoreAway
2026-07-11Norway#35Quarterfinals: 100.0%Round of 16: 100.0%Knockout: 100.0%1 - 2England#47Final: 100.0%Semifinals: 100.0%Quarterfinals: 100.0%Round of 16: 100.0%Knockout: 100.0%
2026-07-05Brazil#12Round of 16: 100.0%Knockout: 100.0%1 - 2Norway#35Quarterfinals: 100.0%Round of 16: 100.0%Knockout: 100.0%
2026-06-30Ivory Coast#19Knockout: 100.0%1 - 2Norway#35Quarterfinals: 100.0%Round of 16: 100.0%Knockout: 100.0%
2026-06-26Norway#35Quarterfinals: 100.0%Round of 16: 100.0%Knockout: 100.0%1 - 4France#36Semifinals: 100.0%Quarterfinals: 100.0%Round of 16: 100.0%Knockout: 100.0%
2026-06-22Norway#35Quarterfinals: 100.0%Round of 16: 100.0%Knockout: 100.0%3 - 2Senegal#34Knockout: 100.0%
2026-06-16Iraq#33Group Stage Exit: 100.0%1 - 4Norway#35Quarterfinals: 100.0%Round of 16: 100.0%Knockout: 100.0%