Skip to main content

Norway logoNorway

Norway Knockout Chances 2026 — 67.8%

FIFA World Cup 2026 · Round 8 of 94 · Rank #25 · 0 MP

How far can Norway go at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? CupChances simulates millions of possible tournament outcomes to track Norway's live odds of advancing from the group stage, reaching the knockout rounds, and winning the title against a 48-team field.

Last updated: June 14, 2026

Norway FIFA World Cup 2026 — Key Insights
0.6%
Winner
32.2%
Group Stage Exit
#25
Position
Norway are strong contenders for Knockout at 67.8%, currently ranked 25th — updated after every match.

Live — Updated at

Current Probabilities:

  • Winner: 0.6%
  • Final: 1.6%
  • Semifinals: 3.7%
  • Quarterfinals: 8.0%
  • Round of 16: 27.4%
  • Knockout: 67.8%
  • Group Stage Exit: 32.2%

← View all FIFA World Cup 2026 standings and odds

See also:

Czech Republic Knockout ChancesJapan Knockout ChancesAustralia Knockout ChancesScotland Knockout ChancesTunisia Knockout ChancesCanada Knockout ChancesTurkey Knockout ChancesEgypt Knockout ChancesAustria Knockout ChancesBosnia and Herzegovina Knockout Chances

Next matches

Times in Coordinated Universal Time

Iraq#38Winner: 0.1%Final: 0.2%Semifinals: 0.6%Quarterfinals: 1.9%Round of 16: 8.5%Knockout: 34.1%Group Stage Exit: 65.9%10:00 PMNorway#25Winner: 0.6%Final: 1.6%Semifinals: 3.7%Quarterfinals: 8.0%Round of 16: 27.4%Knockout: 67.8%Group Stage Exit: 32.2%
Norway#25Winner: 0.6%Final: 1.6%Semifinals: 3.7%Quarterfinals: 8.0%Round of 16: 27.4%Knockout: 67.8%Group Stage Exit: 32.2%12:00 AMSenegal#16Winner: 1.8%Final: 4.2%Semifinals: 8.2%Quarterfinals: 14.7%Round of 16: 38.4%Knockout: 78.0%Group Stage Exit: 22.0%
Norway#25Winner: 0.6%Final: 1.6%Semifinals: 3.7%Quarterfinals: 8.0%Round of 16: 27.4%Knockout: 67.8%Group Stage Exit: 32.2%7:00 PMFrance#1Winner: 11.7%Final: 17.8%Semifinals: 26.4%Quarterfinals: 34.9%Round of 16: 66.6%Knockout: 94.4%Group Stage Exit: 5.6%

Results so far

DateHomeScoreAway