Skip to main content

Paraguay logoParaguay

Paraguay Group Stage Exit Chances 2026 — 71.7%

FIFA World Cup 2026 · Round 8 of 94 · Rank #37 · 1 MP

How far can Paraguay go at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? CupChances simulates millions of possible tournament outcomes to track Paraguay's live odds of advancing from the group stage, reaching the knockout rounds, and winning the title against a 48-team field.

Last updated: June 14, 2026

Paraguay FIFA World Cup 2026 — Key Insights
0.1%
Winner
71.7%
Group Stage Exit
#37
Position
L
Last 1 matches
Paraguay are strong contenders for Group Stage Exit at 71.7%, currently ranked 37th — updated after every match.

Live — Updated at

Paraguay are 37th in the FIFA World Cup 2026 2026 season after 1 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 71.7% chance of group stage exit — with 86 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.

In their last 1 FIFA World Cup 2026 matches, Paraguay have recorded 1 defeat. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.

Alongside their group stage exit probability, Paraguay's winner chance currently stands at 0.1%.

Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining FIFA World Cup 2026 fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Paraguay's 2026 season has evolved round by round.

Current Probabilities:

  • Winner: 0.1%
  • Final: 0.3%
  • Semifinals: 0.6%
  • Quarterfinals: 2.4%
  • Round of 16: 5.9%
  • Knockout: 28.3%
  • Group Stage Exit: 71.7%

← View all FIFA World Cup 2026 standings and odds

See also:

Algeria Knockout ChancesSouth Africa Group Stage Exit ChancesCuraçao Group Stage Exit ChancesSaudi Arabia Group Stage Exit ChancesSouth Korea Group Stage Exit ChancesIraq Group Stage Exit ChancesUzbekistan Group Stage Exit ChancesGhana Group Stage Exit ChancesPanama Group Stage Exit ChancesHaiti Group Stage Exit Chances

Next matches

Times in Coordinated Universal Time

Turkey#27Winner: 0.4%Final: 1.1%Semifinals: 2.4%Quarterfinals: 6.5%Round of 16: 14.7%Knockout: 54.6%Group Stage Exit: 45.4%3:00 AMParaguay#37Winner: 0.1%Final: 0.3%Semifinals: 0.6%Quarterfinals: 2.4%Round of 16: 5.9%Knockout: 28.3%Group Stage Exit: 71.7%
Paraguay#37Winner: 0.1%Final: 0.3%Semifinals: 0.6%Quarterfinals: 2.4%Round of 16: 5.9%Knockout: 28.3%Group Stage Exit: 71.7%2:00 AMAustralia#22Winner: 0.7%Final: 2.2%Semifinals: 4.7%Quarterfinals: 11.9%Round of 16: 24.8%Knockout: 78.3%Group Stage Exit: 21.7%

Results so far

DateHomeScoreAway
2026-06-12United States#6Winner: 6.1%Final: 17.4%Semifinals: 28.4%Quarterfinals: 44.9%Round of 16: 63.7%Knockout: 98.4%Group Stage Exit: 1.6%4 - 1Paraguay#37Winner: 0.1%Final: 0.3%Semifinals: 0.6%Quarterfinals: 2.4%Round of 16: 5.9%Knockout: 28.3%Group Stage Exit: 71.7%