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Senegal Knockout Chances 2026 — 76.6%

FIFA World Cup 2026 · Round 6 of 94 · Rank #15 · 0 MP

How far can Senegal go at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? CupChances simulates millions of possible tournament outcomes to track Senegal's live odds of advancing from the group stage, reaching the knockout rounds, and winning the title against a 48-team field.

Last updated: June 13, 2026

Senegal FIFA World Cup 2026 — Key Insights
1.7%
Winner
23.4%
Group Stage Exit
#15
Position
Senegal are the clear favourites for Knockout at 76.6%, currently ranked 15th — updated after every match.

Live — Updated at

Current Probabilities:

  • Winner: 1.7%
  • Final: 4.0%
  • Semifinals: 7.6%
  • Quarterfinals: 13.6%
  • Round of 16: 36.2%
  • Knockout: 76.6%
  • Group Stage Exit: 23.4%

← View all FIFA World Cup 2026 standings and odds

See also:

Portugal Round of 16 ChancesSpain Round of 16 ChancesSwitzerland Round of 16 ChancesColombia Round of 16 ChancesCroatia Round of 16 ChancesUruguay Round of 16 ChancesEcuador Knockout ChancesMorocco Knockout ChancesSweden Knockout ChancesCzech Republic Knockout Chances

Next matches

Times in Coordinated Universal Time

France#1Winner: 12.4%Final: 18.5%Semifinals: 26.8%Quarterfinals: 34.5%Round of 16: 67.4%Knockout: 94.7%Group Stage Exit: 5.3%7:00 PMSenegal#15Winner: 1.7%Final: 4.0%Semifinals: 7.6%Quarterfinals: 13.6%Round of 16: 36.2%Knockout: 76.6%Group Stage Exit: 23.4%
Norway#24Winner: 0.6%Final: 1.7%Semifinals: 3.6%Quarterfinals: 7.8%Round of 16: 27.7%Knockout: 69.4%Group Stage Exit: 30.6%12:00 AMSenegal#15Winner: 1.7%Final: 4.0%Semifinals: 7.6%Quarterfinals: 13.6%Round of 16: 36.2%Knockout: 76.6%Group Stage Exit: 23.4%
Senegal#15Winner: 1.7%Final: 4.0%Semifinals: 7.6%Quarterfinals: 13.6%Round of 16: 36.2%Knockout: 76.6%Group Stage Exit: 23.4%7:00 PMIraq#38Winner: 0.1%Final: 0.2%Semifinals: 0.6%Quarterfinals: 1.8%Round of 16: 8.5%Knockout: 35.0%Group Stage Exit: 65.0%

Results so far

DateHomeScoreAway