Three Round-of-32 results on July 1 produced three identical outcomes: the higher-seeded team won, and three nations were eliminated.
England#71 · 7 pts dispatched DR Congo#85 · 4 pts 2-1. DR Congo#85 · 4 pts entered the match with a 14.7% chance of reaching the Round of 16 against an England#71 · 7 pts side rated at 85.3%. The result went to form. England#71 · 7 pts move on; DR Congo#85 · 4 pts are out.
The United States#75 · 6 pts beat Bosnia and Herzegovina#92 · 4 pts 2-0. Bosnia arrived at 19.6% to advance, a significant underdog against a United States#75 · 6 pts team rated at 65.0%. The US won with more room than the scoreline might suggest. Bosnia and Herzegovina#92 · 4 pts are out.
Belgium#82 · 5 pts edged Senegal#95 · 3 pts 3-2 in the tightest of the three. Senegal#95 · 3 pts's 28.8% pre-match probability reflected the closest contest of the day, and the score confirmed it. Belgium#82 · 5 pts required all three goals to see it through. Senegal#95 · 3 pts are out.
All three of the defeated teams now have zero probability in every remaining stage. England#71 · 7 pts, the United States#75 · 6 pts and Belgium#82 · 5 pts join the advancing group and move into the Round of 16, where the competition intensifies further.