Ceará Promotion Chances
Brasileiro 2026, Serie B
Ceará remain in realistic contention for promotion at 26.1%.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Winner | 6.8% |
| Promotion | 26.1% |
| Relegation | 12.3% |
Ceará are currently 6th in the Brasileiro 2026, Serie B table with 6 matches played (2W 4D 0L, 10 pts).
🔍 What This Means
At 26.1%, Ceará are currently a realistic contender for promotion. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Ceará's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page.
🤖 How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs thousands of Monte Carlo simulations after every round of matches. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Ceará achieves promotion across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 Brasileiro 2026, Serie B — Promotion odds for every team
| Vila Nova | 36.7% |
| Fortaleza | 30.8% |
| São Bernardo | 27.5% |
| Criciúma | 27.4% |
| Juventude | 27.1% |
| Sport | 25.9% |
| Náutico | 22.7% |
| Operário-PR | 21.9% |
| Novorizontino | 18.7% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Brasileiro 2026, Serie B table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.