Fortaleza Relegation Chances
Brasileiro 2026, Serie B
Fortaleza are an outside contender for relegation, with a 9.6% probability.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Winner | 8.7% |
| Promotion | 30.8% |
| Relegation | 9.6% |
Fortaleza are currently 2nd in the Brasileiro 2026, Serie B table with 6 matches played (3W 2D 1L, 11 pts).
🔍 What This Means
At 9.6%, Fortaleza are currently a outside contender for relegation. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Fortaleza's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page.
🤖 How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs thousands of Monte Carlo simulations after every round of matches. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Fortaleza achieves relegation across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 Brasileiro 2026, Serie B — Relegation odds for every team
| Vila Nova | 7.2% |
| São Bernardo | 11.5% |
| Criciúma | 11.5% |
| Juventude | 11.6% |
| Ceará | 12.3% |
| Sport | 12.4% |
| Náutico | 14.8% |
| Operário-PR | 15.4% |
| Novorizontino | 18.3% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Brasileiro 2026, Serie B table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.