La Liga Title Race 2026
La Liga 2025/26
Every La Liga team ranked by their live title probability — our supercomputer runs up to millions of simulations updated live every 10 minutes during every match.
Title Race — Live Probabilities
| # | Team | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 100.0% |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 0.0% |
| 3 | Villarreal | 0.0% |
| 4 | Atlético de Madrid | 0.0% |
| 5 | Betis | 0.0% |
| 6 | Celta | 0.0% |
| 7 | Getafe | 0.0% |
| 8 | Athletic Bilbao | 0.0% |
| 9 | Rayo Vallecano | 0.0% |
| 10 | Real Sociedad | 0.0% |
| 11 | Osasuna | 0.0% |
| 12 | Valencia | 0.0% |
| 13 | Girona | 0.0% |
| 14 | Mallorca | 0.0% |
| 15 | Espanyol | 0.0% |
| 16 | Elche | 0.0% |
| 17 | Sevilla | 0.0% |
| 18 | Levante | 0.0% |
| 19 | Alavés | 0.0% |
| 20 | Real Oviedo | 0.0% |
En vivo — actualizado cada 10 minutos durante cada partidoRound 35
Sobre Esta Lucha
La Liga title races have historically been dominated by a few clubs, but the model simulates every remaining fixture to reflect current form.
Cómo Se Calculan Estas Probabilidades
CupChances runs thousands of Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining season every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out every remaining fixture and counts how often each team ends up in the title places. The percentages shown reflect those simulated outcomes, updated live every 10 minutes during every match.
Ver tabla completa de La Liga 2025/26 →
Full standings, match results, and all team probability charts.