Chelsea Europa League Chances
Premier League 25/26
Chelsea face long odds for Europa League qualification, with only a 0.4% probability.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Winner | 0.0% |
| Champions League | 0.0% |
| Europa League | 0.4% |
| Relegation | 0.0% |
Chelsea are currently 8th in the Premier League 25/26 table with 34 matches played (13W 9D 12L, 48 pts).
🔍 What This Means
At 0.4%, Chelsea are currently a long shot for Europa League qualification. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Chelsea's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page.
🤖 How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs thousands of Monte Carlo simulations after every round of matches. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Chelsea achieves Europa League qualification across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 Premier League 25/26 — Europa League odds for every team
| Arsenal | 0.0% |
| Manchester City | 0.0% |
| Manchester United | 6.2% |
| Liverpool | 41.4% |
| Aston Villa | 49.2% |
| Brighton | 2.0% |
| Bournemouth | 0.4% |
| Brentford | 0.2% |
| Fulham | 0.1% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Premier League 25/26 table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.