Brasileirão 2026 — Journée 16 sur 38
Mis à jour le
Probabilité de remporter le championnat
| # | Équipe | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palmeiras#1Champion: 43.0%Libertadores: 86.4%Qualification Libertadores: 7.8%Copa Sudamericana: 5.5% | 43.0% |
| 2 |  Flamengo#2Champion: 26.1%Libertadores: 74.2%Qualification Libertadores: 12.5%Copa Sudamericana: 11.9%Relégation: 0.1% | 26.1% |
| 3 |  Fluminense#3Champion: 14.4%Libertadores: 61.2%Qualification Libertadores: 16.5%Copa Sudamericana: 19.1%Relégation: 0.4% | 14.4% |
| 4 |  Bahia#7Champion: 2.7%Libertadores: 23.3%Qualification Libertadores: 16.6%Copa Sudamericana: 39.2%Relégation: 5.6% | 2.7% |
| 5 |  São Paulo#4Champion: 2.5%Libertadores: 23.0%Qualification Libertadores: 16.8%Copa Sudamericana: 39.8%Relégation: 5.4% | 2.5% |
| 6 |  Athletico-PR#5Champion: 2.5%Libertadores: 22.8%Qualification Libertadores: 16.7%Copa Sudamericana: 39.9%Relégation: 5.4% | 2.5% |
| 7 |  Bragantino#6Champion: 1.8%Libertadores: 18.2%Qualification Libertadores: 15.0%Copa Sudamericana: 41.0%Relégation: 7.4% | 1.8% |
| 8 |  Coritiba#8Champion: 1.7%Libertadores: 17.2%Qualification Libertadores: 14.5%Copa Sudamericana: 41.3%Relégation: 7.9% | 1.7% |
| 9 |  Botafogo#9Champion: 1.5%Libertadores: 15.5%Qualification Libertadores: 13.5%Copa Sudamericana: 40.6%Relégation: 9.8% | 1.5% |
| 10 |  Atlético-MG#10Champion: 0.8%Libertadores: 10.7%Qualification Libertadores: 11.1%Copa Sudamericana: 39.9%Relégation: 13.7% | 0.8% |
| 11 |  Internacional#11Champion: 0.7%Libertadores: 10.0%Qualification Libertadores: 10.8%Copa Sudamericana: 39.5%Relégation: 14.6% | 0.7% |
| 12 |  Vitória#14Champion: 0.7%Libertadores: 8.7%Qualification Libertadores: 9.5%Copa Sudamericana: 37.4%Relégation: 17.9% | 0.7% |
| 13 |  Vasco#12Champion: 0.5%Libertadores: 7.4%Qualification Libertadores: 8.8%Copa Sudamericana: 37.1%Relégation: 18.9% | 0.5% |
| 14 |  Cruzeiro#13Champion: 0.5%Libertadores: 7.3%Qualification Libertadores: 8.6%Copa Sudamericana: 36.7%Relégation: 19.4% | 0.5% |
| 15 |  Santos#15Champion: 0.2%Libertadores: 3.8%Qualification Libertadores: 5.5%Copa Sudamericana: 30.0%Relégation: 30.2% | 0.2% |
| 16 |  Corinthians#16Champion: 0.2%Libertadores: 3.7%Qualification Libertadores: 5.4%Copa Sudamericana: 30.0%Relégation: 30.5% | 0.2% |
| 17 |  Grêmio#17Champion: 0.2%Libertadores: 3.8%Qualification Libertadores: 5.5%Copa Sudamericana: 30.3%Relégation: 29.9% | 0.2% |
Probabilité d'accès à la phase de groupes de la Libertadores
| # | Équipe | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras#1Champion: 43.0%Libertadores: 86.4%Qualification Libertadores: 7.8%Copa Sudamericana: 5.5% | 86.4% |
| 2 | Flamengo#2Champion: 26.1%Libertadores: 74.2%Qualification Libertadores: 12.5%Copa Sudamericana: 11.9%Relégation: 0.1% | 74.2% |
| 3 | Fluminense#3Champion: 14.4%Libertadores: 61.2%Qualification Libertadores: 16.5%Copa Sudamericana: 19.1%Relégation: 0.4% | 61.2% |
| 4 | Bahia#7Champion: 2.7%Libertadores: 23.3%Qualification Libertadores: 16.6%Copa Sudamericana: 39.2%Relégation: 5.6% | 23.3% |
| 5 | São Paulo#4Champion: 2.5%Libertadores: 23.0%Qualification Libertadores: 16.8%Copa Sudamericana: 39.8%Relégation: 5.4% | 23.0% |
| 6 | Athletico-PR#5Champion: 2.5%Libertadores: 22.8%Qualification Libertadores: 16.7%Copa Sudamericana: 39.9%Relégation: 5.4% | 22.8% |
| 7 | Bragantino#6Champion: 1.8%Libertadores: 18.2%Qualification Libertadores: 15.0%Copa Sudamericana: 41.0%Relégation: 7.4% | 18.2% |
| 8 | Coritiba#8Champion: 1.7%Libertadores: 17.2%Qualification Libertadores: 14.5%Copa Sudamericana: 41.3%Relégation: 7.9% | 17.2% |
| 9 | Botafogo#9Champion: 1.5%Libertadores: 15.5%Qualification Libertadores: 13.5%Copa Sudamericana: 40.6%Relégation: 9.8% | 15.5% |
| 10 | Atlético-MG#10Champion: 0.8%Libertadores: 10.7%Qualification Libertadores: 11.1%Copa Sudamericana: 39.9%Relégation: 13.7% | 10.7% |
| 11 | Internacional#11Champion: 0.7%Libertadores: 10.0%Qualification Libertadores: 10.8%Copa Sudamericana: 39.5%Relégation: 14.6% | 10.0% |
| 12 | Vitória#14Champion: 0.7%Libertadores: 8.7%Qualification Libertadores: 9.5%Copa Sudamericana: 37.4%Relégation: 17.9% | 8.7% |
| 13 | Vasco#12Champion: 0.5%Libertadores: 7.4%Qualification Libertadores: 8.8%Copa Sudamericana: 37.1%Relégation: 18.9% | 7.4% |
| 14 | Cruzeiro#13Champion: 0.5%Libertadores: 7.3%Qualification Libertadores: 8.6%Copa Sudamericana: 36.7%Relégation: 19.4% | 7.3% |
| 15 | Santos#15Champion: 0.2%Libertadores: 3.8%Qualification Libertadores: 5.5%Copa Sudamericana: 30.0%Relégation: 30.2% | 3.8% |
| 16 | Grêmio#17Champion: 0.2%Libertadores: 3.8%Qualification Libertadores: 5.5%Copa Sudamericana: 30.3%Relégation: 29.9% | 3.8% |
| 17 | Corinthians#16Champion: 0.2%Libertadores: 3.7%Qualification Libertadores: 5.4%Copa Sudamericana: 30.0%Relégation: 30.5% | 3.7% |
| 18 |  Remo#18Libertadores: 1.3%Qualification Libertadores: 2.4%Copa Sudamericana: 18.1%Relégation: 50.7% | 1.3% |
| 19 |  Mirassol#19Libertadores: 1.2%Qualification Libertadores: 2.1%Copa Sudamericana: 16.7%Relégation: 53.7% | 1.2% |
| 20 |  Chapecoense#20Libertadores: 0.2%Qualification Libertadores: 0.5%Copa Sudamericana: 6.0%Relégation: 78.6% | 0.2% |
Probabilité d'accès à la phase de qualification de la Libertadores
| # | Équipe | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | São Paulo#4Champion: 2.5%Libertadores: 23.0%Qualification Libertadores: 16.8%Copa Sudamericana: 39.8%Relégation: 5.4% | 16.8% |
| 2 | Athletico-PR#5Champion: 2.5%Libertadores: 22.8%Qualification Libertadores: 16.7%Copa Sudamericana: 39.9%Relégation: 5.4% | 16.7% |
| 3 | Bahia#7Champion: 2.7%Libertadores: 23.3%Qualification Libertadores: 16.6%Copa Sudamericana: 39.2%Relégation: 5.6% | 16.6% |
| 4 | Fluminense#3Champion: 14.4%Libertadores: 61.2%Qualification Libertadores: 16.5%Copa Sudamericana: 19.1%Relégation: 0.4% | 16.5% |
| 5 | Bragantino#6Champion: 1.8%Libertadores: 18.2%Qualification Libertadores: 15.0%Copa Sudamericana: 41.0%Relégation: 7.4% | 15.0% |
| 6 | Coritiba#8Champion: 1.7%Libertadores: 17.2%Qualification Libertadores: 14.5%Copa Sudamericana: 41.3%Relégation: 7.9% | 14.5% |
| 7 | Botafogo#9Champion: 1.5%Libertadores: 15.5%Qualification Libertadores: 13.5%Copa Sudamericana: 40.6%Relégation: 9.8% | 13.5% |
| 8 | Flamengo#2Champion: 26.1%Libertadores: 74.2%Qualification Libertadores: 12.5%Copa Sudamericana: 11.9%Relégation: 0.1% | 12.5% |
| 9 | Atlético-MG#10Champion: 0.8%Libertadores: 10.7%Qualification Libertadores: 11.1%Copa Sudamericana: 39.9%Relégation: 13.7% | 11.1% |
| 10 | Internacional#11Champion: 0.7%Libertadores: 10.0%Qualification Libertadores: 10.8%Copa Sudamericana: 39.5%Relégation: 14.6% | 10.8% |
| 11 | Vitória#14Champion: 0.7%Libertadores: 8.7%Qualification Libertadores: 9.5%Copa Sudamericana: 37.4%Relégation: 17.9% | 9.5% |
| 12 | Vasco#12Champion: 0.5%Libertadores: 7.4%Qualification Libertadores: 8.8%Copa Sudamericana: 37.1%Relégation: 18.9% | 8.8% |
| 13 | Cruzeiro#13Champion: 0.5%Libertadores: 7.3%Qualification Libertadores: 8.6%Copa Sudamericana: 36.7%Relégation: 19.4% | 8.6% |
| 14 | Palmeiras#1Champion: 43.0%Libertadores: 86.4%Qualification Libertadores: 7.8%Copa Sudamericana: 5.5% | 7.8% |
| 15 | Santos#15Champion: 0.2%Libertadores: 3.8%Qualification Libertadores: 5.5%Copa Sudamericana: 30.0%Relégation: 30.2% | 5.5% |
| 16 | Grêmio#17Champion: 0.2%Libertadores: 3.8%Qualification Libertadores: 5.5%Copa Sudamericana: 30.3%Relégation: 29.9% | 5.5% |
| 17 | Corinthians#16Champion: 0.2%Libertadores: 3.7%Qualification Libertadores: 5.4%Copa Sudamericana: 30.0%Relégation: 30.5% | 5.4% |
| 18 | Remo#18Libertadores: 1.3%Qualification Libertadores: 2.4%Copa Sudamericana: 18.1%Relégation: 50.7% | 2.4% |
| 19 | Mirassol#19Libertadores: 1.2%Qualification Libertadores: 2.1%Copa Sudamericana: 16.7%Relégation: 53.7% | 2.1% |
| 20 | Chapecoense#20Libertadores: 0.2%Qualification Libertadores: 0.5%Copa Sudamericana: 6.0%Relégation: 78.6% | 0.5% |
Probabilité d'accès à la Copa Sudamericana
| # | Équipe | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coritiba#8Champion: 1.7%Libertadores: 17.2%Qualification Libertadores: 14.5%Copa Sudamericana: 41.3%Relégation: 7.9% | 41.3% |
| 2 | Bragantino#6Champion: 1.8%Libertadores: 18.2%Qualification Libertadores: 15.0%Copa Sudamericana: 41.0%Relégation: 7.4% | 41.0% |
| 3 | Botafogo#9Champion: 1.5%Libertadores: 15.5%Qualification Libertadores: 13.5%Copa Sudamericana: 40.6%Relégation: 9.8% | 40.6% |
| 4 | Athletico-PR#5Champion: 2.5%Libertadores: 22.8%Qualification Libertadores: 16.7%Copa Sudamericana: 39.9%Relégation: 5.4% | 39.9% |
| 5 | Atlético-MG#10Champion: 0.8%Libertadores: 10.7%Qualification Libertadores: 11.1%Copa Sudamericana: 39.9%Relégation: 13.7% | 39.9% |
| 6 | São Paulo#4Champion: 2.5%Libertadores: 23.0%Qualification Libertadores: 16.8%Copa Sudamericana: 39.8%Relégation: 5.4% | 39.8% |
| 7 | Internacional#11Champion: 0.7%Libertadores: 10.0%Qualification Libertadores: 10.8%Copa Sudamericana: 39.5%Relégation: 14.6% | 39.5% |
| 8 | Bahia#7Champion: 2.7%Libertadores: 23.3%Qualification Libertadores: 16.6%Copa Sudamericana: 39.2%Relégation: 5.6% | 39.2% |
| 9 | Vitória#14Champion: 0.7%Libertadores: 8.7%Qualification Libertadores: 9.5%Copa Sudamericana: 37.4%Relégation: 17.9% | 37.4% |
| 10 | Vasco#12Champion: 0.5%Libertadores: 7.4%Qualification Libertadores: 8.8%Copa Sudamericana: 37.1%Relégation: 18.9% | 37.1% |
| 11 | Cruzeiro#13Champion: 0.5%Libertadores: 7.3%Qualification Libertadores: 8.6%Copa Sudamericana: 36.7%Relégation: 19.4% | 36.7% |
| 12 | Grêmio#17Champion: 0.2%Libertadores: 3.8%Qualification Libertadores: 5.5%Copa Sudamericana: 30.3%Relégation: 29.9% | 30.3% |
| 13 | Santos#15Champion: 0.2%Libertadores: 3.8%Qualification Libertadores: 5.5%Copa Sudamericana: 30.0%Relégation: 30.2% | 30.0% |
| 14 | Corinthians#16Champion: 0.2%Libertadores: 3.7%Qualification Libertadores: 5.4%Copa Sudamericana: 30.0%Relégation: 30.5% | 30.0% |
| 15 | Fluminense#3Champion: 14.4%Libertadores: 61.2%Qualification Libertadores: 16.5%Copa Sudamericana: 19.1%Relégation: 0.4% | 19.1% |
| 16 | Remo#18Libertadores: 1.3%Qualification Libertadores: 2.4%Copa Sudamericana: 18.1%Relégation: 50.7% | 18.1% |
| 17 | Mirassol#19Libertadores: 1.2%Qualification Libertadores: 2.1%Copa Sudamericana: 16.7%Relégation: 53.7% | 16.7% |
| 18 | Flamengo#2Champion: 26.1%Libertadores: 74.2%Qualification Libertadores: 12.5%Copa Sudamericana: 11.9%Relégation: 0.1% | 11.9% |
| 19 | Chapecoense#20Libertadores: 0.2%Qualification Libertadores: 0.5%Copa Sudamericana: 6.0%Relégation: 78.6% | 6.0% |
| 20 | Palmeiras#1Champion: 43.0%Libertadores: 86.4%Qualification Libertadores: 7.8%Copa Sudamericana: 5.5% | 5.5% |
Probabilité de relégation à la fin du championnat
| # | Équipe | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chapecoense#20Libertadores: 0.2%Qualification Libertadores: 0.5%Copa Sudamericana: 6.0%Relégation: 78.6% | 78.6% |
| 2 | Mirassol#19Libertadores: 1.2%Qualification Libertadores: 2.1%Copa Sudamericana: 16.7%Relégation: 53.7% | 53.7% |
| 3 | Remo#18Libertadores: 1.3%Qualification Libertadores: 2.4%Copa Sudamericana: 18.1%Relégation: 50.7% | 50.7% |
| 4 | Corinthians#16Champion: 0.2%Libertadores: 3.7%Qualification Libertadores: 5.4%Copa Sudamericana: 30.0%Relégation: 30.5% | 30.5% |
| 5 | Santos#15Champion: 0.2%Libertadores: 3.8%Qualification Libertadores: 5.5%Copa Sudamericana: 30.0%Relégation: 30.2% | 30.2% |
| 6 | Grêmio#17Champion: 0.2%Libertadores: 3.8%Qualification Libertadores: 5.5%Copa Sudamericana: 30.3%Relégation: 29.9% | 29.9% |
| 7 | Cruzeiro#13Champion: 0.5%Libertadores: 7.3%Qualification Libertadores: 8.6%Copa Sudamericana: 36.7%Relégation: 19.4% | 19.4% |
| 8 | Vasco#12Champion: 0.5%Libertadores: 7.4%Qualification Libertadores: 8.8%Copa Sudamericana: 37.1%Relégation: 18.9% | 18.9% |
| 9 | Vitória#14Champion: 0.7%Libertadores: 8.7%Qualification Libertadores: 9.5%Copa Sudamericana: 37.4%Relégation: 17.9% | 17.9% |
| 10 | Internacional#11Champion: 0.7%Libertadores: 10.0%Qualification Libertadores: 10.8%Copa Sudamericana: 39.5%Relégation: 14.6% | 14.6% |
| 11 | Atlético-MG#10Champion: 0.8%Libertadores: 10.7%Qualification Libertadores: 11.1%Copa Sudamericana: 39.9%Relégation: 13.7% | 13.7% |
| 12 | Botafogo#9Champion: 1.5%Libertadores: 15.5%Qualification Libertadores: 13.5%Copa Sudamericana: 40.6%Relégation: 9.8% | 9.8% |
| 13 | Coritiba#8Champion: 1.7%Libertadores: 17.2%Qualification Libertadores: 14.5%Copa Sudamericana: 41.3%Relégation: 7.9% | 7.9% |
| 14 | Bragantino#6Champion: 1.8%Libertadores: 18.2%Qualification Libertadores: 15.0%Copa Sudamericana: 41.0%Relégation: 7.4% | 7.4% |
| 15 | Bahia#7Champion: 2.7%Libertadores: 23.3%Qualification Libertadores: 16.6%Copa Sudamericana: 39.2%Relégation: 5.6% | 5.6% |
| 16 | São Paulo#4Champion: 2.5%Libertadores: 23.0%Qualification Libertadores: 16.8%Copa Sudamericana: 39.8%Relégation: 5.4% | 5.4% |
| 17 | Athletico-PR#5Champion: 2.5%Libertadores: 22.8%Qualification Libertadores: 16.7%Copa Sudamericana: 39.9%Relégation: 5.4% | 5.4% |
| 18 | Fluminense#3Champion: 14.4%Libertadores: 61.2%Qualification Libertadores: 16.5%Copa Sudamericana: 19.1%Relégation: 0.4% | 0.4% |
| 19 | Flamengo#2Champion: 26.1%Libertadores: 74.2%Qualification Libertadores: 12.5%Copa Sudamericana: 11.9%Relégation: 0.1% | 0.1% |
Journée 16 sur 38
Classement
| # | Équipe | J | P | Title | Lib | LQ | Sul | Rel |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Palmeiras#1Champion: 43.0%Libertadores: 86.4%Qualification Libertadores: 7.8%Copa Sudamericana: 5.5% | 16 | 35 | 43% | 86% | 8% | 6% | — |
2 | Flamengo#2Champion: 26.1%Libertadores: 74.2%Qualification Libertadores: 12.5%Copa Sudamericana: 11.9%Relégation: 0.1% | 15 | 31 | 26% | 74% | 13% | 12% | 0% |
3 | Fluminense#3Champion: 14.4%Libertadores: 61.2%Qualification Libertadores: 16.5%Copa Sudamericana: 19.1%Relégation: 0.4% | 16 | 30 | 14% | 61% | 17% | 19% | 0% |
4 | São Paulo#4Champion: 2.5%Libertadores: 23.0%Qualification Libertadores: 16.8%Copa Sudamericana: 39.8%Relégation: 5.4% | 16 | 24 | 3% | 23% | 17% | 40% | 5% |
5 | Athletico-PR#5Champion: 2.5%Libertadores: 22.8%Qualification Libertadores: 16.7%Copa Sudamericana: 39.9%Relégation: 5.4% | 16 | 24 | 3% | 23% | 17% | 40% | 5% |
6↑1 | Bragantino#6Champion: 1.8%Libertadores: 18.2%Qualification Libertadores: 15.0%Copa Sudamericana: 41.0%Relégation: 7.4% | 16 | 23 | 2% | 18% | 15% | 41% | 7% |
7↓1 | Bahia#7Champion: 2.7%Libertadores: 23.3%Qualification Libertadores: 16.6%Copa Sudamericana: 39.2%Relégation: 5.6% | 15 | 23 | 3% | 23% | 17% | 39% | 6% |
8↑1 | Coritiba#8Champion: 1.7%Libertadores: 17.2%Qualification Libertadores: 14.5%Copa Sudamericana: 41.3%Relégation: 7.9% | 16 | 23 | 2% | 17% | 15% | 41% | 8% |
9↑3 | Botafogo#9Champion: 1.5%Libertadores: 15.5%Qualification Libertadores: 13.5%Copa Sudamericana: 40.6%Relégation: 9.8% | 15 | 21 | 2% | 16% | 14% | 41% | 10% |
10↑3 | Atlético-MG#10Champion: 0.8%Libertadores: 10.7%Qualification Libertadores: 11.1%Copa Sudamericana: 39.9%Relégation: 13.7% | 16 | 21 | 1% | 11% | 11% | 40% | 14% |
11↑3 | Internacional#11Champion: 0.7%Libertadores: 10.0%Qualification Libertadores: 10.8%Copa Sudamericana: 39.5%Relégation: 14.6% | 16 | 21 | 1% | 10% | 11% | 40% | 15% |
12↓4 | Vasco#12Champion: 0.5%Libertadores: 7.4%Qualification Libertadores: 8.8%Copa Sudamericana: 37.1%Relégation: 18.9% | 16 | 20 | 1% | 7% | 9% | 37% | 19% |
13↓3 | Cruzeiro#13Champion: 0.5%Libertadores: 7.3%Qualification Libertadores: 8.6%Copa Sudamericana: 36.7%Relégation: 19.4% | 16 | 20 | 1% | 7% | 9% | 37% | 19% |
14↓3 | Vitória#14Champion: 0.7%Libertadores: 8.7%Qualification Libertadores: 9.5%Copa Sudamericana: 37.4%Relégation: 17.9% | 15 | 19 | 1% | 9% | 10% | 37% | 18% |
15 | Santos#15Champion: 0.2%Libertadores: 3.8%Qualification Libertadores: 5.5%Copa Sudamericana: 30.0%Relégation: 30.2% | 16 | 18 | 0% | 4% | 6% | 30% | 30% |
16 | Corinthians#16Champion: 0.2%Libertadores: 3.7%Qualification Libertadores: 5.4%Copa Sudamericana: 30.0%Relégation: 30.5% | 16 | 18 | 0% | 4% | 5% | 30% | 31% |
17 | Grêmio#17Champion: 0.2%Libertadores: 3.8%Qualification Libertadores: 5.5%Copa Sudamericana: 30.3%Relégation: 29.9% | 16 | 18 | 0% | 4% | 6% | 30% | 30% |
18↑1 | Remo#18Libertadores: 1.3%Qualification Libertadores: 2.4%Copa Sudamericana: 18.1%Relégation: 50.7% | 16 | 15 | — | 1% | 2% | 18% | 51% |
19↓1 | Mirassol#19Libertadores: 1.2%Qualification Libertadores: 2.1%Copa Sudamericana: 16.7%Relégation: 53.7% | 15 | 13 | — | 1% | 2% | 17% | 54% |
20 | Chapecoense#20Libertadores: 0.2%Qualification Libertadores: 0.5%Copa Sudamericana: 6.0%Relégation: 78.6% | 15 | 9 | — | 0% | 1% | 6% | 79% |
ChampionLibertadoresQualification LibertadoresCopa SudamericanaRelégation
Après la Journée 16 : Qui a le Plus Amélioré Ses Chances ?
- ↓La probabilité de Mirassol pour Relégation a chuté de 85.1% à 53.7% (-31.4%).
- ↓La probabilité de Athletico-PR pour Libertadores a chuté de 53.8% à 22.8% (-31%).
- ↑La probabilité de Fluminense pour Libertadores a grimpé de 31.1% à 61.2% (+30.1%).
- ↓La probabilité de Coritiba pour Relégation a chuté de 32.1% à 7.9% (-24.2%).
- ↓La probabilité de Flamengo pour Libertadores a chuté de 97.3% à 74.2% (-23.1%).
Mis à jour après chaque journée · Simulation Monte Carlo
Prochains matchs
Horaires en temps universel coordonné
São Paulo#4Winner: 2.5%Libertadores: 23.0%Libertadores Qualification: 16.8%Copa Sulamericana: 39.8%Relegation: 5.4%20:00Botafogo#9Winner: 1.5%Libertadores: 15.5%Libertadores Qualification: 13.5%Copa Sulamericana: 40.6%Relegation: 9.8%
20:00Botafogo#9Winner: 1.5%Libertadores: 15.5%Libertadores Qualification: 13.5%Copa Sulamericana: 40.6%Relegation: 9.8%54%
22%
Vitória#14Winner: 0.7%Libertadores: 8.7%Libertadores Qualification: 9.5%Copa Sulamericana: 37.4%Relegation: 17.9%20:00Internacional#11Winner: 0.7%Libertadores: 10.0%Libertadores Qualification: 10.8%Copa Sulamericana: 39.5%Relegation: 14.6%
20:00Internacional#11Winner: 0.7%Libertadores: 10.0%Libertadores Qualification: 10.8%Copa Sulamericana: 39.5%Relegation: 14.6%57%
19%
Mirassol#19Libertadores: 1.2%Libertadores Qualification: 2.1%Copa Sulamericana: 16.7%Relegation: 53.7%22:00Fluminense#3Winner: 14.4%Libertadores: 61.2%Libertadores Qualification: 16.5%Copa Sulamericana: 19.1%Relegation: 0.4%
22:00Fluminense#3Winner: 14.4%Libertadores: 61.2%Libertadores Qualification: 16.5%Copa Sulamericana: 19.1%Relegation: 0.4%24%
52%
Flamengo#2Winner: 26.1%Libertadores: 74.2%Libertadores Qualification: 12.5%Copa Sulamericana: 11.9%Relegation: 0.1%00:00Palmeiras#1Winner: 43.0%Libertadores: 86.4%Libertadores Qualification: 7.8%Copa Sulamericana: 5.5%
00:00Palmeiras#1Winner: 43.0%Libertadores: 86.4%Libertadores Qualification: 7.8%Copa Sulamericana: 5.5%66%
13%
Cruzeiro#13Winner: 0.5%Libertadores: 7.3%Libertadores Qualification: 8.6%Copa Sulamericana: 36.7%Relegation: 19.4%19:00Chapecoense#20Libertadores: 0.2%Libertadores Qualification: 0.5%Copa Sulamericana: 6.0%Relegation: 78.6%
19:00Chapecoense#20Libertadores: 0.2%Libertadores Qualification: 0.5%Copa Sulamericana: 6.0%Relegation: 78.6%32%
42%
Remo#18Libertadores: 1.3%Libertadores Qualification: 2.4%Copa Sulamericana: 18.1%Relegation: 50.7%19:00Athletico-PR#5Winner: 2.5%Libertadores: 22.8%Libertadores Qualification: 16.7%Copa Sulamericana: 39.9%Relegation: 5.4%
19:00Athletico-PR#5Winner: 2.5%Libertadores: 22.8%Libertadores Qualification: 16.7%Copa Sulamericana: 39.9%Relegation: 5.4%41%
32%
Corinthians#16Winner: 0.2%Libertadores: 3.7%Libertadores Qualification: 5.4%Copa Sulamericana: 30.0%Relegation: 30.5%21:30Atlético-MG#10Winner: 0.8%Libertadores: 10.7%Libertadores Qualification: 11.1%Copa Sulamericana: 39.9%Relegation: 13.7%
21:30Atlético-MG#10Winner: 0.8%Libertadores: 10.7%Libertadores Qualification: 11.1%Copa Sulamericana: 39.9%Relegation: 13.7%47%
26%
Vasco#12Winner: 0.5%Libertadores: 7.4%Libertadores Qualification: 8.8%Copa Sulamericana: 37.1%Relegation: 18.9%23:30Bragantino#6Winner: 1.8%Libertadores: 18.2%Libertadores Qualification: 15.0%Copa Sulamericana: 41.0%Relegation: 7.4%
23:30Bragantino#6Winner: 1.8%Libertadores: 18.2%Libertadores Qualification: 15.0%Copa Sulamericana: 41.0%Relegation: 7.4%38%
35%
Brasileirão 2026 — Season Outlook
Champion:
Libertadores:
Qualification Libertadores:
São Paulo Qualification Libertadores Chances (16.8%)Athletico-PR Qualification Libertadores Chances (16.7%)Bahia Qualification Libertadores Chances (16.6%)Fluminense Qualification Libertadores Chances (16.5%)Bragantino Qualification Libertadores Chances (15.0%)Coritiba Qualification Libertadores Chances (14.5%)
Copa Sudamericana:
Brasileirão 2026 — Questions Fréquentes
- Qui va gagner le Brasileirão 2026 ?
- Selon les dernières simulations de notre superordinateur, Palmeiras a actuellement la plus haute probabilité de titre à 43%. Avec 22 journées restantes la course est encore ouverte — CupChances relance jusqu'à des millions de simulations toutes les 10 minutes pendant chaque match.
- Quelles équipes risquent le plus la relégation dans le Brasileirão 2026 ?
- Chapecoense est actuellement l'équipe la plus menacée de relégation avec 79%, suivi de Mirassol à 54%. Ces chiffres se mettent à jour toutes les 10 minutes pendant chaque match.
- Comment CupChances calcule-t-il les probabilités du Brasileirão 2026 ?
- Notre superordinateur exécute jusqu'à des millions de simulations Monte Carlo de la saison restante en utilisant les points actuels, la différence de buts et le calendrier restant de chaque équipe. Chaque saison simulée produit un classement final complet et les probabilités indiquent la fréquence de chaque résultat dans toutes ces simulations.
- À quelle fréquence les prédictions du Brasileirão 2026 sont-elles mises à jour ?
- Les probabilités sont recalculées toutes les 10 minutes pendant chaque match — tant que le match est en cours les chiffres continuent de se mettre à jour. Activez les notifications push sur cette page pour recevoir les variations de probabilité en direct sur votre appareil.
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