2. Bundesliga 26/27 — Journée 6 sur 34
Mis à jour le
Probabilité de remporter le championnat
| # | Équipe | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hertha BSC#1Champion: 39.2%Promo: 59.5%Playoff: 12.3%Relég.: 0.1% | 39.2% |
| 2 |  Nürnberg#2Champion: 24.8%Promo: 44.9%Playoff: 13.9%Relég.: 0.2% | 24.8% |
| 3 |  VfL Wolfsburg#3Champion: 6.8%Promo: 16.4%Playoff: 10.5%Relég.: 1.8% | 6.8% |
| 4 |  Kaiserslautern#4Champion: 6.4%Promo: 15.6%Playoff: 10.2%Relég.: 1.7% | 6.4% |
| 5 |  Magdeburg#5Champion: 4.8%Promo: 12.6%Playoff: 8.9%Relég.: 2.5% | 4.8% |
| 6 |  FC Heidenheim#6Champion: 4.8%Promo: 12.0%Playoff: 8.4%Relég.: 2.6% | 4.8% |
| 7 |  Cottbus#7Champion: 2.6%Promo: 7.2%Playoff: 5.8%Relég.: 5.2% | 2.6% |
| 8 |  St. Pauli#8Champion: 1.8%Promo: 5.1%Playoff: 4.5%Relég.: 7.4% | 1.8% |
| 9 |  Bochum#9Champion: 1.8%Promo: 5.1%Playoff: 4.4%Relég.: 7.5% | 1.8% |
| 10 |  Hannover 96#10Champion: 1.7%Promo: 4.9%Playoff: 4.3%Relég.: 7.7% | 1.7% |
| 11 |  Osnabrück#11Champion: 1.7%Promo: 4.8%Playoff: 4.3%Relég.: 8.0% | 1.7% |
| 12 |  Greuther Fürth#12Champion: 1.2%Promo: 3.6%Playoff: 3.4%Relég.: 10.4% | 1.2% |
| 13 |  Bielefeld#13Champion: 0.8%Promo: 2.7%Playoff: 2.7%Relég.: 13.1% | 0.8% |
| 14 |  Dynamo Dresden#14Champion: 0.5%Promo: 1.8%Playoff: 1.9%Relég.: 18.5% | 0.5% |
| 15 |  Holstein Kiel#15Champion: 0.4%Promo: 1.2%Playoff: 1.4%Relég.: 22.8% | 0.4% |
| 16 |  Darmstadt 98#16Champion: 0.4%Promo: 1.2%Playoff: 1.3%Relég.: 25.2% | 0.4% |
| 17 |  Karlsruher SC#17Champion: 0.2%Promo: 0.8%Playoff: 1.0%Relég.: 30.1% | 0.2% |
| 18 |  Braunschweig#18Champion: 0.1%Promo: 0.6%Playoff: 0.7%Relég.: 35.4% | 0.1% |
Probabilité de promotion en première division
| # | Équipe | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hertha BSC#1Champion: 39.2%Promo: 59.5%Playoff: 12.3%Relég.: 0.1% | 59.5% |
| 2 | Nürnberg#2Champion: 24.8%Promo: 44.9%Playoff: 13.9%Relég.: 0.2% | 44.9% |
| 3 | VfL Wolfsburg#3Champion: 6.8%Promo: 16.4%Playoff: 10.5%Relég.: 1.8% | 16.4% |
| 4 | Kaiserslautern#4Champion: 6.4%Promo: 15.6%Playoff: 10.2%Relég.: 1.7% | 15.6% |
| 5 | Magdeburg#5Champion: 4.8%Promo: 12.6%Playoff: 8.9%Relég.: 2.5% | 12.6% |
| 6 | FC Heidenheim#6Champion: 4.8%Promo: 12.0%Playoff: 8.4%Relég.: 2.6% | 12.0% |
| 7 | Cottbus#7Champion: 2.6%Promo: 7.2%Playoff: 5.8%Relég.: 5.2% | 7.2% |
| 8 | St. Pauli#8Champion: 1.8%Promo: 5.1%Playoff: 4.5%Relég.: 7.4% | 5.1% |
| 9 | Bochum#9Champion: 1.8%Promo: 5.1%Playoff: 4.4%Relég.: 7.5% | 5.1% |
| 10 | Hannover 96#10Champion: 1.7%Promo: 4.9%Playoff: 4.3%Relég.: 7.7% | 4.9% |
| 11 | Osnabrück#11Champion: 1.7%Promo: 4.8%Playoff: 4.3%Relég.: 8.0% | 4.8% |
| 12 | Greuther Fürth#12Champion: 1.2%Promo: 3.6%Playoff: 3.4%Relég.: 10.4% | 3.6% |
| 13 | Bielefeld#13Champion: 0.8%Promo: 2.7%Playoff: 2.7%Relég.: 13.1% | 2.7% |
| 14 | Dynamo Dresden#14Champion: 0.5%Promo: 1.8%Playoff: 1.9%Relég.: 18.5% | 1.8% |
| 15 | Holstein Kiel#15Champion: 0.4%Promo: 1.2%Playoff: 1.4%Relég.: 22.8% | 1.2% |
| 16 | Darmstadt 98#16Champion: 0.4%Promo: 1.2%Playoff: 1.3%Relég.: 25.2% | 1.2% |
| 17 | Karlsruher SC#17Champion: 0.2%Promo: 0.8%Playoff: 1.0%Relég.: 30.1% | 0.8% |
| 18 | Braunschweig#18Champion: 0.1%Promo: 0.6%Playoff: 0.7%Relég.: 35.4% | 0.6% |
Probabilité de participation aux playoffs
| # | Équipe | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nürnberg#2Champion: 24.8%Promo: 44.9%Playoff: 13.9%Relég.: 0.2% | 13.9% |
| 2 | Hertha BSC#1Champion: 39.2%Promo: 59.5%Playoff: 12.3%Relég.: 0.1% | 12.3% |
| 3 | VfL Wolfsburg#3Champion: 6.8%Promo: 16.4%Playoff: 10.5%Relég.: 1.8% | 10.5% |
| 4 | Kaiserslautern#4Champion: 6.4%Promo: 15.6%Playoff: 10.2%Relég.: 1.7% | 10.2% |
| 5 | Magdeburg#5Champion: 4.8%Promo: 12.6%Playoff: 8.9%Relég.: 2.5% | 8.9% |
| 6 | FC Heidenheim#6Champion: 4.8%Promo: 12.0%Playoff: 8.4%Relég.: 2.6% | 8.4% |
| 7 | Cottbus#7Champion: 2.6%Promo: 7.2%Playoff: 5.8%Relég.: 5.2% | 5.8% |
| 8 | St. Pauli#8Champion: 1.8%Promo: 5.1%Playoff: 4.5%Relég.: 7.4% | 4.5% |
| 9 | Bochum#9Champion: 1.8%Promo: 5.1%Playoff: 4.4%Relég.: 7.5% | 4.4% |
| 10 | Hannover 96#10Champion: 1.7%Promo: 4.9%Playoff: 4.3%Relég.: 7.7% | 4.3% |
| 11 | Osnabrück#11Champion: 1.7%Promo: 4.8%Playoff: 4.3%Relég.: 8.0% | 4.3% |
| 12 | Greuther Fürth#12Champion: 1.2%Promo: 3.6%Playoff: 3.4%Relég.: 10.4% | 3.4% |
| 13 | Bielefeld#13Champion: 0.8%Promo: 2.7%Playoff: 2.7%Relég.: 13.1% | 2.7% |
| 14 | Dynamo Dresden#14Champion: 0.5%Promo: 1.8%Playoff: 1.9%Relég.: 18.5% | 1.9% |
| 15 | Holstein Kiel#15Champion: 0.4%Promo: 1.2%Playoff: 1.4%Relég.: 22.8% | 1.4% |
| 16 | Darmstadt 98#16Champion: 0.4%Promo: 1.2%Playoff: 1.3%Relég.: 25.2% | 1.3% |
| 17 | Karlsruher SC#17Champion: 0.2%Promo: 0.8%Playoff: 1.0%Relég.: 30.1% | 1.0% |
| 18 | Braunschweig#18Champion: 0.1%Promo: 0.6%Playoff: 0.7%Relég.: 35.4% | 0.7% |
Probabilité de relégation à la fin du championnat
| # | Équipe | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Braunschweig#18Champion: 0.1%Promo: 0.6%Playoff: 0.7%Relég.: 35.4% | 35.4% |
| 2 | Karlsruher SC#17Champion: 0.2%Promo: 0.8%Playoff: 1.0%Relég.: 30.1% | 30.1% |
| 3 | Darmstadt 98#16Champion: 0.4%Promo: 1.2%Playoff: 1.3%Relég.: 25.2% | 25.2% |
| 4 | Holstein Kiel#15Champion: 0.4%Promo: 1.2%Playoff: 1.4%Relég.: 22.8% | 22.8% |
| 5 | Dynamo Dresden#14Champion: 0.5%Promo: 1.8%Playoff: 1.9%Relég.: 18.5% | 18.5% |
| 6 | Bielefeld#13Champion: 0.8%Promo: 2.7%Playoff: 2.7%Relég.: 13.1% | 13.1% |
| 7 | Greuther Fürth#12Champion: 1.2%Promo: 3.6%Playoff: 3.4%Relég.: 10.4% | 10.4% |
| 8 | Osnabrück#11Champion: 1.7%Promo: 4.8%Playoff: 4.3%Relég.: 8.0% | 8.0% |
| 9 | Hannover 96#10Champion: 1.7%Promo: 4.9%Playoff: 4.3%Relég.: 7.7% | 7.7% |
| 10 | Bochum#9Champion: 1.8%Promo: 5.1%Playoff: 4.4%Relég.: 7.5% | 7.5% |
| 11 | St. Pauli#8Champion: 1.8%Promo: 5.1%Playoff: 4.5%Relég.: 7.4% | 7.4% |
| 12 | Cottbus#7Champion: 2.6%Promo: 7.2%Playoff: 5.8%Relég.: 5.2% | 5.2% |
| 13 | FC Heidenheim#6Champion: 4.8%Promo: 12.0%Playoff: 8.4%Relég.: 2.6% | 2.6% |
| 14 | Magdeburg#5Champion: 4.8%Promo: 12.6%Playoff: 8.9%Relég.: 2.5% | 2.5% |
| 15 | VfL Wolfsburg#3Champion: 6.8%Promo: 16.4%Playoff: 10.5%Relég.: 1.8% | 1.8% |
| 16 | Kaiserslautern#4Champion: 6.4%Promo: 15.6%Playoff: 10.2%Relég.: 1.7% | 1.7% |
| 17 | Nürnberg#2Champion: 24.8%Promo: 44.9%Playoff: 13.9%Relég.: 0.2% | 0.2% |
| 18 | Hertha BSC#1Champion: 39.2%Promo: 59.5%Playoff: 12.3%Relég.: 0.1% | 0.1% |
Journée 6 sur 34
Classement
| # | Équipe | J | P | Title | Promo | PO | Rel |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Hertha BSC#1Champion: 39.2%Promo: 59.5%Playoff: 12.3%Relég.: 0.1% | 6 | 18 | 39% | 60% | 12% | 0% |
2 | Nürnberg#2Champion: 24.8%Promo: 44.9%Playoff: 13.9%Relég.: 0.2% | 6 | 16 | 25% | 45% | 14% | 0% |
3↑2 | VfL Wolfsburg#3Champion: 6.8%Promo: 16.4%Playoff: 10.5%Relég.: 1.8% | 6 | 11 | 7% | 16% | 11% | 2% |
4↑2 | Kaiserslautern#4Champion: 6.4%Promo: 15.6%Playoff: 10.2%Relég.: 1.7% | 6 | 11 | 6% | 16% | 10% | 2% |
5↓2 | Magdeburg#5Champion: 4.8%Promo: 12.6%Playoff: 8.9%Relég.: 2.5% | 5 | 10 | 5% | 13% | 9% | 3% |
6↓2 | FC Heidenheim#6Champion: 4.8%Promo: 12.0%Playoff: 8.4%Relég.: 2.6% | 5 | 10 | 5% | 12% | 8% | 3% |
7 | Energie Cottbus#7Champion: 2.6%Promo: 7.2%Playoff: 5.8%Relég.: 5.2% | 6 | 8 | 3% | 7% | 6% | 5% |
8↑1 | St. Pauli#8Champion: 1.8%Promo: 5.1%Playoff: 4.5%Relég.: 7.4% | 6 | 7 | 2% | 5% | 5% | 7% |
9↓1 | Bochum#9Champion: 1.8%Promo: 5.1%Playoff: 4.4%Relég.: 7.5% | 6 | 7 | 2% | 5% | 4% | 8% |
10↑3 | Hannover 96#10Champion: 1.7%Promo: 4.9%Playoff: 4.3%Relég.: 7.7% | 6 | 7 | 2% | 5% | 4% | 8% |
11↓1 | Osnabrück#11Champion: 1.7%Promo: 4.8%Playoff: 4.3%Relég.: 8.0% | 5 | 7 | 2% | 5% | 4% | 8% |
12↓1 | Greuther Fürth#12Champion: 1.2%Promo: 3.6%Playoff: 3.4%Relég.: 10.4% | 6 | 6 | 1% | 4% | 3% | 10% |
13↓1 | Arminia Bielefeld#13Champion: 0.8%Promo: 2.7%Playoff: 2.7%Relég.: 13.1% | 5 | 5 | 1% | 3% | 3% | 13% |
14 | Dynamo Dresden#14Champion: 0.5%Promo: 1.8%Playoff: 1.9%Relég.: 18.5% | 6 | 4 | 1% | 2% | 2% | 19% |
15↑1 | Holstein Kiel#15Champion: 0.4%Promo: 1.2%Playoff: 1.4%Relég.: 22.8% | 5 | 3 | 0% | 1% | 1% | 23% |
16↓1 | Darmstadt 98#16Champion: 0.4%Promo: 1.2%Playoff: 1.3%Relég.: 25.2% | 5 | 3 | 0% | 1% | 1% | 25% |
17 | Karlsruher SC#17Champion: 0.2%Promo: 0.8%Playoff: 1.0%Relég.: 30.1% | 5 | 2 | 0% | 1% | 1% | 30% |
18 | Eintracht Braunschweig#18Champion: 0.1%Promo: 0.6%Playoff: 0.7%Relég.: 35.4% | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1% | 1% | 35% |
ChampionPromoPlayoffRelég.
Prochains matchs
Horaires en temps universel coordonné
Osnabrück#11Winner: 1.7%Promotion: 4.8%Playoff: 4.3%Relegation: 8.0%17:00Dynamo Dresden#14Winner: 0.5%Promotion: 1.8%Playoff: 1.9%Relegation: 18.5%
17:00Dynamo Dresden#14Winner: 0.5%Promotion: 1.8%Playoff: 1.9%Relegation: 18.5%27%
47%
Magdeburg#5Winner: 4.8%Promotion: 12.6%Playoff: 8.9%Relegation: 2.5%17:00Hannover 96#10Winner: 1.7%Promotion: 4.9%Playoff: 4.3%Relegation: 7.7%
17:00Hannover 96#10Winner: 1.7%Promotion: 4.9%Playoff: 4.3%Relegation: 7.7%69%
12%
Bochum#9Winner: 1.8%Promotion: 5.1%Playoff: 4.4%Relegation: 7.5%17:00Bielefeld#13Winner: 0.8%Promotion: 2.7%Playoff: 2.7%Relegation: 13.1%
17:00Bielefeld#13Winner: 0.8%Promotion: 2.7%Playoff: 2.7%Relegation: 13.1%16%
61%
Braunschweig#18Winner: 0.1%Promotion: 0.6%Playoff: 0.7%Relegation: 35.4%17:00Holstein Kiel#15Winner: 0.4%Promotion: 1.2%Playoff: 1.4%Relegation: 22.8%
17:00Holstein Kiel#15Winner: 0.4%Promotion: 1.2%Playoff: 1.4%Relegation: 22.8%9%
75%
Hertha BSC#1Winner: 39.2%Promotion: 59.5%Playoff: 12.3%Relegation: 0.1%17:00Greuther Fürth#12Winner: 1.2%Promotion: 3.6%Playoff: 3.4%Relegation: 10.4%
17:00Greuther Fürth#12Winner: 1.2%Promotion: 3.6%Playoff: 3.4%Relegation: 10.4%94%
2%
Darmstadt 98#16Winner: 0.4%Promotion: 1.2%Playoff: 1.3%Relegation: 25.2%17:00Cottbus#7Winner: 2.6%Promotion: 7.2%Playoff: 5.8%Relegation: 5.2%
17:00Cottbus#7Winner: 2.6%Promotion: 7.2%Playoff: 5.8%Relegation: 5.2%43%
31%
FC Heidenheim#6Winner: 4.8%Promotion: 12.0%Playoff: 8.4%Relegation: 2.6%17:00Kaiserslautern#4Winner: 6.4%Promotion: 15.6%Playoff: 10.2%Relegation: 1.7%
17:00Kaiserslautern#4Winner: 6.4%Promotion: 15.6%Playoff: 10.2%Relegation: 1.7%50%
26%
St. Pauli#8Winner: 1.8%Promotion: 5.1%Playoff: 4.5%Relegation: 7.4%17:00Karlsruher SC#17Winner: 0.2%Promotion: 0.8%Playoff: 1.0%Relegation: 30.1%
17:00Karlsruher SC#17Winner: 0.2%Promotion: 0.8%Playoff: 1.0%Relegation: 30.1%51%
26%
Nürnberg#2Winner: 24.8%Promotion: 44.9%Playoff: 13.9%Relegation: 0.2%17:00VfL Wolfsburg#3Winner: 6.8%Promotion: 16.4%Playoff: 10.5%Relegation: 1.8%
17:00VfL Wolfsburg#3Winner: 6.8%Promotion: 16.4%Playoff: 10.5%Relegation: 1.8%81%
6%
Après la Journée 6 : Qui a le Plus Amélioré Ses Chances ?
- ↓La probabilité de Karlsruher SC pour Relég. a chuté de 52.4% à 30.1% (-22.3%).
- ↑La probabilité de Dynamo Dresden pour Relég. a grimpé de 10% à 18.5% (+8.5%).
- ↓La probabilité de Hertha BSC pour Promo a chuté de 66.2% à 59.5% (-6.7%).
- ↑La probabilité de Holstein Kiel pour Relég. a grimpé de 18% à 22.8% (+4.8%).
- ↓La probabilité de Greuther Fürth pour Relég. a chuté de 14.4% à 10.4% (-4%).
Mis à jour après chaque journée · Simulation Monte Carlo
2. Bundesliga 26/27 — Season Outlook
Champion:
Promo:
Playoff:
2. Bundesliga 26/27 — Questions Fréquentes
- Qui va gagner le 2. Bundesliga 26/27 ?
- Selon les dernières simulations de notre superordinateur, Hertha BSC a actuellement la plus haute probabilité de titre à 39%. Avec 28 journées restantes la course est encore ouverte — CupChances relance jusqu'à des millions de simulations toutes les 10 minutes pendant chaque match.
- Quelles équipes risquent le plus la relégation dans le 2. Bundesliga 26/27 ?
- Braunschweig est actuellement l'équipe la plus menacée de relégation avec 35%, suivi de Karlsruher SC à 30%. Ces chiffres se mettent à jour toutes les 10 minutes pendant chaque match.
- Comment CupChances calcule-t-il les probabilités du 2. Bundesliga 26/27 ?
- Notre superordinateur exécute jusqu'à des millions de simulations Monte Carlo de la saison restante en utilisant les points actuels, la différence de buts et le calendrier restant de chaque équipe. Chaque saison simulée produit un classement final complet et les probabilités indiquent la fréquence de chaque résultat dans toutes ces simulations.
- À quelle fréquence les prédictions du 2. Bundesliga 26/27 sont-elles mises à jour ?
- Les probabilités sont recalculées toutes les 10 minutes pendant chaque match — tant que le match est en cours les chiffres continuent de se mettre à jour. Activez les notifications push sur cette page pour recevoir les variations de probabilité en direct sur votre appareil.
Éditions passées