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2. Bundesliga 26/27 — Round 6 of 34

Updated at

Probability of winning the championship
#Team%
1Hertha BSC logoHertha BSC#1Win: 39.2%Promo: 59.5%Playoff: 12.3%Releg: 0.1%
39.2%
2Nürnberg logoNürnberg#2Win: 24.8%Promo: 44.9%Playoff: 13.9%Releg: 0.2%
24.8%
3VfL Wolfsburg logoVfL Wolfsburg#3Win: 6.8%Promo: 16.4%Playoff: 10.5%Releg: 1.8%
6.8%
4Kaiserslautern logoKaiserslautern#4Win: 6.4%Promo: 15.6%Playoff: 10.2%Releg: 1.7%
6.4%
5Magdeburg logoMagdeburg#5Win: 4.8%Promo: 12.6%Playoff: 8.9%Releg: 2.5%
4.8%
6FC Heidenheim logoFC Heidenheim#6Win: 4.8%Promo: 12.0%Playoff: 8.4%Releg: 2.6%
4.8%
7Cottbus logoCottbus#7Win: 2.6%Promo: 7.2%Playoff: 5.8%Releg: 5.2%
2.6%
8St. Pauli logoSt. Pauli#8Win: 1.8%Promo: 5.1%Playoff: 4.5%Releg: 7.4%
1.8%
9Bochum logoBochum#9Win: 1.8%Promo: 5.1%Playoff: 4.4%Releg: 7.5%
1.8%
10Hannover 96 logoHannover 96#10Win: 1.7%Promo: 4.9%Playoff: 4.3%Releg: 7.7%
1.7%
11Osnabrück logoOsnabrück#11Win: 1.7%Promo: 4.8%Playoff: 4.3%Releg: 8.0%
1.7%
12Greuther Fürth logoGreuther Fürth#12Win: 1.2%Promo: 3.6%Playoff: 3.4%Releg: 10.4%
1.2%
13Bielefeld logoBielefeld#13Win: 0.8%Promo: 2.7%Playoff: 2.7%Releg: 13.1%
0.8%
14Dynamo Dresden logoDynamo Dresden#14Win: 0.5%Promo: 1.8%Playoff: 1.9%Releg: 18.5%
0.5%
15Holstein Kiel logoHolstein Kiel#15Win: 0.4%Promo: 1.2%Playoff: 1.4%Releg: 22.8%
0.4%
16Darmstadt 98 logoDarmstadt 98#16Win: 0.4%Promo: 1.2%Playoff: 1.3%Releg: 25.2%
0.4%
17Karlsruher SC logoKarlsruher SC#17Win: 0.2%Promo: 0.8%Playoff: 1.0%Releg: 30.1%
0.2%
18Braunschweig logoBraunschweig#18Win: 0.1%Promo: 0.6%Playoff: 0.7%Releg: 35.4%
0.1%

Next matches

Times in Coordinated Universal Time

Osnabrück#11Winner: 1.7%Promotion: 4.8%Playoff: 4.3%Relegation: 8.0%5:00 PMDynamo Dresden#14Winner: 0.5%Promotion: 1.8%Playoff: 1.9%Relegation: 18.5%
27%
47%
Magdeburg#5Winner: 4.8%Promotion: 12.6%Playoff: 8.9%Relegation: 2.5%5:00 PMHannover 96#10Winner: 1.7%Promotion: 4.9%Playoff: 4.3%Relegation: 7.7%
69%
12%
Bochum#9Winner: 1.8%Promotion: 5.1%Playoff: 4.4%Relegation: 7.5%5:00 PMBielefeld#13Winner: 0.8%Promotion: 2.7%Playoff: 2.7%Relegation: 13.1%
16%
61%
Braunschweig#18Winner: 0.1%Promotion: 0.6%Playoff: 0.7%Relegation: 35.4%5:00 PMHolstein Kiel#15Winner: 0.4%Promotion: 1.2%Playoff: 1.4%Relegation: 22.8%
9%
75%
Hertha BSC#1Winner: 39.2%Promotion: 59.5%Playoff: 12.3%Relegation: 0.1%5:00 PMGreuther Fürth#12Winner: 1.2%Promotion: 3.6%Playoff: 3.4%Relegation: 10.4%
94%
2%
Darmstadt 98#16Winner: 0.4%Promotion: 1.2%Playoff: 1.3%Relegation: 25.2%5:00 PMCottbus#7Winner: 2.6%Promotion: 7.2%Playoff: 5.8%Relegation: 5.2%
43%
31%
FC Heidenheim#6Winner: 4.8%Promotion: 12.0%Playoff: 8.4%Relegation: 2.6%5:00 PMKaiserslautern#4Winner: 6.4%Promotion: 15.6%Playoff: 10.2%Relegation: 1.7%
50%
26%
St. Pauli#8Winner: 1.8%Promotion: 5.1%Playoff: 4.5%Relegation: 7.4%5:00 PMKarlsruher SC#17Winner: 0.2%Promotion: 0.8%Playoff: 1.0%Relegation: 30.1%
51%
26%
Nürnberg#2Winner: 24.8%Promotion: 44.9%Playoff: 13.9%Relegation: 0.2%5:00 PMVfL Wolfsburg#3Winner: 6.8%Promotion: 16.4%Playoff: 10.5%Relegation: 1.8%
81%
6%
Cottbus#7Winner: 2.6%Promotion: 7.2%Playoff: 5.8%Relegation: 5.2%5:00 PMNürnberg#2Winner: 24.8%Promotion: 44.9%Playoff: 13.9%Relegation: 0.2%
6%
82%

After Round 6: Who Improved Their Chances the Most?

  • Karlsruher SC's Releg probability dropped from 52.4% to 30.1% (-22.3%).
  • Dynamo Dresden's Releg probability climbed from 10% to 18.5% (+8.5%).
  • Hertha BSC's Promo probability dropped from 66.2% to 59.5% (-6.7%).
  • Holstein Kiel's Releg probability climbed from 18% to 22.8% (+4.8%).
  • Greuther Fürth's Releg probability dropped from 14.4% to 10.4% (-4%).

Updated after every round · Monte Carlo simulation

2. Bundesliga 26/27 — Season Outlook

2. Bundesliga 26/27Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win the 2. Bundesliga 26/27?
Based on our supercomputer's latest simulations, Hertha BSC currently have the highest title probability at 39%. With 28 rounds remaining the race is still live — CupChances re-runs up to millions of simulations every 10 minutes during every match.
Which teams are most at risk of relegation from the 2. Bundesliga 26/27?
Braunschweig currently faces the highest relegation risk at 35%, followed by Karlsruher SC at 30%. These figures update every 10 minutes during every match as the season unfolds.
How does CupChances calculate 2. Bundesliga 26/27 probabilities?
Our supercomputer runs up to millions of Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining season, using each team's current points, goal difference and remaining fixture list. Every simulated season produces a complete final table, and the probabilities represent how often each outcome occurs across all those simulations.
How often are the 2. Bundesliga 26/27 predictions updated?
Probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match — as long as the game is live, the numbers keep updating. Enable push notifications on this page to receive live probability shifts directly on your device.