Manchester City Champions League Chances
Premier League 25/26
Manchester City are the clear favourite for Champions League qualification with a 99.9% probability.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Winner | 28.4% |
| Champions League | 99.9% |
| Europa League | 0.0% |
| Relegation | 0.0% |
Manchester City are currently 2nd in the Premier League 25/26 table with 33 matches played (21W 7D 5L, 70 pts).
🔍 What This Means
At 99.9%, Manchester City are currently a strong contender for Champions League qualification. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Manchester City's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page.
🤖 How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs thousands of Monte Carlo simulations after every round of matches. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Manchester City achieves Champions League qualification across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 Premier League 25/26 — Champions League odds for every team
| Arsenal | 99.9% |
| Manchester United | 93.8% |
| Liverpool | 57.3% |
| Aston Villa | 48.7% |
| Brighton | 0.1% |
| Bournemouth | 0.0% |
| Chelsea | 0.0% |
| Brentford | 0.0% |
| Fulham | 0.0% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Premier League 25/26 table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.