São Paulo Libertadores Qualification Chances
Brasileirão 2026
São Paulo are an outside contender for Copa Libertadores qualification, with a 19.2% probability, and their odds are rising after the latest results.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Winner | 5.8% |
| Libertadores | 37.1% |
| Libertadores Qualification | 19.2% |
| Copa Sulamericana | 33.5% |
| Relegation | 2.0% |
São Paulo are currently 4th in the Brasileirão 2026 table with 13 matches played (7W 2D 4L, 23 pts).
🔍 What This Means
At 19.2%, São Paulo are currently a outside contender for Copa Libertadores qualification. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See São Paulo's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page.
🤖 How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs thousands of Monte Carlo simulations after every round of matches. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often São Paulo achieves Copa Libertadores qualification across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 Brasileirão 2026 — Libertadores Qualification odds for every team
| Palmeiras | 7.6% |
| Flamengo | 15.5% |
| Fluminense | 17.6% |
| Athletico-PR | 18.7% |
| Bahia | 18.6% |
| Coritiba | 14.2% |
| Botafogo | 13.3% |
| Bragantino | 10.9% |
| Vasco | 8.9% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Brasileirão 2026 table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.