Bournemouth Top 6 Chances 2026
Premier League 2025/26
Bournemouth face long odds for finishing in the top 6, with only a 0.4% probability, though their odds slipped after the latest round.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Top 6 (Europa League) | 0.4% |
| Top 4 (Champions League) | 0.0% |
| Title | 0.0% |
| Relegation | 0.0% |
Bournemouth are currently 7th in the Premier League 2025/26 table with 34 matches played (11W 16D 7L, 49 pts).
🔍 What This Means
At 0.4%, Bournemouth are currently a long shot for finishing in the top 6. A top-6 finish would be a historic achievement for Bournemouth and unlock Europa League football. The model measures their chances against every rival in the European race.
🤖 How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs thousands of Monte Carlo simulations after every round of matches. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Bournemouth achieves finishing in the top 6 across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 Premier League 2025/26 — top 6 odds for every team
| Arsenal | 0.0% |
| Manchester City | 0.0% |
| Manchester United | 6.2% |
| Liverpool | 41.4% |
| Aston Villa | 49.2% |
| Brighton | 2.0% |
| Chelsea | 0.4% |
| Brentford | 0.2% |
| Fulham | 0.1% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Premier League 2025/26 table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.