Manchester City Europa League Chances
Premier League 25/26
Manchester City have no remaining chance of Europa League qualification according to the model.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Winner | 28.4% |
| Champions League | 99.9% |
| Europa League | 0.0% |
| Relegation | 0.0% |
Manchester City are currently 2nd in the Premier League 25/26 table with 33 matches played (21W 7D 5L, 70 pts).
🔍 What This Means
Manchester City have no remaining mathematical chance of Europa League qualification. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Manchester City's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page.
🤖 How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs thousands of Monte Carlo simulations after every round of matches. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Manchester City achieves Europa League qualification across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 Premier League 25/26 — Europa League odds for every team
| Arsenal | 0.0% |
| Manchester United | 6.2% |
| Liverpool | 41.4% |
| Aston Villa | 49.2% |
| Brighton | 2.0% |
| Bournemouth | 0.4% |
| Chelsea | 0.4% |
| Brentford | 0.2% |
| Fulham | 0.1% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Premier League 25/26 table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.