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Cruzeiro R16 Chances 2026 — 100.0%

Copa Libertadores 2026 · Round 6 of 62 · Rank #11 · 6 MP

Copa LibertadoresBrasileirãoCopa do Brasil
Cruzeiro Copa Libertadores 2026 — Key Insights
4.9%
Win
0.0%
Exit
#11
Position
WDDWD
Last 5 matches
Cruzeiro are the clear favourites for R16 at 100.0%, currently ranked 11th — updated after every match.

Live — Updated at

Cruzeiro are 11th in the Copa Libertadores 2026 2026 season after 6 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 100.0% chance of r16 — with 56 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.

In their last 5 Copa Libertadores 2026 matches, Cruzeiro have recorded 2 wins, 3 draws. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.

Alongside their r16 probability, Cruzeiro's win chance currently stands at 4.9%.

Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining Copa Libertadores 2026 fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Cruzeiro's 2026 season has evolved round by round.

Current Probabilities:

  • Win: 4.9%
  • Final: 10.0%
  • SF: 20.3%
  • QF: 41.1%
  • R16: 100.0%Since 2026-08-11
  • Exit: 0.0%Since 2026-08-11

More analysis

Win →Final →SF →QF →R16 →Exit →Recent form →Upcoming Fixtures →

← View all Copa Libertadores 2026 standings and odds

See also:

Palmeiras QF ChancesCoquimbo Unido QF ChancesLDU QF ChancesCerro Porteño R16 ChancesMirassol R16 ChancesIndependiente del Valle R16 ChancesClub Atlético Platense R16 ChancesDeportes Tolima R16 ChancesEstudiantes de La Plata R16 ChancesFluminense R16 Chances

Next matches

Flamengo#2Win: 10.0%Final: 18.7%SF: 34.5%QF: 64.0%R16: 100.0%21:30Cruzeiro#11Win: 4.9%Final: 10.0%SF: 20.3%QF: 41.1%R16: 100.0%
53%
20%

Results so far

DateHomeScoreAway
2026-08-16Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série ACorinthians#5Win: 7.7%Final: 15.6%SF: 31.6%QF: 63.7%R16: 100.0%1 - 2Cruzeiro#11Win: 4.9%Final: 10.0%SF: 20.3%QF: 41.1%R16: 100.0%
2026-08-12Copa LibertadoresCruzeiro#11Win: 4.9%Final: 10.0%SF: 20.3%QF: 41.1%R16: 100.0%1 - 1Flamengo#2Win: 10.0%Final: 18.7%SF: 34.5%QF: 64.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-08-09Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série ACruzeiro#11Win: 4.9%Final: 10.0%SF: 20.3%QF: 41.1%R16: 100.0%3 - 1Mirassol#10Win: 5.0%Final: 10.3%SF: 21.2%QF: 43.2%R16: 100.0%
2026-08-05Copa do BrasilCruzeiro#11Win: 4.9%Final: 10.0%SF: 20.3%QF: 41.1%R16: 100.0%2 - 0Chapecoense
2026-08-02Copa do BrasilChapecoense0 - 0Cruzeiro#11Win: 4.9%Final: 10.0%SF: 20.3%QF: 41.1%R16: 100.0%
2026-07-30Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série ACoritiba0 - 1Cruzeiro#11Win: 4.9%Final: 10.0%SF: 20.3%QF: 41.1%R16: 100.0%
2026-07-26Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série ACruzeiro#11Win: 4.9%Final: 10.0%SF: 20.3%QF: 41.1%R16: 100.0%0 - 1Botafogo
2026-07-22Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série AInternacional1 - 2Cruzeiro#11Win: 4.9%Final: 10.0%SF: 20.3%QF: 41.1%R16: 100.0%
2026-05-31Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série ACruzeiro#11Win: 4.9%Final: 10.0%SF: 20.3%QF: 41.1%R16: 100.0%1 - 1Fluminense#16Win: 3.5%Final: 7.6%SF: 16.6%QF: 36.3%R16: 100.0%
2026-05-28Copa LibertadoresCruzeiro#11Win: 4.9%Final: 10.0%SF: 20.3%QF: 41.1%R16: 100.0%4 - 0Barcelona SC
2026-05-24Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série ACruzeiro#11Win: 4.9%Final: 10.0%SF: 20.3%QF: 41.1%R16: 100.0%2 - 1Chapecoense
2026-05-19Copa LibertadoresBoca Juniors#25Exit: 100.0%1 - 1Cruzeiro#11Win: 4.9%Final: 10.0%SF: 20.3%QF: 41.1%R16: 100.0%
2026-05-16Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série APalmeiras#6Win: 6.7%Final: 13.3%SF: 26.3%QF: 51.9%R16: 100.0%1 - 1Cruzeiro#11Win: 4.9%Final: 10.0%SF: 20.3%QF: 41.1%R16: 100.0%
2026-05-12Copa do BrasilCruzeiro#11Win: 4.9%Final: 10.0%SF: 20.3%QF: 41.1%R16: 100.0%1 - 0Goiás
2026-05-09Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série ABahia1 - 2Cruzeiro#11Win: 4.9%Final: 10.0%SF: 20.3%QF: 41.1%R16: 100.0%
2026-05-06Copa LibertadoresU. Católica0 - 0Cruzeiro#11Win: 4.9%Final: 10.0%SF: 20.3%QF: 41.1%R16: 100.0%
2026-05-02Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série ACruzeiro#11Win: 4.9%Final: 10.0%SF: 20.3%QF: 41.1%R16: 100.0%1 - 3Atlético-MG
2026-04-28Copa LibertadoresCruzeiro#11Win: 4.9%Final: 10.0%SF: 20.3%QF: 41.1%R16: 100.0%1 - 0Boca Juniors#25Exit: 100.0%
2026-04-25Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série ARemo0 - 1Cruzeiro#11Win: 4.9%Final: 10.0%SF: 20.3%QF: 41.1%R16: 100.0%
2026-04-22Copa do BrasilGoiás2 - 2Cruzeiro#11Win: 4.9%Final: 10.0%SF: 20.3%QF: 41.1%R16: 100.0%
2026-04-18Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série ACruzeiro#11Win: 4.9%Final: 10.0%SF: 20.3%QF: 41.1%R16: 100.0%2 - 0Grêmio
2026-04-15Copa LibertadoresCruzeiro#11Win: 4.9%Final: 10.0%SF: 20.3%QF: 41.1%R16: 100.0%1 - 2U. Católica
2026-04-12Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série ACruzeiro#11Win: 4.9%Final: 10.0%SF: 20.3%QF: 41.1%R16: 100.0%2 - 1Bragantino
2026-04-07Copa LibertadoresBarcelona SC0 - 1Cruzeiro#11Win: 4.9%Final: 10.0%SF: 20.3%QF: 41.1%R16: 100.0%
2026-04-04Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série ASão Paulo4 - 1Cruzeiro#11Win: 4.9%Final: 10.0%SF: 20.3%QF: 41.1%R16: 100.0%
2026-04-01Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série ACruzeiro#11Win: 4.9%Final: 10.0%SF: 20.3%QF: 41.1%R16: 100.0%3 - 0Vitória
2026-03-22Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série ACruzeiro#11Win: 4.9%Final: 10.0%SF: 20.3%QF: 41.1%R16: 100.0%0 - 0Santos
2026-03-18Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série AAthletico-PR2 - 1Cruzeiro#11Win: 4.9%Final: 10.0%SF: 20.3%QF: 41.1%R16: 100.0%
2026-03-15Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série ACruzeiro#11Win: 4.9%Final: 10.0%SF: 20.3%QF: 41.1%R16: 100.0%3 - 3Vasco
2026-03-11Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série AFlamengo#2Win: 10.0%Final: 18.7%SF: 34.5%QF: 64.0%R16: 100.0%2 - 0Cruzeiro#11Win: 4.9%Final: 10.0%SF: 20.3%QF: 41.1%R16: 100.0%
2026-02-25Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série ACruzeiro#11Win: 4.9%Final: 10.0%SF: 20.3%QF: 41.1%R16: 100.0%1 - 1Corinthians#5Win: 7.7%Final: 15.6%SF: 31.6%QF: 63.7%R16: 100.0%
2026-02-11Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série AMirassol#10Win: 5.0%Final: 10.3%SF: 21.2%QF: 43.2%R16: 100.0%2 - 2Cruzeiro#11Win: 4.9%Final: 10.0%SF: 20.3%QF: 41.1%R16: 100.0%
2026-02-05Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série ACruzeiro#11Win: 4.9%Final: 10.0%SF: 20.3%QF: 41.1%R16: 100.0%1 - 2Coritiba
2026-01-29Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série ABotafogo4 - 0Cruzeiro#11Win: 4.9%Final: 10.0%SF: 20.3%QF: 41.1%R16: 100.0%