Monza Promotion Chances 2026
Serie B 2025/26
Monza remain in realistic contention for automatic promotion to Serie A at 42.2%, though their odds slipped after the latest round.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Automatic Promotion | 42.2% |
| Promotion Playoff | 57.8% |
| Relegation | 0.0% |
Monza are currently 2nd in the Serie B 2025/26 table with 36 matches played (22W 9D 5L, 75 pts).
🔍 What This Means
At 42.2%, Monza are currently a realistic contender for automatic promotion to Serie A. The model estimates Monza's promotion chances by simulating every remaining fixture and comparing their likely final position against the automatic promotion threshold.
🤖 How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs thousands of Monte Carlo simulations after every round of matches. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Monza achieves automatic promotion to Serie A across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 Serie B 2025/26 — promotion odds for every team
| Venezia | 98.3% |
| Frosinone | 59.5% |
| Palermo | 0.0% |
| Catanzaro | 0.0% |
| Modena | 0.0% |
| Juve Stabia | 0.0% |
| Avellino | 0.0% |
| Cesena | 0.0% |
| Carrarese | 0.0% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Serie B 2025/26 table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.