Premier League 25/26 — Round 34 of 38
Updated at
Probability of winning the championship
| # | Team | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal#1Winner: 71.8%Champions League: 99.9% | 71.8% |
| 2 |  Manchester City#2Winner: 28.2%Champions League: 99.9% | 28.2% |
Probability of qualifying for the Champions League
| # | Team | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal#1Winner: 71.8%Champions League: 99.9% | 99.9% |
| 2 | Manchester City#2Winner: 28.2%Champions League: 99.9% | 99.9% |
| 3 |  Manchester United#3Champions League: 93.7%Europa League: 6.2% | 93.7% |
| 4 |  Liverpool#4Champions League: 57.6%Europa League: 41.3% | 57.6% |
| 5 |  Aston Villa#5Champions League: 48.6%Europa League: 49.4% | 48.6% |
| 6 |  Brighton#6Champions League: 0.1%Europa League: 2.0% | 0.1% |
Probability of qualifying for the Europa League
| # | Team | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aston Villa#5Champions League: 48.6%Europa League: 49.4% | 49.4% |
| 2 | Liverpool#4Champions League: 57.6%Europa League: 41.3% | 41.3% |
| 3 | Manchester United#3Champions League: 93.7%Europa League: 6.2% | 6.2% |
| 4 | Brighton#6Champions League: 0.1%Europa League: 2.0% | 2.0% |
| 5 |  Bournemouth#7Europa League: 0.4% | 0.4% |
| 6 |  Chelsea#8Europa League: 0.3% | 0.3% |
| 7 |  Brentford#9Europa League: 0.2% | 0.2% |
| 8 |  Fulham#10Europa League: 0.1% | 0.1% |
Probability of being relegated at the end of the championship
| # | Team | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Burnley#19Relegation: 99.9% | 99.9% |
| 2 |  Wolverhampton#20Relegation: 99.9% | 99.9% |
| 3 |  Tottenham#18Relegation: 63.8% | 63.8% |
| 4 |  West Ham#17Relegation: 31.7% | 31.7% |
| 5 |  Nottingham Forest#16Relegation: 2.3% | 2.3% |
| 6 |  Leeds United#15Relegation: 2.1% | 2.1% |
| 7 |  Newcastle#14Relegation: 0.1% | 0.1% |
Round 34 of 38
Standings
| # | Team | MP | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Arsenal#1Winner: 71.8%Champions League: 99.9% | 34 | 73 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 64 | 26 | 38 |
2 | Manchester City#2Winner: 28.2%Champions League: 99.9% | 33 | 70 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 66 | 29 | 37 |
3 | Manchester United#3Champions League: 93.7%Europa League: 6.2% | 34 | 61 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 60 | 46 | 14 |
4↑1 | Liverpool#4Champions League: 57.6%Europa League: 41.3% | 34 | 58 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 57 | 44 | 13 |
5↓1 | Aston Villa#5Champions League: 48.6%Europa League: 49.4% | 34 | 58 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 47 | 42 | 5 |
6↑3 | Brighton#6Champions League: 0.1%Europa League: 2.0% | 34 | 50 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 48 | 39 | 9 |
7↑1 | Bournemouth#7Europa League: 0.4% | 34 | 49 | 11 | 16 | 7 | 52 | 52 | 0 |
8↓2 | Chelsea#8Europa League: 0.3% | 34 | 48 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 53 | 45 | 8 |
9↓2 | Brentford#9Europa League: 0.2% | 34 | 48 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 49 | 46 | 3 |
10↑2 | Fulham#10Europa League: 0.1% | 34 | 48 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 44 | 46 | -2 |
11↓1 |  Everton#11 | 34 | 47 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 41 | 41 | 0 |
12↓1 |  Sunderland#12 | 34 | 46 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 36 | 45 | -9 |
13 |  Crystal Palace#13 | 33 | 43 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 36 | 39 | -3 |
14 | Newcastle#14Relegation: 0.1% | 34 | 42 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 46 | 50 | -4 |
15 | Leeds United#15Relegation: 2.1% | 34 | 40 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 44 | 51 | -7 |
16 | Nottingham Forest#16Relegation: 2.3% | 34 | 39 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 41 | 45 | -4 |
17 | West Ham#17Relegation: 31.7% | 34 | 36 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 42 | 58 | -16 |
18 | Tottenham#18Relegation: 63.8% | 34 | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 43 | 53 | -10 |
19 | Burnley#19Relegation: 99.9% | 34 | 20 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 34 | 68 | -34 |
20 | Wolverhampton#20Relegation: 99.9% | 34 | 17 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 24 | 62 | -38 |
WinnerChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Next matches
Times in Coordinated Universal Time
40%
33%
45%
30%
29%
45%
31%
43%
Manchester United#3Champions League: 93.7%Europa League: 6.2%2:30 PMLiverpool#4Champions League: 57.6%Europa League: 41.3%
2:30 PMLiverpool#4Champions League: 57.6%Europa League: 41.3%49%
28%
36%
38%
48%
24%
Premier League 25/26 — Frequently Asked Questions
- Who will win the Premier League 25/26?
- Based on our supercomputer's latest simulations, Arsenal currently have the highest title probability at 72%. With 4 rounds remaining the race is still live — CupChances re-runs up to millions of simulations every 10 minutes during every match.
- Which teams are most at risk of relegation from the Premier League 25/26?
- Burnley currently faces the highest relegation risk at 100%, followed by Wolverhampton at 100%. These figures update every 10 minutes during every match as the season unfolds.
- How does CupChances calculate Premier League 25/26 probabilities?
- Our supercomputer runs up to millions of Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining season, using each team's current points, goal difference and remaining fixture list. Every simulated season produces a complete final table, and the probabilities represent how often each outcome occurs across all those simulations.
- How often are the Premier League 25/26 predictions updated?
- Probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match — as long as the game is live, the numbers keep updating. Enable push notifications on this page to receive live probability shifts directly on your device.