Arsenal
Arsenal Champions League Chances 2026 — 99.9%
Premier League 25/26 · Round 34 of 38 · Rank #1 · 34 MP
Live — Updated at
Arsenal are 1st in the Premier League 25/26 2026 season after 34 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 99.9% chance of champions league — with 4 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.
In their last 5 Premier League 25/26 matches, Arsenal have recorded 3 wins, 2 defeats. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.
Alongside their champions league probability, Arsenal's winner chance currently stands at 71.6%.
Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining Premier League 25/26 fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Arsenal's 2026 season has evolved round by round.
Current Probabilities:
- Winner: 71.6%
- Champions League: 99.9%
- Europa League: 0.0%Since 2026-02-22
- Relegation: 0.0%Since 2025-10-04
Next matches
Times in Coordinated Universal Time
Results so far
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | Arsenal#1Winner: 71.6%Champions League: 99.9% | 1 - 0 |  Newcastle#14Relegation: 0.1% |
| 2026-04-19 | Manchester City#2Winner: 28.4%Champions League: 99.9% | 2 - 1 | Arsenal#1Winner: 71.6%Champions League: 99.9% |
| 2026-04-11 | Arsenal#1Winner: 71.6%Champions League: 99.9% | 1 - 2 |  Bournemouth#7Europa League: 0.4% |
| 2026-03-14 | Arsenal#1Winner: 71.6%Champions League: 99.9% | 2 - 0 |  Everton#11 |
| 2026-03-04 | Brighton#6Champions League: 0.1%Europa League: 2.0% | 0 - 1 | Arsenal#1Winner: 71.6%Champions League: 99.9% |
| 2026-03-01 | Arsenal#1Winner: 71.6%Champions League: 99.9% | 2 - 1 |  Chelsea#8Europa League: 0.4% |
| 2026-02-22 | Tottenham#18Relegation: 63.9% | 1 - 4 | Arsenal#1Winner: 71.6%Champions League: 99.9% |
| 2026-02-18 | Wolverhampton#20Relegation: 99.9% | 2 - 2 | Arsenal#1Winner: 71.6%Champions League: 99.9% |
| 2026-02-12 | Brentford#9Europa League: 0.2% | 1 - 1 | Arsenal#1Winner: 71.6%Champions League: 99.9% |
| 2026-02-07 | Arsenal#1Winner: 71.6%Champions League: 99.9% | 3 - 0 |  Sunderland#12 |
| 2026-01-31 | Leeds United#15Relegation: 2.1% | 0 - 4 | Arsenal#1Winner: 71.6%Champions League: 99.9% |
| 2026-01-25 | Arsenal#1Winner: 71.6%Champions League: 99.9% | 2 - 3 |  Manchester United#3Champions League: 93.8%Europa League: 6.2% |
| 2026-01-17 | Nottingham Forest#16Relegation: 2.3% | 0 - 0 | Arsenal#1Winner: 71.6%Champions League: 99.9% |
| 2026-01-08 | Arsenal#1Winner: 71.6%Champions League: 99.9% | 0 - 0 |  Liverpool#4Champions League: 57.3%Europa League: 41.4% |
| 2026-01-03 | Bournemouth#7Europa League: 0.4% | 2 - 3 | Arsenal#1Winner: 71.6%Champions League: 99.9% |
| 2025-12-30 | Arsenal#1Winner: 71.6%Champions League: 99.9% | 4 - 1 |  Aston Villa#5Champions League: 48.7%Europa League: 49.2% |
| 2025-12-27 | Arsenal#1Winner: 71.6%Champions League: 99.9% | 2 - 1 | Brighton#6Champions League: 0.1%Europa League: 2.0% |
| 2025-12-20 | Everton#11 | 0 - 1 | Arsenal#1Winner: 71.6%Champions League: 99.9% |
| 2025-12-13 | Arsenal#1Winner: 71.6%Champions League: 99.9% | 2 - 1 | Wolverhampton#20Relegation: 99.9% |
| 2025-12-06 | Aston Villa#5Champions League: 48.7%Europa League: 49.2% | 2 - 1 | Arsenal#1Winner: 71.6%Champions League: 99.9% |
| 2025-12-03 | Arsenal#1Winner: 71.6%Champions League: 99.9% | 2 - 0 | Brentford#9Europa League: 0.2% |
| 2025-11-30 | Chelsea#8Europa League: 0.4% | 1 - 1 | Arsenal#1Winner: 71.6%Champions League: 99.9% |
| 2025-11-23 | Arsenal#1Winner: 71.6%Champions League: 99.9% | 4 - 1 | Tottenham#18Relegation: 63.9% |
| 2025-11-08 | Sunderland#12 | 2 - 2 | Arsenal#1Winner: 71.6%Champions League: 99.9% |
| 2025-11-01 | Burnley#19Relegation: 99.9% | 0 - 2 | Arsenal#1Winner: 71.6%Champions League: 99.9% |
| 2025-10-26 | Arsenal#1Winner: 71.6%Champions League: 99.9% | 1 - 0 |  Crystal Palace#13 |
| 2025-10-18 | Fulham#10Europa League: 0.1% | 0 - 1 | Arsenal#1Winner: 71.6%Champions League: 99.9% |
| 2025-10-04 | Arsenal#1Winner: 71.6%Champions League: 99.9% | 2 - 0 |  West Ham#17Relegation: 31.7% |
| 2025-09-28 | Newcastle#14Relegation: 0.1% | 1 - 2 | Arsenal#1Winner: 71.6%Champions League: 99.9% |
| 2025-09-21 | Arsenal#1Winner: 71.6%Champions League: 99.9% | 1 - 1 | Manchester City#2Winner: 28.4%Champions League: 99.9% |
| 2025-09-13 | Arsenal#1Winner: 71.6%Champions League: 99.9% | 3 - 0 | Nottingham Forest#16Relegation: 2.3% |
| 2025-08-31 | Liverpool#4Champions League: 57.3%Europa League: 41.4% | 1 - 0 | Arsenal#1Winner: 71.6%Champions League: 99.9% |
| 2025-08-23 | Arsenal#1Winner: 71.6%Champions League: 99.9% | 5 - 0 | Leeds United#15Relegation: 2.1% |
| 2025-08-17 | Manchester United#3Champions League: 93.8%Europa League: 6.2% | 0 - 1 | Arsenal#1Winner: 71.6%Champions League: 99.9% |