Arsenal
Arsenal Winner Chances 2026 — 100.0%
Premier League 25/26 · Round 38 of 38 · Rank #1 · 38 MP
Live — Updated at
Arsenal are 1st in the Premier League 25/26 2026 season after 38 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 100.0% chance of winner — with 0 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.
In their last 5 Premier League 25/26 matches, Arsenal have recorded 5 wins. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.
Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining Premier League 25/26 fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Arsenal's 2026 season has evolved round by round.
Current Probabilities:
- Winner: 100.0%Since 2026-05-19
- Champions League: 100.0%Since 2026-05-03
- Europa League: 0.0%Since 2026-02-22
- Relegation: 0.0%Since 2025-10-04
Premier League 25/26 — Competition Races:
← View all Premier League 25/26 standings and odds
See also:
Results so far
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-24 | Crystal Palace#15 | 1 - 2 | Arsenal#1Winner: 100.0%Champions League: 100.0% |
| 2026-05-18 | Arsenal#1Winner: 100.0%Champions League: 100.0% | 1 - 0 |  Burnley#19Relegation: 100.0% |
| 2026-05-10 | West Ham#18Relegation: 100.0% | 0 - 1 | Arsenal#1Winner: 100.0%Champions League: 100.0% |
| 2026-05-02 | Arsenal#1Winner: 100.0%Champions League: 100.0% | 3 - 0 |  Fulham#11 |
| 2026-04-25 | Arsenal#1Winner: 100.0%Champions League: 100.0% | 1 - 0 |  Newcastle#12 |
| 2026-04-19 | Manchester City#2Champions League: 100.0% | 2 - 1 | Arsenal#1Winner: 100.0%Champions League: 100.0% |
| 2026-04-11 | Arsenal#1Winner: 100.0%Champions League: 100.0% | 1 - 2 |  Bournemouth#6 |
| 2026-03-14 | Arsenal#1Winner: 100.0%Champions League: 100.0% | 2 - 0 |  Everton#13 |
| 2026-03-04 | Brighton#8 | 0 - 1 | Arsenal#1Winner: 100.0%Champions League: 100.0% |
| 2026-03-01 | Arsenal#1Winner: 100.0%Champions League: 100.0% | 2 - 1 |  Chelsea#10 |
| 2026-02-22 | Tottenham#17 | 1 - 4 | Arsenal#1Winner: 100.0%Champions League: 100.0% |
| 2026-02-18 | Wolverhampton#20Relegation: 100.0% | 2 - 2 | Arsenal#1Winner: 100.0%Champions League: 100.0% |
| 2026-02-12 | Brentford#9 | 1 - 1 | Arsenal#1Winner: 100.0%Champions League: 100.0% |
| 2026-02-07 | Arsenal#1Winner: 100.0%Champions League: 100.0% | 3 - 0 |  Sunderland#7 |
| 2026-01-31 | Leeds United#14 | 0 - 4 | Arsenal#1Winner: 100.0%Champions League: 100.0% |
| 2026-01-25 | Arsenal#1Winner: 100.0%Champions League: 100.0% | 2 - 3 |  Manchester United#3Champions League: 100.0% |
| 2026-01-17 | Nottingham Forest#16 | 0 - 0 | Arsenal#1Winner: 100.0%Champions League: 100.0% |
| 2026-01-08 | Arsenal#1Winner: 100.0%Champions League: 100.0% | 0 - 0 |  Liverpool#5Europa League: 100.0% |
| 2026-01-03 | Bournemouth#6 | 2 - 3 | Arsenal#1Winner: 100.0%Champions League: 100.0% |
| 2025-12-30 | Arsenal#1Winner: 100.0%Champions League: 100.0% | 4 - 1 |  Aston Villa#4Champions League: 100.0% |
| 2025-12-27 | Arsenal#1Winner: 100.0%Champions League: 100.0% | 2 - 1 | Brighton#8 |
| 2025-12-20 | Everton#13 | 0 - 1 | Arsenal#1Winner: 100.0%Champions League: 100.0% |
| 2025-12-13 | Arsenal#1Winner: 100.0%Champions League: 100.0% | 2 - 1 | Wolverhampton#20Relegation: 100.0% |
| 2025-12-06 | Aston Villa#4Champions League: 100.0% | 2 - 1 | Arsenal#1Winner: 100.0%Champions League: 100.0% |
| 2025-12-03 | Arsenal#1Winner: 100.0%Champions League: 100.0% | 2 - 0 | Brentford#9 |
| 2025-11-30 | Chelsea#10 | 1 - 1 | Arsenal#1Winner: 100.0%Champions League: 100.0% |
| 2025-11-23 | Arsenal#1Winner: 100.0%Champions League: 100.0% | 4 - 1 | Tottenham#17 |
| 2025-11-08 | Sunderland#7 | 2 - 2 | Arsenal#1Winner: 100.0%Champions League: 100.0% |
| 2025-11-01 | Burnley#19Relegation: 100.0% | 0 - 2 | Arsenal#1Winner: 100.0%Champions League: 100.0% |
| 2025-10-26 | Arsenal#1Winner: 100.0%Champions League: 100.0% | 1 - 0 | Crystal Palace#15 |
| 2025-10-18 | Fulham#11 | 0 - 1 | Arsenal#1Winner: 100.0%Champions League: 100.0% |
| 2025-10-04 | Arsenal#1Winner: 100.0%Champions League: 100.0% | 2 - 0 | West Ham#18Relegation: 100.0% |
| 2025-09-28 | Newcastle#12 | 1 - 2 | Arsenal#1Winner: 100.0%Champions League: 100.0% |
| 2025-09-21 | Arsenal#1Winner: 100.0%Champions League: 100.0% | 1 - 1 | Manchester City#2Champions League: 100.0% |
| 2025-09-13 | Arsenal#1Winner: 100.0%Champions League: 100.0% | 3 - 0 | Nottingham Forest#16 |
| 2025-08-31 | Liverpool#5Europa League: 100.0% | 1 - 0 | Arsenal#1Winner: 100.0%Champions League: 100.0% |
| 2025-08-23 | Arsenal#1Winner: 100.0%Champions League: 100.0% | 5 - 0 | Leeds United#14 |
| 2025-08-17 | Manchester United#3Champions League: 100.0% | 0 - 1 | Arsenal#1Winner: 100.0%Champions League: 100.0% |