Chelsea
Chelsea UCL Chances 2027 — 17.6%
Premier League 26/27 · Round 5 of 38 · Rank #10 · 5 MP
Live — Updated at
Chelsea are 10th in the Premier League 26/27 2027 season after 5 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 17.6% chance of ucl — with 33 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.
In their last 5 Premier League 26/27 matches, Chelsea have recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.
Alongside their ucl probability, Chelsea's win chance currently stands at 3.4%.
Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining Premier League 26/27 fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Chelsea's 2027 season has evolved round by round.
Current Probabilities:
- Win: 3.4%
- UCL: 17.6%
- UEL: 5.5%
- Releg: 11.6%
More analysis
← View all Premier League 26/27 standings and odds
See also:
Next matches
Times in Coordinated Universal Time
2:00 PM
Bournemouth#17Win: 1.0%UCL: 7.1%UEL: 2.8%Releg: 26.2%
12:30 PM
Man United#12Win: 1.9%UCL: 12.0%UEL: 4.2%Releg: 17.4%
3:00 PMChelsea#10Win: 3.4%UCL: 17.6%UEL: 5.5%Releg: 11.6%Latest News
Title: Arsenal and Manchester City Eye Top Spot in High-Stakes Round 5
Match PreviewThis weekend's fixtures in the championship are set to shake up the standings, with top teams vying for crucial points in the title race and others fighting to …
Manchester's Battle and Arsenal's Ascent: A Weekend of Destiny
Match PreviewThe Premier League is set to explode with drama this weekend as two colossal fixtures could send shockwaves through the title race and beyond. The anticipation …
Aston Villa Clinches Champions League Spot as Liverpool Secures Europa League
Round-upIn a thrilling conclusion to the Premier League season, Aston Villa has secured a coveted spot in the Champions League, edging out Liverpool, which will instead…
West Ham Faces Must-Win Against Leeds to Avoid Relegation in Final Championship Round
Match PreviewIn the final round of the championship, the fixture with the highest impact is West Ham versus Leeds United, carrying a 3.3% impact on the overall championship …
Results so far
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | Brentford#4Win: 6.7%UCL: 28.3%UEL: 6.8%Releg: 6.1% | 3 - 0 | Chelsea#10Win: 3.4%UCL: 17.6%UEL: 5.5%Releg: 11.6% |
| 2026-09-12 | Chelsea#10Win: 3.4%UCL: 17.6%UEL: 5.5%Releg: 11.6% | 2 - 2 |  Hull City#8Win: 4.8%UCL: 22.4%UEL: 6.2%Releg: 8.4% |
| 2026-09-06 | Arsenal#2Win: 13.2%UCL: 43.3%UEL: 7.6%Releg: 2.5% | 2 - 1 | Chelsea#10Win: 3.4%UCL: 17.6%UEL: 5.5%Releg: 11.6% |
| 2026-08-30 | Chelsea#10Win: 3.4%UCL: 17.6%UEL: 5.5%Releg: 11.6% | 4 - 3 |  Brighton#3Win: 8.9%UCL: 33.6%UEL: 7.2%Releg: 4.6% |
| 2026-08-24 | Fulham#19Win: 0.7%UCL: 5.6%UEL: 2.4%Releg: 31.4% | 2 - 3 | Chelsea#10Win: 3.4%UCL: 17.6%UEL: 5.5%Releg: 11.6% |