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Chelsea Europa League Chances 2026 — 0.3%

Premier League 25/26 · Round 34 of 38 · Rank #8 · 34 MP

Chelsea Premier League 25/26 — Key Insights
0.0%
Winner
0.0%
Relegation
#8
Position
LLLLL
Last 5 matches
Explore detailed analysis below ↓

Live — Updated at

Chelsea are 8th in the Premier League 25/26 2026 season after 34 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 0.3% chance of europa league — with 4 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.

In their last 5 Premier League 25/26 matches, Chelsea have recorded 5 defeats. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.

Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining Premier League 25/26 fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Chelsea's 2026 season has evolved round by round.

Current Probabilities:

  • Winner: 0.0%Since 2026-02-28
  • Champions League: 0.0%Since 2026-04-24
  • Europa League: 0.3%
  • Relegation: 0.0%Since 2025-11-08

Next matches

Times in Coordinated Universal Time

Chelsea#8Europa League: 0.3%2:00 PMNottingham Forest#16Relegation: 2.3%
36%
38%
Liverpool#4Champions League: 57.6%Europa League: 41.3%11:30 AMChelsea#8Europa League: 0.3%
56%
22%
Chelsea#8Europa League: 0.3%6:00 PMTottenham#18Relegation: 63.8%
36%
38%
Sunderland#123:00 PMChelsea#8Europa League: 0.3%
33%
42%

Results so far

DateHomeScoreAway
2026-04-21Brighton#6Champions League: 0.1%Europa League: 2.0%3 - 0Chelsea#8Europa League: 0.3%
2026-04-18Chelsea#8Europa League: 0.3%0 - 1Manchester United#3Champions League: 93.7%Europa League: 6.2%
2026-04-12Chelsea#8Europa League: 0.3%0 - 3Manchester City#2Winner: 28.2%Champions League: 99.9%
2026-03-21Everton#113 - 0Chelsea#8Europa League: 0.3%
2026-03-14Chelsea#8Europa League: 0.3%0 - 1Newcastle#14Relegation: 0.1%
2026-03-04Aston Villa#5Champions League: 48.6%Europa League: 49.4%1 - 4Chelsea#8Europa League: 0.3%
2026-03-01Arsenal#1Winner: 71.8%Champions League: 99.9%2 - 1Chelsea#8Europa League: 0.3%
2026-02-21Chelsea#8Europa League: 0.3%1 - 1Burnley#19Relegation: 99.9%
2026-02-10Chelsea#8Europa League: 0.3%2 - 2Leeds United#15Relegation: 2.1%
2026-02-07Wolverhampton#20Relegation: 99.9%1 - 3Chelsea#8Europa League: 0.3%
2026-01-31Chelsea#8Europa League: 0.3%3 - 2West Ham#17Relegation: 31.7%
2026-01-25Crystal Palace#131 - 3Chelsea#8Europa League: 0.3%
2026-01-17Chelsea#8Europa League: 0.3%2 - 0Brentford#9Europa League: 0.2%
2026-01-07Fulham#10Europa League: 0.1%2 - 1Chelsea#8Europa League: 0.3%
2026-01-04Manchester City#2Winner: 28.2%Champions League: 99.9%1 - 1Chelsea#8Europa League: 0.3%
2025-12-30Chelsea#8Europa League: 0.3%2 - 2Bournemouth#7Europa League: 0.4%
2025-12-27Chelsea#8Europa League: 0.3%1 - 2Aston Villa#5Champions League: 48.6%Europa League: 49.4%
2025-12-20Newcastle#14Relegation: 0.1%2 - 2Chelsea#8Europa League: 0.3%
2025-12-13Chelsea#8Europa League: 0.3%2 - 0Everton#11
2025-12-06Bournemouth#7Europa League: 0.4%0 - 0Chelsea#8Europa League: 0.3%
2025-12-03Leeds United#15Relegation: 2.1%3 - 1Chelsea#8Europa League: 0.3%
2025-11-30Chelsea#8Europa League: 0.3%1 - 1Arsenal#1Winner: 71.8%Champions League: 99.9%
2025-11-22Burnley#19Relegation: 99.9%0 - 2Chelsea#8Europa League: 0.3%
2025-11-08Chelsea#8Europa League: 0.3%3 - 0Wolverhampton#20Relegation: 99.9%
2025-11-01Tottenham#18Relegation: 63.8%0 - 1Chelsea#8Europa League: 0.3%
2025-10-25Chelsea#8Europa League: 0.3%1 - 2Sunderland#12
2025-10-18Nottingham Forest#16Relegation: 2.3%0 - 3Chelsea#8Europa League: 0.3%
2025-10-04Chelsea#8Europa League: 0.3%2 - 1Liverpool#4Champions League: 57.6%Europa League: 41.3%
2025-09-27Chelsea#8Europa League: 0.3%1 - 3Brighton#6Champions League: 0.1%Europa League: 2.0%
2025-09-20Manchester United#3Champions League: 93.7%Europa League: 6.2%2 - 1Chelsea#8Europa League: 0.3%
2025-09-13Brentford#9Europa League: 0.2%2 - 2Chelsea#8Europa League: 0.3%
2025-08-30Chelsea#8Europa League: 0.3%2 - 0Fulham#10Europa League: 0.1%
2025-08-22West Ham#17Relegation: 31.7%1 - 5Chelsea#8Europa League: 0.3%
2025-08-17Chelsea#8Europa League: 0.3%0 - 0Crystal Palace#13