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Liverpool Champions League Chances 2026 — 57.6%

Premier League 25/26 · Round 34 of 38 · Rank #4 · 34 MP

Liverpool Premier League 25/26 — Key Insights
0.0%
Winner
0.0%
Relegation
#4
Position
DLWWW
Last 5 matches
Explore detailed analysis below ↓

Live — Updated at

Liverpool are 4th in the Premier League 25/26 2026 season after 34 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 57.6% chance of champions league — with 4 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.

In their last 5 Premier League 25/26 matches, Liverpool have recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.

Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining Premier League 25/26 fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Liverpool's 2026 season has evolved round by round.

Current Probabilities:

  • Winner: 0.0%Since 2026-03-01
  • Champions League: 57.6%
  • Europa League: 41.3%
  • Relegation: 0.0%Since 2025-12-13

Next matches

Times in Coordinated Universal Time

Manchester United#3Champions League: 93.7%Europa League: 6.2%2:30 PMLiverpool#4Champions League: 57.6%Europa League: 41.3%
49%
28%
Liverpool#4Champions League: 57.6%Europa League: 41.3%11:30 AMChelsea#8Europa League: 0.3%
56%
22%
Aston Villa#5Champions League: 48.6%Europa League: 49.4%6:00 PMLiverpool#4Champions League: 57.6%Europa League: 41.3%
45%
30%
Liverpool#4Champions League: 57.6%Europa League: 41.3%3:00 PMBrentford#9Europa League: 0.2%
56%
22%

Results so far

DateHomeScoreAway
2026-04-25Liverpool#4Champions League: 57.6%Europa League: 41.3%3 - 1Crystal Palace#13
2026-04-19Everton#111 - 2Liverpool#4Champions League: 57.6%Europa League: 41.3%
2026-04-11Liverpool#4Champions League: 57.6%Europa League: 41.3%2 - 0Fulham#10Europa League: 0.1%
2026-03-21Brighton#6Champions League: 0.1%Europa League: 2.0%2 - 1Liverpool#4Champions League: 57.6%Europa League: 41.3%
2026-03-15Liverpool#4Champions League: 57.6%Europa League: 41.3%1 - 1Tottenham#18Relegation: 63.8%
2026-03-03Wolverhampton#20Relegation: 99.9%2 - 1Liverpool#4Champions League: 57.6%Europa League: 41.3%
2026-02-28Liverpool#4Champions League: 57.6%Europa League: 41.3%5 - 2West Ham#17Relegation: 31.7%
2026-02-22Nottingham Forest#16Relegation: 2.3%0 - 1Liverpool#4Champions League: 57.6%Europa League: 41.3%
2026-02-11Sunderland#120 - 1Liverpool#4Champions League: 57.6%Europa League: 41.3%
2026-02-08Liverpool#4Champions League: 57.6%Europa League: 41.3%1 - 2Manchester City#2Winner: 28.2%Champions League: 99.9%
2026-01-31Liverpool#4Champions League: 57.6%Europa League: 41.3%4 - 1Newcastle#14Relegation: 0.1%
2026-01-24Bournemouth#7Europa League: 0.4%3 - 2Liverpool#4Champions League: 57.6%Europa League: 41.3%
2026-01-17Liverpool#4Champions League: 57.6%Europa League: 41.3%1 - 1Burnley#19Relegation: 99.9%
2026-01-08Arsenal#1Winner: 71.8%Champions League: 99.9%0 - 0Liverpool#4Champions League: 57.6%Europa League: 41.3%
2026-01-04Fulham#10Europa League: 0.1%2 - 2Liverpool#4Champions League: 57.6%Europa League: 41.3%
2026-01-01Liverpool#4Champions League: 57.6%Europa League: 41.3%0 - 0Leeds United#15Relegation: 2.1%
2025-12-27Liverpool#4Champions League: 57.6%Europa League: 41.3%2 - 1Wolverhampton#20Relegation: 99.9%
2025-12-20Tottenham#18Relegation: 63.8%1 - 2Liverpool#4Champions League: 57.6%Europa League: 41.3%
2025-12-13Liverpool#4Champions League: 57.6%Europa League: 41.3%2 - 0Brighton#6Champions League: 0.1%Europa League: 2.0%
2025-12-06Leeds United#15Relegation: 2.1%3 - 3Liverpool#4Champions League: 57.6%Europa League: 41.3%
2025-12-03Liverpool#4Champions League: 57.6%Europa League: 41.3%1 - 1Sunderland#12
2025-11-30West Ham#17Relegation: 31.7%0 - 2Liverpool#4Champions League: 57.6%Europa League: 41.3%
2025-11-22Liverpool#4Champions League: 57.6%Europa League: 41.3%0 - 3Nottingham Forest#16Relegation: 2.3%
2025-11-09Manchester City#2Winner: 28.2%Champions League: 99.9%3 - 0Liverpool#4Champions League: 57.6%Europa League: 41.3%
2025-11-01Liverpool#4Champions League: 57.6%Europa League: 41.3%2 - 0Aston Villa#5Champions League: 48.6%Europa League: 49.4%
2025-10-25Brentford#9Europa League: 0.2%3 - 2Liverpool#4Champions League: 57.6%Europa League: 41.3%
2025-10-19Liverpool#4Champions League: 57.6%Europa League: 41.3%1 - 2Manchester United#3Champions League: 93.7%Europa League: 6.2%
2025-10-04Chelsea#8Europa League: 0.3%2 - 1Liverpool#4Champions League: 57.6%Europa League: 41.3%
2025-09-27Crystal Palace#132 - 1Liverpool#4Champions League: 57.6%Europa League: 41.3%
2025-09-20Liverpool#4Champions League: 57.6%Europa League: 41.3%2 - 1Everton#11
2025-09-14Burnley#19Relegation: 99.9%0 - 1Liverpool#4Champions League: 57.6%Europa League: 41.3%
2025-08-31Liverpool#4Champions League: 57.6%Europa League: 41.3%1 - 0Arsenal#1Winner: 71.8%Champions League: 99.9%
2025-08-25Newcastle#14Relegation: 0.1%2 - 3Liverpool#4Champions League: 57.6%Europa League: 41.3%
2025-08-15Liverpool#4Champions League: 57.6%Europa League: 41.3%4 - 2Bournemouth#7Europa League: 0.4%